2014 NBA Mock Draft 1.0: Wild projections and ridiculous upside
A 2014 NBA Mock Draft with a projected order, factoring trades and potential roster implications.
The 2014 NBA Draft is slated to be one of the best in recent memory. Whether the best player ends up as good as Kevin Durant, or Chris Paul, or Derrick Rose, or dare we speak the name of a King, it won't change the value of this draft either way. It's not about the No. 1 pick. It's about the entire class. It's talented, it's deep, it's exciting.
Meanwhile, the NBA season has just begun. There's no way to tell who's going to be where in terms of the draft order.
But here's the thing. Drafts are not pure big boards. Those are great for debating who's better than who, but the draft is influenced by patterns, by decision makers, by rosters (to a degree), and by shifting dynamics. They don't exist in a vacuum. I'd prefer a flawed environment to trying to look at how this class shapes up in a vacuum. Because what we'll end up with is a flawed environment, just not one as flawed as this one.
So we took the SRS metric from Basketball-Reference.com on end of games Sunday night, November 10th, and established a draft order. SRS factors point differential and strength of schedule. It doesn't give us a true projection, nothing will after just a handful of games in. But it gives us a model. And from there, we're able to simulate the possibility of a draft. This is less about who will be where and take what as it is about why Team X would take Player B or why Player M drops Y spots. The draft pick debt was established via the invaluable HoopsWorld page.
This isn't a perfect mock draft. It's not a perfect draft process. That's what makes it fun. Now let's crank up the Wiggins and get to Randling.
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