2014 Super Bowl Odds: Who are Vegas-style Super Bowl sleepers?
Who are some Vegas-style sleepers to win the 2014 Super Bowl? Let's examine the Super Bowl odds.
Less than 48 hours, people, and we've got the return of football. Which means you've got less than 48 hours to place your Super Bowl futures bets. OK, you can actually bet on the Super Bowl any time during the season but it's roughly a billion times more satisfying to correctly predict the winner before the games actually start.
You can find out who all us experts at CBSSports.com are picking right here. And you know the favorites. How about some sleepers instead? We'll only consider folks who are above 20-1 to win and because we're not stupid, let's eliminate everyone above 100-1.
Kevin Bradley, Sportsbook Manager at Bovada.lv, said that the Broncos and 49ers have taken more money than anyone else to win the Super Bowl but that the "Bears and Cowboys have seen significant action the last couple of weeks." We'll steer clear of them too.
I'm a fan, from a sleeper perspective, of a couple different teams with reasonably big odds. That doesn't mean they're locks to win the Super Bowl, but you're staring at a nice price for a team that could have much lower odds later in the year.
The Bengals are everyone's hot-to-trot sleeper in the AFC North but I don't like them dipping from 35-1 to 25-1 since the draft. Too many people on a bandwagon for a team without any playoff wins under Marvin Lewis. (Plus that's Pete Prisco's bandwagon.) However the Ravens, at 28-1, are just ridiculously underpriced. This is the freaking defending champion, guys. They didn't lose that much in personnel from last season and will ultimately have a better defense in 2013.
People appear to be leaping off the Colts and Redskins bandwagons. Both teams have something to prove defensively but that's not horrible value for betting on Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin III. Everyone knows you need a great quarterback to win it all, right?
The Rams are a team I love here. At 50-1 they're creeping down from a ridiculous 60-1 price but a $10 wager could net you $500 if everything breaks right. Given Sam Bradford's actually got weapons this year, the defense is going to be stout and the Rams went 4-1-1 against the NFC West last season, well, there are worse gambles you could make.
But my favorite pick here is the Panthers. They're the last team before the odds go over the hundo cliff and at 66-1 they offer tremendous value. There are certainly concerns; the secondary could be a major problem and the offensive line is secretly kind of a nightmare. But they've got one of the best linebackers in the NFL (and my pick for Defensive Player of the Year) in Luke Kuechly, the addition of Kawaan Short and Star Lotulelei to beef up the defensive line and the presence of Cam Newton under center.
I don't think the Panthers ultimately end up paying that bet off for you. But they can win their division; any of the four teams there could ultimately steal the NFC South. If Carolina does that they just need their quarterback to get hot. Assuming Cam plays the way I expect in 2013, it's entirely possible they could pull it off. A longshot, yes, but that's what we're doing here anyway.
|San Francisco 49ers||6-1||6-1||
New England Patriots
St. Louis Rams
Kansas City Chiefs
Green Bay Packers
San Diego Chargers
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
New York Giants
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