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Prisco's Picks: Week 20

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Senior NFL Columnist
Pete Prisco has covered the NFL for three decades, including working as a beat reporter in Jacksonville for the Jaguars. He hosted his own radio show for seven years, and can be seen throughout the week on CBS Sports' NFL shows. When he's not watching game tape you can find Pete on Twitter or dreaming of an Arizona State national title in football.
Sunday, Jan. 18, 2015
Green Bay
How do you pick against the Seahawks in their place? Like this: I am picking Green Bay. I picked the Packers to get to the Super Bowl before the season, and I am sticking with it. Aaron Rodgers was sensational last week against Dallas, and I expect the same here. The Seattle defense is special, and presents a heck of a challenge. But I think Rodgers will be much more aggressive in this one than he was in the first meeting, which Seattle won easily. If the Packers go in there and try to line up and run it, they will be in trouble. They have to throw to score, and run to win. Pound it with a lead. Seattle is so good feasting on turnovers and turning them into points. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson was impressive last week against the Panthers, which he has been in all of his playoff games. Last week, he did it in the pocket, which is a sign of more growth. But Green Bay should make sure to keep him there. If he wins from there, he'll earn it. Don't let him get outside. He is really good with his head up on the run making big plays. The Seahawks want to run Marshawn Lynch, control the clock and have Wilson make big plays with both his arm and his legs. He is capable, but I think Packers defensive coordinator Dom Capers will be ready with a good plan to keep him in the pocket. On the other side, I think the aggressive approach will pay off for the Green Bay offense. It will be fun. It will be nasty. It will be what we want with a Super Bowl on the line. I just think it's Rodgers' time again. Upset.
Result: Green Bay Packers 22, Seattle Seahawks 28
In the first meeting the Patriots ran it right at the Colts in a blowout victory in Week 11. They lined up with an extra offensive lineman on a majority of snaps and powered it right through the Colts defense. But the Colts defense is better now up front. Running it on them won't be nearly as easy. The Indianapolis secondary is playing well, too. But they don't have a great pass rush, which is why Tom Brady will have success throwing it around -- especially to Rob Gronkowski, who has three touchdowns in the past two games against the Colts. On the other side, Andrew Luck will present a heck of a challenge for the Patriots defense, which wasn't great last week against the Ravens. Luck has struggled in three games against New England, and he hasn't been great on the road. But he was impressive last week against the Broncos, even with two interceptions, and he is capable of getting as hot as any quarterback in the league. For that reason, I think he will keep his team in this one for a while. Sometimes the hot team keeps rolling, but not all the way. I think New England is too good and Brady is lethal at home. That continues with the Patriots earning their way to the Super Bowl -- this time behind Brady's arm, not the run.
Result: New England Patriots 45, Indianapolis Colts 7
New England
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