Picks against the spread analysis for Tuesday, October 29th.
Tuesday results: 2-1 ATS. For the season: 2-1 ATS.
LOCK IT UP:
OK, so yesterday was NOT a great start to the lock of the night. So we're taking the safe route on this one. Yes, the money line is -960 for Houston, but still. This is way more of a lock than Clippers over Lakers... right? At home?
I mean, look, Al Jefferson is a gametime decision with an ankle injury. Brendan Haywood is already out. There's a good chance Cody Zeller is starting his first regulation NBA game vs. Dwight Howard with something to prove. The Bobcats just don't have the offensive horses to keep pace and the Rockets can score on anyone.
We're getting back to .500 on locks starting Wednesday.
Line like this makes me nervous, but intrigued. Is Vegas just underrating Oklahoma City off the bat? I mean, Kevin Durant's alive, right? He wasn't whisked to another planet? Meanwhile, the Jazz have a bunch of young pups, with at most a single playoff appearance under their belts, and they don't have starting point guard Trey Burke, but they're going to hang within two possessions of OKC?
But then you think that the Thunder are so much more solvable without Westbrook and Kevin Martin's not there to boost the spread. This one's worth some exploration on a personal level. What you decide probably says something about you as a person.
DANGER WILL ROBINSON, DANGER
Opened at 3, now down. Pacers on the road, on a back to back. But the Pelicans are young, and the Pacers were 14-8 on no rest last year, with an average margin of victory at 4.5. But then you've got a talented Pelicans team in their home opener, and New Orleans was actually +.04 in scoring margin vs. the spread last year. So what I'm telling you is that this one has too many weirdo factors, not the least of which is that Indiana was in a dogfight with Orlando in the first half of Tuesday's game.
Don't go chasing that N'Awlins Voodoo.