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NBA Daily Picks: How scrappy is the East?

By Matt Moore | NBA writer

Picks against the spread analysis for Tuesday, November 12th.

Full Expert Picks | Odds | Scoreboard

Monday results: Cavs had it, let it slip. Rockets had it, let it slip. Clippers had it, let it slip. So, yeah. Brutal Monday. Also this Celtics team has become the bane of my ATS existence.

Monday: 4-5 YTD: 53-50-3.

LOCK IT UP

GAME: Wizards at Mavericks
FAVORITE:
Mavericks (-5)
PICK: Mavericks to cover

Gotta get one right sometime, right? Wizards on a road trip, Dallas has been gangbusters at home. The Wizards are 2-1 as a road underdog, but Dallas just has so much firepower. Wizards gave so much against OKC, hard to see them hitting that level again.

DANGER WILL ROBINSON, DANGER

GAME: Bucks at Heat
FAVORITE:
Heat -12.5
PICK: STAY AWAY!

Miami's been so shaky at covering and just lost to Boston for God's sake. Milwaukee is short-handed without Carlos Delfino and Larry Sanders, but has somehow been competitive over all. But you can't feel good about Milwaukee, either. Miami could blow their doors off easy. Don't like any part of this.

WEIRD SCIENCE

GAME: Pelicans at Lakers
FAVORITE:
Pelicans (-3)
PICK: Lakers win outright.

New Orleans just beat the Lakers. Beating a team twice in a week is tough. The Pelicans have been terribly uneven and sometimes just fall apart. The Lakers are a bad team that plays well at home. How are the Lakers the underdog here? This just feels weird.

I've Got A Bad Feeling About ThisJ

GAME: Pistons at Warriors
FAVORITE:
Warrors (-9)
PICK: Warriors...?

The Dubs should trounce the Pistons on a back-to-back West Coast road and road, but Detroit has been surprisingly tough and has some matchups to exploit. But this is also the kind of bet you talk yourself into +9 and then watch as the Warriors build a 30 point halftime lead when Steph Curry burns the nets down. Scary stuff. High enough to tempt you, but a team that also blows out teams huge when they do.

 
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