For the gambler in you, Week 13

By Josh Katzowitz | NFL Writer

Each week, we'll take the best -- and cleverest -- odds collected by Bovada for the upcoming week and give our take. This is important stuff, perhaps the most important post you'll read all week. Because if you can't lose money while watching a game in which you have absolutely no effect, what's the point of watching sports at all?

Note: Home team is listed first in Against the Spread.

Game One: Bears -3.5 vs. Seahawks
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

2012 Against The Spread
Overall: 6-5Overall: 7-4
Home: 3-3Home: 5-0
Away: 3-2Away: 2-4
Last 5 vs. SEA: 2-3Last 5 vs. CHI: 3-2
2012 Team Rankings
Pass offense: 32ndPass defense: 3rd
Rush offense: 10thRush defense: 11th
Pass defense: 6thPass offense: 31st
Rush defense: 7thRush offense: 8th

Verdict: When you think about the two worst passing offenses in the league, Chicago and Seattle don't spring to mind. Mostly because Jay Cutler is having a solid season and Russell Wilson has had an imperssive rookie year. But this line is too low. The Bears have injury concerns, but they're coming off a big win against the Vikings. Seattle has played well in Chicago the past two seasons, but Cutler will find a way to get it done Sunday by more than a field goal.

Game Two: Raiders -1.5 vs. Browns

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

2012 Against The Spread
Overall: 3-8Overall: 6-4-1
Home: 1-4Home: 4-2
Away: 2-4Away: 2-2-1
Last 5 vs. CLE: 0-5Last 5 vs. OAK: 5-0
2012 Team Rankings
Pass offense: 8thPass defense: 20th
Rush offense: 29thRush defense: 18th
Pass defense: 23rdPass offense: 23rd
Rush defense: 27thRush offense: 26th

Verdict: On the CBSSports.com expert picks this week, I'm the only one taking the Raiders, and I'm not sure why. The Browns are a disaster, and although the Raiders are on a four-game losing streak -- yes, I realize that's also pretty terrible -- you can't expect Cleveland to travel across the entire country and beat the Raiders. The Browns won't.

Game Three (largest spread of week): Cowboys -10.5 vs. Eagles
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

2012 Against The Spread
Overall: 4-7Overall: 1-9-1
Home: 0-5Home: 0-5-1
Away: 4-2Away: 1-4
Last 5 vs. PHI: 2-3Last 5 vs. DAL: 3-2
2012 Team Rankings
Pass offense: 2ndPass defense: 13th
Rush offense: 32ndRush defense: 17th
Pass defense: 8thPass offense: 17th
Rush defense: 12thRush offense: 9th

Verdict: I don't know why I think the Eagles will cover. Well, except for the Cowboys' 0-5 record against the spread at home this season. But maybe after a few weeks, Philadelphia rookie quarterback Nick Foles will feel more comfortable in the pocket, and maybe, the Eagles defense this week won't let a receiver run down the middle of the field completely wide open. Philladelphia is underwhelming, but really, can we expect Dallas to cover this spread? I say no.

PROP BETS

Total fumbles lost by Steelers running backs Week 13?

Over/Under 1

Last week, every running back who played for Pittsburgh fumbled the ball -- and four Steelers took handoffs -- and overall, the team lost eight turnovers. Even if they cut their fumbles in half, the Steelers would still go over. That's what I'd bet.

Will the Cardinals lose their last 12 games of the regular season?

Yes 6-1

No 1-12

The odds are way against it, but I'd take this bet. The Cardinals should be underdogs in the rest of their games this season (vs. the Jets, Seahawks, Lions, Bears and 49ers), and new starting QB Ryan Lindley doesn't give me much confidence. I'd go yes.


Last week: 0-3 against the spread (missed on Packers +3.5 vs. Giants, Falcons -1.5 vs. Buccaneers, and Broncos -10.5 vs. Chiefs) and 1-1 on prop bets. Hit on Ronnie Hillman going under 55.5 rushing yards. Missed on Charlie Batch going over 200.5 passing yards.

Overall: 17-19 against the spread; 27-9-1 on prop bets; two props still undecided (Ken Whisenhunt first coach to get fired; Robert Griffin III won't lead the league in completion percentage at the end of the regular season).

For more NFL news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnNFL on Twitter, and subscribe to our Pick-6 Podcast and NFL newsletter. You can follow Josh Katzowitz on Twitter here: @joshkatzowitz.

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