2014 Super Bowl Odds: Undefeated but still not totally trusted

As you probably know by now, there are seven undefeated teams in the NFL. Almost half of those are a surprise. The Seattle Seahawks , Denver Broncos and New England Patriots at 3-0? Not so much. Those are the top three teams in our Super Bowl odds this week and they were three of the top four teams in our preseason Super Bowl odds

So what about the other four teams? Well it appears that Vegas doesn't totally trust the New Orleans Saints , Chicago Bears , Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins .

New Orleans (12-1) has the "best" odds (read: worst, if you're betting on it) of the group but it's not like they're in the Denver/Seattle range here. Shouldn't they be? They have Drew Brees, Jimmy Graham is playing like a man possessed and Rob Ryan/Cameron Jordan has this defense playing like it never has before. The Saints are dangerous, man.

Chicago has creeped down as well (16-1) but hasn't changed that much from the start of the season, when they were 25-1 to win it all. That happens when you're in the same division as the Green Bay Packers (14-1) and Detroit Lions (40-1), I suppose, but by the middle of last year the Bears climbed as high as 8-1. I'm not saying the Bears should be the top favorites but it's odd they haven't climbed more, even though some of their wins are last-second action.

The Dolphins (25-1) and the Chiefs (33-1) are a little ... odd as well. It's almost like Vegas is waiting for these teams to do what the Arizona Cardinals did last season. Is that going to happen? I dunno. The Chiefs have a legit defense and as long as Alex Smith/Jamaal Charles/Dwayne Bowe are around the offense will be capable. Miami's red flag -- for me -- is the hits that Ryan Tannehill's taken this year. But the biggest reason to believe in the Dolphins is Tannehill to begin with.

75 percent of the teams that go 3-0 to start a season end up making the playoffs. That means these squads already have a leg up on a shot at the Super Bowl. Which is what makes the relative lack of respect from Vegas fairly surprising.

Notable Movements:
Crazy to only have one NFC East team -- the Dallas Cowboys (22-1) on the left side of the chart below. That's an extremely popular division even when it's not very good. The public's never shy of dumping money on the New York Giants (75-1), Philadelphia Eagles (75-1) and Washington Redskins (100-1). But with those three teams a combined 1-8 it's completely understandable.

That Pittsburgh Steelers "bandwagon" I talked about last week? They have worse Super Bowl odds than the freaking New York Jets man. Of course the Jets aren't winless and headed to London in a backs-against-the-wall game against the Minnesota Vikings . So there's that.

Jacksonville Jaguars Watch, Week 4: FIVE THOUSAND TO ONE. Would you even waste a dollar on this, though? Those odds are ridiculous. And it's only Week 4. They won't get pulled until Jacksonville is mathematically eliminated (Week 10?) so we could see some historic digits here, people.

Team Week 3  Odds
Week 4  Odds
Team Week 3  Odds
Week 4 Odds
Broncos 4-1 7-2 Carolina Panthers
100-1 66-1
Seahawks 6-1 17-4 Tennessee Titans
100-1 66-1
Patriots 10-1 10-1 Giants
40-1 75-1
Saints 16-1 12-1 Eagles
33-1 75-1
San Francisco 49ers 8-1 12-1 San Diego Chargers
66-1 75-1
Packers 11-1 14-1 Redskins
50-1 100-1
Bears 20-1 16-1 Jets
150-1 125-1
Cincinnati Bengals 18-1 16-1 Steelers
100-1 125-1
Houston Texans 12-1 20-1 Cardinals
100-1 150-1
Cowboys 33-1 22-1 Buffalo Bills
100-1 150-1
Chiefs 33-1 25-1 Cleveland Browns
200-1 150-1
Atlanta Falcons 18-1 28-1 St. Louis Rams
66-1 150-1
Baltimore Ravens 33-1 28-1 Vikings
150-1 250-1
Indianapolis Colts 66-1 33-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
150-1 250-1
Dolphins 33-1 33-1 Oakland Raiders
250-1 500-1
Lions 50-1 40-1 Jaguars
1000-1 5000-1
CBS Sports Senior Writer

Will Brinson joined CBS Sports in 2010 and enters his seventh season covering the NFL for CBS. He previously wrote for FanHouse along with myriad other Internet sites. A North Carolina native who lives... Full Bio

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