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Power Rankings: For winning rookies, it's quality, not quantity of shots

Updated Nov. 10

Already the talk has begun.

Tyreke Evans is a shoo-in to win the Rookie of the Year award.

Sturdy rebounder DeJuan Blair (45) is shooting 61 percent from the floor; Tyreke Evans is managing just 40 percent. (AP)  
Sturdy rebounder DeJuan Blair (45) is shooting 61 percent from the floor; Tyreke Evans is managing just 40 percent. (AP)  
Uh, unless Brandon Jennings can keep up his incredible early pace.

With Blake Griffin watching from the sideline and Ricky Rubio catching only highlights from abroad, the race to capture the league's top-rookie hardware might appear to be a two-stud staredown.

But numbers can be deceiving.

Jennings and Evans are off to fabulous starts. No doubt about it. They rank 1-2 in scoring among rookies in the early going.

But have they been the most impactful first-year players so far? It says here: No.

Any NBA observer worth his meal-room credential will tell you it's easy putting up points for a bad team. And while the Kings and Bucks have surprised some in the first fortnight, make no mistake about it: They are bad teams.

Two numbers tell you everything you need to know about the efficiency of Evans and Jennings: 40.2 and 43.0. Those were their shooting percentages as they prepared to enter their third full week of pay-for-play.

In other words, they're scoring a lot because they're shooting a lot. It's a luxury afforded to rookies on talent-challenged teams.

I believe three other rookies have outplayed them so far. They'd be 1-2-3 on my Rookie of the Year ballot if the election were held today:

  Ty Lawson, Nuggets: The North Carolina standout was acquired on draft day to back up Chauncey Billups at the point, but he's been asked to be a whole lot more than that in his first seven games. With J.R. Smith suspended, the Nuggets have had to call upon Lawson to play almost half the game -- often alongside Billups -- and he has responded with difference-making shooting (55.4 percent) despite having already played on six different courts in his budding career.

  Chase Budinger, Rockets: The Nuggets got off to a fast start with one starter out of the lineup; the Rockets have done it with two. Their best two. Without Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady, the Rockets have completely shifted gears and counted upon long-range shooting to already surprise the likes of the Blazers and Jazz. Budinger has keyed the 3-point-shooting success, burying eight of 19 while shooting 52.5 percent overall.

  DeJuan Blair, Spurs: Like Lawson, Blair was brought in to back up a superstar, but has been so good early on, his coach already is looking for ways of playing them in tandem. In fact, it's been hard to tell when Tim Duncan has been out of the Spurs' lineup early on, with Blair having hit an amazing 61.1 percent of his shots while averaging 7.8 points and 7.6 rebounds in just 18.6 minutes per game.

Give Lawson and Budinger the same number of shots as Evans and Jennings, and they'd rank 1-2 among rookies in scoring. And put Blair on either the Kings or Bucks, and he might lead all NBA players in rebounds.

Who has the inside track to the Rookie of the Year hardware? The high scorers do, of course.

But who have been the best newcomers so far? Give me a winner -- or three -- anyway.

Thanks in large part to their first-year players' contributions, the Nuggets, Rockets and Spurs all have playoff-worthy positions in my latest CBSSports.com NBA Power Rankings:

