Here's the blurb from my early busts column for 2014 on running back Chris Johnson, who signed with the Jets on Wednesday. I was planning to call Johnson a bust no matter where he signed, and landing with the Jets didn't change that feeling.
The full column should be posted shortly, but given the news Wednesday here's what I expect to happen for Johnson this year. ...
The Jets decided to gamble on Johnson after the Titans released him in April, and his days as a featured running back are over. He will share playing time with Chris Ivory, and whether he remains the starter is irrelevant because he's not a workhorse anymore.
Keep in mind we're talking about a running back with a career-low 3.9 yards-per-carry in 2013. He still managed to finish as the No. 9 Fantasy running back last season, but that was his first Top 10 finish since 2010. He has gone three years in a row with six rushing touchdowns or less, and the only reason he was in the Top 10 this season was a career-high four receiving touchdowns (his previous high was two in 2009).
He'll be 29 in September and hasn't been the same running back since his 2,000-yard season in 2009. Right now he's outside of my Top 24 running backs in the rankings, and I don't plan on moving him up.
I'll likely end up considering him just a flex option worth a pick in Round 5 at the earliest, but someone else can draft him. If I want the better Jets running back I'll wait another round or two later and settle for Ivory, who has more upside.