Relevant Games on Tuesday:
Atlanta at Toronto: A Hawks loss moves them back into a tie for the fifth with Chicago, which has tiebreaker, moving Atlanta back to sixth and giving the Bulls control of their own destiny. A win puts them within a win Wednesday or a Bulls loss of the fifth.
Portland at Los Angeles Clippers: A Clippers loss clinches the third seed for Denver and the fourth seed for the Clippers and means a Grizzlies win clinches home court for Memphis in the first round as a 5-seed. A Clippers win moves them within a win on Wednesday and a Denver loss of the third. A Clippers win and a Grizzlies loss on Wednesday clinches home court vs. the Grizzlies.
No. 1 seed: The Miami Heat have clinched first place in the Southeast Division, the conference and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. They will face the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round.
No. 2 seed: The Knicks have clinched the Atlantic Division and the No. 2 seed. They will face the Boston Celtics in the first round.
No. 3 seed: Indiana has clinched the Central Division and the No. 3 seed. They will face either the Chicago Bulls or Atlanta Hawks in the first round.
No. 4 seed: Brooklyn has clinched the No. 4 seed and home court in the first round.
No. 5/6 seeds: The Bulls gained a half-game with their win over Toronto on Monday and are a half-game behind the Hawks. Atlanta is now in the fifth seed with two games to play on a back-to-back Tuesday and Wednesday. Atlanta controls its destiny for the fifth seed. The Hawks need either two wins or a win and a Bulls loss on Wednesday to clinch the fifth seed.
Chicago needs a win on Wednesday and a Hawks loss either Tuesday or Wednesday.
No. 7 seed: The Celtics clinched the No. 7 seed on Saturday. They will face the Knicks in the first round.
No. 8 seed: Milwaukee has been locked into the eighth seed. May God have mercy on their souls.
Matchups (bold indicates locked):
Miami Heat (No. 1 seed) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (8)
New York Knicks (2) vs. Boston Celtics (7)
Indiana Pacers (3) vs. Chicago Bulls (6)
Brooklyn Nets (4) vs. Atlanta Hawks (5)
No. 1 seed: The Thunder have clinched the No. 1 seed in the West and will face Houston, the Lakers or the Jazz in the first round.
No. 2 seed: The Spurs are the No. 2 seed and will face Golden State, Houston or the Lakers in the first round.
No. 3/4/5 seeds: The whole big mess starts with Denver, which clinched home-court advantage in the first round with its win vs. Milwaukee on Monday.
Denver holds the tiebreaker over the Grizzlies via head-to-head, but the Clippers hold the tiebreaker having won their division. Denver's magic number for the 3-seed is one. If they fall to the four and face the Grizzlies, they are ensured home-court advantage.
The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division title, their first division title in franchise history. They are 1 1/2 games back of Denver and a half-game back of Memphis. But should they tie, thanks to the rules about division leaders, they maintain a lead over Memphis for the fourth and home court due to the division-leader/winner tiebreaker.
If the playoffs started today, the 4-5 Clippers-Grizzlies matchup would begin in Memphis by that half-game.
Memphis has clinched no worse than fifth.
If the Clippers lose Tuesday or Wednesday, the Nuggets are the third seed. If that happens and the Clippers win Wednesday and the Grizzlies lose Wednesday, the Clippers have home court. If the Clippers lose Tuesday or Wednesday and the Grizzlies win, the Grizzlies have home court.
If the Clippers lose both games, the Nuggets are third, the Clippers are fourth, the Grizzlies are fifth and Memphis has home court.
If the Nuggets win Wednesday and the Clippers win Tuesday and Wednesday, the Nuggets are third, the Clippers are fourth, the Grizzlies are fifth and the Clippers have home court advantage.
If the Clippers win Tuesday and Wednesday and the Nuggets lose Wednesday, the Clippers are the third seed, the Nuggets are the fourth seed, the Grizzlies are fifth and Denver has home court.
If the Clippers win Tuesday and Wednesday and the Nuggets win Wednesday, the Nuggets are the third seed, the Clippers fourth and the Grizzlies fifth, with the Clippers having home court.
The Grizzlies cannot finish higher than fifth, but they can have home court.
No. 6/7/8 seeds:
Golden State plays Portland on Wednesday.
Utah plays Memphis on Wednesday.
The Warriors moved into the sixth seed and control their own destiny for the fifth after their win and the Rockets' loss on Monday. They cannot finish worse than seventh. The Jazz's win moved them within a game of the eighth seed with their win Monday vs. San Antonio.
A Warriors win or Rockets loss on Wednesday clinches the sixth seed for Golden State. They would play whoever comes out of that mess up above. If the Warriors win and the Rockets lose to the Lakers, the Warriors clinch the sixth, the Rockets fall to the eighth, the Lakers clinch a playoff berth, and clinch the seventh. If the Warriors win, the Rockets win and the Jazz lose, the Warriors clinch the sixth, the Rockets clinch the seventh and the Lakers clinch the eighth. If the Warriors win, the Rockets win and the Jazz win, the Warriors clinch the sixth, the Rockets clinch the seventh and the Jazz clinch the eighth.
A Warriors loss and a Rockets win clinches the sixth for Houston and the seventh for Golden State by virtue of Houston's tiebreaker. Then if Utah wins, they get the eighth and the Lakers are out. If the Jazz lose in that scenario, the Lakers are in and get the eighth and the Jazz are out.
So if the following teams win, then (scenario):
Warriors, Rockets, Jazz: 6. Warriors, 7. Rockets, 8. Jazz
Warriors , Lakers, Jazz: 6. Warriors, 7. Lakers, 8. Rockets
Warriors, Rockets, Grizzlies: 6. Warriors, 7. Rockets, 8. Lakers
Warriors, Lakers, Grizzlies: 6. Warriors, 7. Lakers, 8. Rockets
Blazers, Rockets, Jazz: 6. Rockets, 7. Warriors, 8. Jazz
Blazers, Rockets, Grizzlies: 6. Rockets, 7. Warriors, 8. Lakers
Blazers, Lakers, Jazz: 6. Warriors, 7. Lakers, 8. Rockets
Blazers, Lakers, Grizzlies: 6. Warriors, 7. Lakers, 8. Rockets
Matchups (bold indicates locked):
Oklahoma City Thunder (No. 1 seed) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (8)
San Antonio Spurs (2) vs. Houston Rockets (7)
Denver Nuggets (3) vs. Golden State Warriors (6)
Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (5; Grizzlies home-court advantage)