NBA GMs think the Lakers, Heat, LeBron James and Dwight Howard are good
NBA GMs polled think LeBron James is the MVP and that the Lakers will be very good. Bold prognosticators.
|'They like me, they really like me [again]!' (Getty Images)|
The annual NBA.com GM poll is out this morning, and it features such amazing surprises as "GMs think that Dwight Howard is the best center!" and "They think the Los Angeles Lakers will win the Western Conference!" It's truly earth-shattering stuff.
Let's go through some of it.
Which team will win the 2013 NBA Finals?
1. Miami Heat -- 70.0%
2. L.A. Lakers -- 23.3%
3. Oklahoma City Thunder -- 6.7%
Last year: Miami -- 74.1%
GMs will always tend to side with the reigning champ if they haven't blown up the team or suffered a major injury. With LeBron James considered the best player in the league, this is also the logical conclusion. The fact that OKC, the Western conference champion, has slipped to 6.7 percent is pretty devastating, and the Heat's erosion shows the perception of the Lakers. That's even more evident when you look at:
Which team will win the Western Conference?
1. L.A. Lakers -- 60.0 percent
2. Oklahoma City -- 36.7 percent
3. Denver Nuggets -- 3.3 percent
Last year: Oklahoma City -- 67.9 percent
Oklahoma City's chances of winning its conference, not the title, its conference, have been nearly cut in half. There's been a lot of talk about how Oklahoma City is still the favorite and is still possibly better than LA. The GMs do not agree, and that's pretty clear.
And if you were wondering if the execs were still big on LeBron...
Who will win the 2012-13 MVP?
1. LeBron James, Miami -- 66.7%
If you were starting a franchise today and could sign any player in the NBA, who would it be?
1. LeBron James, Miami -- 80.0 percetn
Which player forces opposing coaches to make the most adjustments?
1. LeBron James, Miami -- 50.0 percent
Yeah, that's pretty big.
Kobe Bryant maintains his strangehold on "best shooting guard" and Chris Paul took point guard, Kevin Love power forward, and every GM except Mitch Kupchak (can't vote for your own player) and one other GM voted for Dwight Howard as best center. I tell you, it's a golden age of big men we live in.
OK, OK, you want something actually interesting? Kobe Bryant has been knocked off the perch of clutch shooter.
Which player would you want taking a shot with the game on the line?
1. Kevin Durant , Oklahoma City -- 46.7 percent
2. Kobe Bryant, L.A. Lakers -- 40.0 percent
3. Carmelo Anthony , New York Knicks -- 6.7 percent
In reality, Bryant needs to be much lower on the list. You can talk about all the ones you've seen him hit, but the facts, not some sort of mystical formula, the actual facts, show that Bryant hit about 1 out of every 3 shots late in the game in a tight contest. That's just not good. But then again, Durant wasn't substantially better. He was just above 40 percent in the final two minutes in a five-point game.
We can talk about whether clutch actually exists, or if it matters, and there are points to be made on either side. But perception doesn't match reality here. Maybe it doesn't need to, but regardless, it doesn't.
Oh, here's a fun one.
Which player makes the most of limited natural ability?
1. Kevin Love, Minnesota Timberwolves -- 34.5 percent
2. Shane Battier , Miami -- 10.3 percent
3. Marc Gasol , Memphis Grizzlies -- 6.9 percent
Also receiving votes: Ryan Anderson , New Orleans Pelicans ; Matt Bonner , San Antonio Spurs ; Nick Collison , Oklahoma City; Roy Hibbert , Indiana Pacers ; Jared Dudley , Phoenix Suns ; Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City; Danny Green , San Antonio; Chuck Hayes , Sacramento Kings ; Kris Humphries , Brooklyn Nets ; Paul Millsap , Utah Jazz ; Steve Nash , L.A. Lakers; Steve Novak , New York; Luis Scola , Phoenix; Anderson Varejao , Cleveland Cavaliers
Last year: Kevin Love -- 26.9%
Is it just me or did it get paler in here?
But maybe this is the best example of just how much trolling the GMs are doing, with their second-biggest response here:
Which team has the best home-court advantage?
1. Oklahoma City -- 70.0 percent
2. Miami -- 10.0%, Utah -- 10.0 percent
Also receiving votes: Denver, L.A. Lakers, Portland Trail Blazers
Last year: Oklahoma City -- 44.4 percent
Miami, second best home-court advantage.
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