Power Rankings
CurrentTeamPrevious
1Lakers · Trends5
Kobe Bryant tops 40 for 100th time; just 171 more to catch Chamberlain. ... Gasol (24 and 13 in season debut vs. Bulls) is best Lakers big man since Little Dipper -- Shaq.
2Magic · Trends4
Three nice wins dwarfed by one huge loss -- Jameer Nelson to knee surgery. ... New look, same result: Vince Carter outplays Rasheed Wallace in playoff rematch.
3Cavaliers · Trends1
Club leads by 17, then loses by 17 at Washington. ... Maybe this is why LeBron didn't pick 13 as his new number: Teammate Delonte West beat him to it.
4Hawks · Trends2
No. 1 in home record (7-0), No. 17 in home attendance. ... Shot of week is closest one: Josh Smith spikes home game winner vs. Rockets.
5Suns · Trends6
Shaq couldn't do this: New center Channing Frye has at least one 3 in all 14 games, 38 in all. ... 13 vs. 13: Nash leads Wilt in all-time assists 7,667-4,643.
6Nuggets · Trends3
Looking to move back up: Next five against Nets, Timberwolves twice, Knicks, Warriors. ... Nothing is automatic: Loss to Clippers was first since 2007.
7Celtics · Trends7
Non-elite team, non-elite star: Kevin Garnett is 72nd in league in scoring, 27th in rebounding. ... Celtics, Knicks go to overtime for 32nd time in history.
8Mavericks · Trends10
Erick Dampier out of the lineup, team goes on winning streak. Coincidence? ... Replacement center Drew Gooden goes 11-14-11-16 on boards in his first four starts.
9Trail Blazers · Trends9
Embarrassed club rebounds from loss at Golden State with 28-, 24-point romps. ... Warriors (108) only foe to reach 100 this month.
10Rockets · Trends11
Impressive aspect of 8-6 record: Rugged schedule that's included Lakers, Blazers twice apiece. ... Tracy McGrady returns to practice, says he's ready to go. Now what?
11Jazz · Trends18
Out of nowhere: Wesley Matthews starting, Jazz winning. ... Triumph at San Antonio is first in 10-plus years.
12Bucks · Trends15
No Andrew Bogut, no defense: Grizzlies, Spurs average 105 after just three of Milwaukee's first 10 foes top 100. ... Michael Redd returns vs. Spurs, goes 1 for 6 from line.
13Heat · Trends8
Team losing (four of six), but Michael Beasley's numbers picking up (19.7 points, 10.0 rebounds last three). ... Last two wins: 1-pointers over Nets, Hornets.
14Spurs · Trends14
Matt Bonner (23 points) an unlikely star in win over Bucks. ... It's a long season: Team won't rush Manu Ginobili (groin) back.
15Thunder · Trends17
Sixth Man Award nominee: James Harden drops in 24, 25 points in consecutive games off bench. ... Another comeback looms: More knee surgery for Shaun Livingston.
16Raptors · Trends12
Two Western trips, same results: Win first game, lose rest. ... Jarrett Jack picking up steam: 17 points vs. Heat, 11 assists vs. Magic.
17Bulls · Trends13
"Circus Trip" turning into circus: Club drubbed by Lakers, Nuggets, Blazers. ... Best No. 13 center in game today: Gotta be Joakim Noah.
18Hornets · Trends23
New coach winning with new look: Marcus Thornton and Darren Collison excel during three-game streak. ... Finally a break in schedule: Two apiece vs. Kings, Timberwolves in 11-day stretch.
19Bobcats · Trends20
First win of Stephen Jackson era: He's nailed with technical in victory over Pacers. ... Jackson factor? Gerald Wallace held to 11 points in three of new teammate's four games.
20Pacers · Trends16
Losing streak has silver lining: Mike Dunleavy is cleared to return to practice. ... Tar Heels coach Roy Williams watches Tyler Hansbrough lose in North Carolina homecoming.
21Wizards · Trends24
Club's three wins followed by 11-, 12-, 19-point losses. ... One problem: Gilbert Arenas is averaging 20 shots in past six games, making 34 percent.
22Pistons · Trends19
Tough trip, rough outcomes: Losses to Lakers, Blazers, Jazz, Suns. ... How the mighty have fallen: Someone named Jonas Jerebko is starting at forward.
2376ers · Trends22
How to blow possible upset: 10-point fourth melts late lead vs. Cavs. ... Improvement noted: Elton Brand averaging 19.7 points, 10.3 rebounds in last three after 9.8, 5.3 in first 10 games.
24Kings · Trends21
Club survives scare: Tyreke Evans' middle finger is sprained, not broken. ... Streaky team has three-, four-game losing skids sandwiching four-game winning run.
25Clippers · Trends25
Go figure: Baron Davis shoots 4-for-21 combined in wins over Nuggets, Timberwolves. ... Another Clippers low: Broadcasters ejected for comments about Grizzlies' Hamed Haddadi.
26Warriors · Trends26
Making new friends: Injured Raja Bell leads spirited effort at Boston, then leaves for wrist surgery. ... Just thinking of Mark Cuban makes Don Nelson sick; he sits out Southwest trip.
27Grizzlies · Trends27
Lightweight champ: Team beats Timberwolves, Clippers, 76ers, Kings in 10-day stretch. ... Nobody hotter than Rudy Gay: 41 for 72 (.569), 25.5 average in last four games.
28Knicks · Trends28
Winning can be comical: Nate Robinson shoots at wrong basket in victory over Nets. ... Sad state of Allen Iverson: Even Knicks say he's not worthy.
29Timberwolves · Trends29
Team has failed to score more than 87 points in the last six games (all losses). ... No holiday treat: Second and final showdown with Nets looms Dec. 23.
30Nets · Trends30
Better days ahead: Devin Harris returns in loss to Knicks. ... Looking for first win? Club visits Sacramento during weeklong Western trip.
 
