Prisco Picks: Super Bowl

 
 
CBSSports.com Senior Writer Pete Prisco predicts the score of each NFL game every week.
 
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Sunday, Feb. 3, 2013
Baltimore Ravens 34, San Francisco 49ers 31
27The San Francisco 49ers were my early Super Bowl pick. They aren't anymore. 49ers fans, rejoice. Ravens fans, get mad. When I initially made my pick for Super Bowl XLVII, the 49ers were my choice. I thought they would win by six or so. But after spending four days last week diving into tape from both teams, closely studying each player and the schemes and individual matchups, the pick will be the Ravens. Officially. This is the pick of record. What made me change, something I rarely do? Here are a few of the reasons: I still have problems seeing a running quarterback winning a Super Bowl. Yes, Colin Kaepernick has been great in the playoffs, but he has just nine total starts. That concerns me. Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco is playing at an elite level, even if he's not considered an elite quarterback. Flacco has eight touchdown passes and no interceptions in the postseason. The 49ers are vulnerable to the pass when they get spread out, which I think the Ravens will do. The physical defenses, teams like Seattle, St. Louis and the Giants, all had good games against the 49ers offense. They did so because the down players could win at the line of scrimmage. Now that Haloti Ngata and Terrell Suggs are healthier, I think the Ravens can win up front as well. Torrey Smith. His speed will cause big problems outside for the 49ers secondary. He might get 100 yards receiving. Dennis Pitta will have success on the underneath routes against the 49ers' Cover-2 scheme. Big brother always beats little brother. Ravens coach John Harbaugh is older than 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh. I also think the Ravens are on a roll. They have meshed after that late three-game losing streak during the regular season. Their young players have improved, and their older players are healthy again. It's a nice mix. One more thing: I will take a pocket passer all day long and again this Sunday over a running quarterback. Read-option? Not for my Super pick.
Result: Baltimore Ravens 34, San Francisco 49ers 31
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PRISCO'S WEEKLY WINNING PERCENTAGE
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62%81%43%66%71%42%76%71%57%71%71%68%68%62%56%68%62%64%
 
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