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2014 Super Bowl Odds: Rodgers injury tilts NFC North needle

By Will Brinson | NFL Writer

Aaron Rodgers injury seriously affects the current 2014 Super Bowl odds. (USATSI)

Ed. Note: These Super Bowl odds were set before the Minnesota-Washington game Thursday but published after. There's an asterisk. Washington will be lower and Minnesota will be higher.

That Aaron Rodgers injury on Monday night was pretty big, huh? Obviously the broken collarbone that Rodgers suffered was a massive blow to the Packers in Week 9 alone: they couldn't finish the job at home, in primetime, against a Bears team without Jay Cutler.

But it's a much bigger deal for Green Bay going forward, something reflected by the heavy shift in odds around the NFC North. The Packers' drop wasn't crazy precipitous or anything: they only fell from 9-1 to 14-1. But that's a pretty huge drop for a team as hot as they were and it also signifies that we don't yet know how long Rodgers will be out. If a week goes by and Seneca Wallace doesn't look good and the prognosis gets worse for Mr. Doublecheck, the Packers will keep falling.

Meanwhile we saw two other NFC North teams -- the Bears (33-1) and Lions (33-1) -- quickly move upwards. Relative to Green Bay, I'd call both nicely-priced bets. I wouldn't want to ride Josh McCown all season long but kudos to Quarterback Whisperer Marc Trestman for getting him ready to get it done in Green Bay. I wouldn't put it against them performing with Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon Marshall turning into a filthy 1-2 receiving punch.

The Lions moved up despite being on a bye because of the sudden change in the division. They've got a showdown in Chicago for the right to first place. A win there -- which is entirely possible given how good the offense looks with Reggie Bush and Calvin Johnson on the field together -- and suddenly Detroit's prospects are much, MUCH brighter than they were with just two minutes left in Week 8's game against Dallas.

Notable Movements

  • The Panthers keep on climbing. We'll see where they are after San Francisco (15-2) and New England (9-1) in the next two weeks. They'll either be a really nice price or really, REALLY expensive.
  • The Falcons (500-1) have the same odds as the Raiders (500-1). Friendly reminder no one knows anything.
  • Expect the Redskins (100-1) to drop drastically after their Thursday night loss. Vikings (1000-1) shouldn't see much upward mobility in a tough division.
TeamWeek 9 Odds
Week 10 Odds
Trend
TeamWeek 9 Odds
Week 10 Odds
Trend
Broncos13-410-3Chargers
50-175-1
Seahawks9-25-1Ravens
66-1100-1
49ers15-215-2Jets
200-1100-1
Patriots12-19-1Titans
200-1100-1
Saints15-29-1Redskins*
125-1100-1
Colts16-112-1Texans
100-1150-1
Chiefs12-112-1Cardinals
150-1200-1
Packers9-114-1Browns
500-1200-1
Bengals14-118-1Steelers
125-1250-1
Cowboys28-125-1Falcons
150-1500-1
Panthers33-128-1Raiders
250-1500-1
Bears75-133-1Bills
500-1750-1
Lions40-133-1Vikings*
750-11000-1
Eagles100-166-1Rams
500-11000-1
Dolphins150-175-1Buccaneers
OFFOFF
Giants75-175-1Jaguars
OFFOFF
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