For the first time all season the Broncos are out of the pole position. Following their loss on Sunday night to the Patriots, the Broncos are 9-2 and just ahead of the Chiefs for the top seed in the AFC.
The Seahawks reign at the top could be short depending on how Week 13's matchup against the Saints (13-2) on Monday night goes. If they handle New Orleans, they'll be firmly locked in the top spot and the Saints should see a dip with the expectation that whoever wins that game will ultimately get homefield advantage in the NFC.
For the Broncos, there has to be some concern with Peyton Manning not winning games in the cold and other narratives, etc. I don't necessarily buy into it, but it's got to factor into the Vegas price. (Although 3.5-1 isn't much worse off than 3-1.)
A loss Sunday in Arrowhead would make the Broncos a REALLY attractive buy if they fell far enough. A win coupled with the Seahawks struggling could flip the Broncos back into the top spot.
Whatever the case, none of the options up top are particularly cheap, with the Patriots (7-1) dipping back below 10-1. Speculating on the 49ers (10-1) wouldn't be a bad idea with Michael Crabtree coming back and Aldon Smith starting to round into shape.
- We've got six total teams OFF the board as the Raiders and Texans fell out along with the Falcons, Vikings, Buccaneers and Jaguars. This time last year the Texans and Falcons were the No. 1 seeds in their respective conferences.
- The Steelers (50-1) and Cardinals (50-1) are straight up creeping on boards. Pittsburgh's within shouting distance of the Bengals (22-1) and definitely in play for the AFC Wild Card. Arizona's just a half game back of the 49ers (10-1) in the NFC West and the NFC Wild Card.
- The Giants (100-1) look a lot worse off than they did even a week ago. Their surge was a mirage.
- The Titans (100-1) were left for dead a week ago but now find themselves in the
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