NBA Daily Picks: Flipping Friday

By Matt Moore | NBA writer

Picks against the spread analysis for Friday, November 15th.

Full Expert Picks | Odds | Scoreboard

Thursday results: When I put the picks in, New York was +3.5 and this would have been a smooth 1-1 night after OKC muscled up the energy for the cover on a back to back. But the line shifted before the game to New York +1.5 As our system does not lock me in at the spread at the time of the pick, I have to take an 0-2 night and I'm not happy about it.

Monday: 0-2 YTD: 61-60-3.


GAME: Bulls at Raptors
PICK: Bulls

Oklahoma City is on a road West Coast back-to-back against the most explosive team in the Western Conference right now. Yes, they'll be pissed about a loss to the Clippers they gave away when Serge Ibaka was ejected, but they're headed into Roaracle, and when Golden State wins, they win big. The Warriors' bench is a mess, but the Thunder's bench isn't gangbusters either, and teams that have to rely on two guys as much as the Thunder do are going to struggle with endurance in this kind of environment. Lay the points.


GAME: Bobcats at Cavaliers
Cavaliers (-6.5)

The Bobcats are too good to trust to a blowout vs. Cleveland, and the Cavs are too bad to trust to cover. But the Cavs haven't lost at home and the Bobcats do tend to wildly disappoint. 4.5 and I probably like it, but 6.5 is just too high for the Cavs which have looked largely like a hot mess.

Hey, Good Lookin'

GAME: Nets at Suns
Nets (-1)
PICK: Suns

Suns are 2-0 at home as an underdog, and 7-0-1 vs. the spread overall. The Nets meanwhile are what happens when your friend who thinks he's cooler than he is tries to do something he's not nearly cool enough to do. They're all wearing fedoras, basically. The Suns are a sneaky good team, the Nets still look like a disaster. This looks pretty nice.

GAME: Spurs at Jazz
Spurs (-8)
PICK: Spurs

This isn't hard to figure out. The Spurs are tearing teams apart with their teeth. The Jazz got their first win of the season but trying to follow up on that is going to be pretty difficult, especially against one of the best teams in the league. Spurs run away.

I've Got a Bad Feeling About This

GAME: Timberwolves at Nuggets
Timberwolves (-1.5)
PICK: Timberwolves

Denver's terrible, home or away, the Wolves are one of the hottest teams in the league. So... what's going on here? This one just freaks me out. Something's weird here. Wolves should be -4.5 easy. Maybe it's safe. It just gives me the willies.

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