2013 Super Bowl Odds: Conference Championship Weekend

Staring at the number of teams with Super Bowl odds left (four) reminds me how many football games are left this year (three) and that gives me a sad.

But we have to carry on anyway and provide you with the latest Vegas assessment of who will take home the Lombardi Trophy. As you might guess, the Patriots (1-1) are the top favorite, checking in at even money. New England looked great Sunday, but betting even money on a team to win two straight games is foolish.

The 49ers (15-4) are favored at Atlanta (by a whopping 4.5 points, no less), so it's no surprise they're the second-rated team by Vegas.

Conversely, we should expect Atlanta (11-2) to be the third favorite, and they are. They're also the largest home underdogs in Conference Championship history at 4.5 points. That's stunning. I love them as a value play, especially considering they get a home game and, if they advance to the Super Bowl, the familiarity of playing in New Orleans (a divisional opponent) and the bonus of playing in a dome. Did I mention I picked them to win the Super Bowl before the season began yet?

Baltimore checks in at 15-2, an unsurprising number given their weaknesses and the fact that the path to the Super Bowl goes through New England. I don't love betting against Ray Lewis and this "team of destiny" business, though.

And because we've got just four teams left, we also have a reasonably digestable set of Super Bowl matchup odds this week, too. You'll never guess what Vegas thinks the best matchup is!

Oh, you guessed Patriots-49ers (5-6)? Good guess. Second, as you might assume based on New England being the top favorite, is a Patriots-Falcons (9-4) Super Bowl.

The third matchup is Ravens-49ers (6-1). Falcons-Ravens (9-1) is the least likely matchup, according to Las Vegas. Honestly, the odds involved with Falcons-Ravens are almost good enough to warrant throwing something down.

Baltimore's been close to beating New England before (last year's Conference Championship Game) and actually beat them earlier this year. The Falcons are just getting disrespected on their home turf, and the 49ers are getting too much credit, in my mind.

Remember: the NFL rarely plays out the way everyone actually thinks it will.

Team Div. Round Odds

Conf. Champ. Odds

Trend
Team Div. Round Odds
Conf. Champ. Odds
Trend
New England Patriots 15-4 1-1 New York Jets
OFF OFF
San Francisco 49ers 6-1 15-4 Los Angeles Rams
 OFF OFF
Atlanta Falcons
6-1 11-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
OFF  OFF
Baltimore Ravens
18-1 15-2 Los Angeles Chargers
OFF OFF
Denver Broncos
3-1 OFF Buffalo Bills
OFF OFF
Green Bay Packers
10-1 OFF Cleveland Browns
OFF  OFF
Seattle Seahawks
7-1 OFF Miami Dolphins
OFF OFF
Houston Texans
18-1 OFF New Orleans Saints
OFF OFF
Washington Redskins
OFF OFF Tennessee Titans
 OFF OFF
Minnesota Vikings
OFF OFF Oakland Raiders
 OFF OFF
Cincinnati Bengals
OFF OFF Detroit Lions
OFF OFF
Indianapolis Colts
OFF  OFF Arizona Cardinals
 OFF OFF
Dallas Cowboys
OFF  OFF Philadelphia Eagles
OFF OFF
New York Giants
OFF  OFF Carolina Panthers
OFF OFF
Chicago Bears
OFF OFF Kansas City Chiefs
OFF OFF
Pittsburgh Steelers
OFF OFF Jacksonville Jaguars
OFF OFF

For more NFL news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnNFL on Twitter, subscribe to our RSS Feed watch Pro Football 360 daily at 3 p.m. ET and NFL newsletter. You can follow Will Brinson on Twitter here: @willbrinson.

CBS Sports Senior Writer

Will Brinson joined CBS Sports in 2010 and enters his seventh season covering the NFL for CBS. He previously wrote for FanHouse along with myriad other Internet sites. A North Carolina native who lives... Full Bio

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