2014 Super Bowl Odds: Rodgers injury tilts NFC North needle

Aaron Rodgers injury seriously affects the current 2014 Super Bowl odds. (USATSI)

Ed. Note: These Super Bowl odds were set before the Minnesota-Washington game Thursday but published after. There's an asterisk. Washington will be lower and Minnesota will be higher.

That Aaron Rodgers injury on Monday night was pretty big, huh? Obviously the broken collarbone that Rodgers suffered was a massive blow to the Packers in Week 9 alone: they couldn't finish the job at home, in primetime, against a Bears team without Jay Cutler.

But it's a much bigger deal for Green Bay going forward, something reflected by the heavy shift in odds around the NFC North. The Packers' drop wasn't crazy precipitous or anything: they only fell from 9-1 to 14-1. But that's a pretty huge drop for a team as hot as they were and it also signifies that we don't yet know how long Rodgers will be out. If a week goes by and Seneca Wallace doesn't look good and the prognosis gets worse for Mr. Doublecheck, the Packers will keep falling.

Meanwhile we saw two other NFC North teams -- the Bears (33-1) and Lions (33-1) -- quickly move upwards. Relative to Green Bay, I'd call both nicely-priced bets. I wouldn't want to ride Josh McCown all season long but kudos to Quarterback Whisperer Marc Trestman for getting him ready to get it done in Green Bay. I wouldn't put it against them performing with Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon Marshall turning into a filthy 1-2 receiving punch.

The Lions moved up despite being on a bye because of the sudden change in the division. They've got a showdown in Chicago for the right to first place. A win there -- which is entirely possible given how good the offense looks with Reggie Bush and Calvin Johnson on the field together -- and suddenly Detroit's prospects are much, MUCH brighter than they were with just two minutes left in Week 8's game against Dallas.

Notable Movements

  • The Panthers keep on climbing. We'll see where they are after San Francisco (15-2) and New England (9-1) in the next two weeks. They'll either be a really nice price or really, REALLY expensive.
  • The Falcons (500-1) have the same odds as the Raiders (500-1). Friendly reminder no one knows anything.
  • Expect the Redskins (100-1) to drop drastically after their Thursday night loss. Vikings (1000-1) shouldn't see much upward mobility in a tough division.
Team Week 9  Odds
Week 10  Odds
Trend
Team Week 9 Odds
Week 10 Odds
Trend
Denver Broncos 13-4 10-3 San Diego Chargers
50-1 75-1
Seattle Seahawks 9-2 5-1 Baltimore Ravens
66-1 100-1
San Francisco 49ers 15-2 15-2 New York Jets
200-1 100-1
New England Patriots 12-1 9-1 Tennessee Titans
200-1 100-1
New Orleans Saints 15-2 9-1 Washington Redskins *
125-1 100-1
Indianapolis Colts 16-1 12-1 Houston Texans
100-1 150-1
Kansas City Chiefs 12-1 12-1 Arizona Cardinals
150-1 200-1
Green Bay Packers 9-1 14-1 Cleveland Browns
500-1 200-1
Cincinnati Bengals 14-1 18-1 Pittsburgh Steelers
125-1 250-1
Dallas Cowboys 28-1 25-1 Atlanta Falcons
150-1 500-1
Carolina Panthers 33-1 28-1 Oakland Raiders
250-1 500-1
Chicago Bears 75-1 33-1 Buffalo Bills
500-1 750-1
Detroit Lions 40-1 33-1 Minnesota Vikings *
750-1 1000-1
Philadelphia Eagles 100-1 66-1 St. Louis Rams
500-1 1000-1
Miami Dolphins 150-1 75-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
OFF OFF
New York Giants 75-1 75-1 Jacksonville Jaguars
OFF OFF
CBS Sports Senior Writer

Will Brinson joined CBS Sports in 2010 and enters his seventh season covering the NFL for CBS. He previously wrote for FanHouse along with myriad other Internet sites. A North Carolina native who lives... Full Bio

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