 

Talk Back
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 7, 2006

November 11, 2009 11:27 pm
Go on, Hammer Andrew, Slam Ersan, Mock Meeks. It's all good, because right after you post your weak little dig at Brandon Jennings, He goes off for 32 points on 11 for 19 shooting, with 4 rebounds, 9 assists, and four turnovers, plus and double plus, his "bad team", the ...(more)
Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 18, 2006

November 10, 2009 10:14 pm
Last time I checked, Jonny Flynn is almost averaging as many points as Tyreke Evans (15 ppg - 15.9 ppg respectably) and Jonny Flynn is shooting 48.9% from the floor and 86.7% from the foul line.  And he is averaging 4 minutes less than Evans.

...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 11, 2007

November 11, 2009 11:12 am
Could CBS please update their Raptors Graphic?  They took Purple out of it LAST YEAR. 

I know its a stupid logo, and probably the stupidist name in the NBA (and that really says somthing) but could it atleast be correct?  How long can this possibly take?
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 31, 2006

November 11, 2009 11:47 pm
Byron Scott in New Orleans...Even with the addition of Emeka Okafor, who is playing well, this team just allowed Phoenix to drop 75 on them in a half.  They don't look like they've recovered from that playoff beatdown they suffered against Denver last season.  Love Byron Scott, but I don't know how much longer ...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 15, 2009

November 10, 2009 8:52 pm
You can't just look at shooting percentages and tell me Evans and Jennings don't deserve ROY. Of course, they've been shooting a lot. They have HAD to shoot a lot. Redd's down in Milwaukee. Martin is down in Sacramento. Evans and Jennings are talented players whose teams need them to score. We know it, their temas know it and their opponents know it. So they are shooting a lot. The more you shoot ...(more)
Reputation:79
Level:Pro
Since:Dec 2, 2008

November 11, 2009 12:04 pm
The last thing the Nuggets need is Stephen Jackson.  Denver has a spotty reputation as things currently stand and even as a Nuggets fan I can unfortunately understand why.  Carmelo Anthony's slapping the Knicks ...(more)
Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 19, 2008

November 10, 2009 6:27 pm
...win at Portland, as Sacramento, and at home against the Nuggets and only lose once the last game of a road trip at Charlotte and drop 2 spots in the rankings?

The Heat lose to Phoenix at home lost to Washington on the road and then beat the same Nuggets at home and th
...(more)
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 24, 2006

November 14, 2009 11:14 am
go ahead.
just because you were dead wrong before the season, rather than apologize just keep on believing the Kings and Bucks are terrible.

even though they have winning streaks.
even though they have winning records.

keep on saying it, all the way to
...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 18, 2008

November 11, 2009 7:40 pm
This will soon be a known fact...mark my words.  They are maybe a top10 team right now.  Portland is also over rated.  They are not a championship caliber team. 

ROY: Johnny Flynn (This guy will be a winner)

Comeback Player of the Year:  Jason Richardson (I am learning really quick
...(more)
Reputation:74
Level:Pro
Since:Aug 21, 2007

November 10, 2009 7:30 pm
Pistons lottery? What an idiot. The pistons have been playing great ball. Love how they don't mention beating orlando.
Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Jul 18, 2007

November 11, 2009 6:02 pm
How's that Hasheem Thabeet pick working out now? Meanwhile DeJuan Blair falls to the Spurs in the Second round...you know the guy that DOMINATED Thabeet in Big East Matchups over and over again?

Nice to see a Pitt guy coming into the league and
...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Apr 16, 2008

November 11, 2009 11:04 am
Did he seriously say that losing Devin Harris is a good thing for the Nets because he was shooting 32% in TWO games? Really? Really?

The only reason why it would be a good thing for them is they're going to continue losing games until he comes back and it's al
...(more)
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 24, 2006

November 10, 2009 10:02 pm
so by that logic there are at least 12 "bad teams" in the NBA?

i think an NBA writer would try to focus on the positive, i think any NBA team is pretty darn good.  and relatively speaking it's hard for almost half the league to be considered bad unless your only choices are "good team" or "bad team".

last time i checked the
...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Feb 5, 2007

November 12, 2009 1:05 am
Kings should be at least in the Top 20. Don't just assume that because they are the Kings they will falter. Ad of RIGHT NOW they are even in the top half of the league.
Reputation:93
Level:All-Star
Since:Oct 1, 2006

November 10, 2009 5:56 pm
It really dosen't matter that much but you really cant justify the Suns being ahead of Orlando.

Orlando just spanked the suns without Carter and lewis (about 40 points per game missing) winning by a total of 20 pts or so, and were up 37 at one point in this game.

With that being said no way you can justify them being a
...(more)
 
 
 
 
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