Our Super Bowl odds rankings are not scientifically tabulated over a long period of time. But suffice to say, in the Aaron Rodgers era, the Packers have never been this low.
Even in 2013, their lowest point was 5-6-1 when Rodgers was hurt. The Packers were a big long shot to make the playoffs at that point, which was Week 13. They have sunk lower this season, sitting at 4-6 and trailing the Lions and Vikings by two games.
The odds reflect the Pack's plight, and how terrible their defense looked against Kirk Cousins and the Redskins on Sunday, as they've fallen to 80-1. That's an unheard of number for this franchise under Ted Thompson, Mike McCarthy and Rodgers.
It makes sense. Rodgers has looked good the last few weeks, and the offense is figuring things out. But the defense can't stop anyone and probably won't get better.
But ...
Yes, there is a chance!
The Packers are actually kind of a nice price, I think. They're absolutely broken and don't look like a contender. But they have two winnable games on their schedule (Houston, Chicago) plus matchups against Minnesota and Detroit the final two weeks.
You wouldn't want to bet that without a guy like Rodgers; you need a stud quarterback to get hot and hope the defense pulls out some smoke and mirrors during the postseason.
It's not a good bet. Football Outsiders gives Green Bay only an 8.8 percent chance of making the postseason. A long shot indeed. But you won't very often see that kind of price on Rodgers, even if it feels like wasting money at this point.
1. New England Patriots (7-5, Previously 7-5): This might be the top-out spot for a team that hasn't been great in recent weeks.
2. Seattle Seahawks (5-1, Previously 7-1): Potentially the league's most complete team.
3. Dallas Cowboys (5-1, Previously 7-1): Every time you expect a speed bump they roll right over the opponent.
4. Pittsburgh Steelers (14-1, Previously 20-1): Suddenly tied for the division lead with an easier schedule and capable of getting hot.
5. Oakland Raiders (16-1, Previously 16-1): Stole one Monday night and the AFC's new No. 1 seed.
6. Indianapolis Colts (18-1, Previously 25-1): Huge win over Tennessee, even though they likely lose Andrew Luck for Thanksgiving.
7. Denver Broncos (20-1, Previously 20-1): Just hanging out as a good defensive team no one understands offensively. Sounds familiar.
8. Atlanta Falcons (20-1, Previously 18-1): Far and away the favorite to win the NFC South, but no one seems to trust them.
9. Minnesota Vikings (25-1, Previously 25-1): Stopped the bleeding and set themselves up to steal the show on Turkey Day.
10. Kansas City Chiefs (25-1, Previously 20-1): Loss to Tampa Bay could come back to haunt them in a very bad way come the postseason.
11. New York Giants (30-1, Previously 30-1): Something doesn't seem quite right, but they keep winning.
12. Detroit Lions (30-1, Previously 40-1): They have trailed in the fourth quarter in every game, but still have six wins. It's remarkable.
13. Washington Redskins (40-1, Previously 40-1): Very quietly solid, yet underrated. That Sunday night beat down of Green Bay was no mirage.
14. Houston Texans (50-1, Previously 40-1): Victimized by the officiating and coaching decisions in Monday's loss.
15. Arizona Cardinals (50-1, Previously 25-1): Hard to back this team with the way the offense has looked and the deficit they face in the NFC West.
16. Baltimore Ravens (60-1, Previously 40-1): Preposterous odds for the AFC North leaders, though they face a rough remaining schedule.
17. Green Bay Packers (80-1, Previously 30-1): Incredible to see the Packers this far down. My, how the mighty have fallen.
18. Carolina Panthers (80-1, Previously 60-1): It's become a little routine to see Carolina in this range.
19. Buffalo Bills (80-1, Previously 200-1): Lot of life left after handling Cincy. LeSean McCoy is banged up but Sammy Watkins might come back soon.
20. Miami Dolphins (80-1, Previously 100-1): Winners of five straight, they had no business winning in Los Angeles.
21. New Orleans Saints (100-1, Previously 100-1): Two straight losses put them in a tough spot, but they have the schedule and the offense to get hot and possibly make up some ground.
22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (100-1, Previously 300-1): Season-saving win in Kansas City, but they face a terrifying remaining schedule. Could win or lose out.
23. Tennessee Titans (100-1, Previously 80-1): Brutal loss to the Colts, and Tennessee's never beaten Andrew Luck. Probably did in their AFC South chances.
24. Cincinnati Bengals (200-1, Previously 50-1): Losing Giovani Bernard for the season and A.J. Green for a few weeks sunk their battleship.
25. Philadelphia Eagles (200-1, Previously 60-1): Losers of three out of four and the schedule only gets tougher.
26. San Diego Chargers (200-1, Previously 200-1): Such a sad place for a quality team. Bad losses will do that.
27. Los Angeles Rams (500-1, Previously 200-1): The collision course for 7-9 is a little off track.
28. New York Jets (2000-1, Previously 2000-1): The Ryan Fitzpatrick show rolls on.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars (5000-1, Previously 2000-1): Blake Bortles is broken. Needs to be said every week.
30. Chicago Bears (OFF, Previously 1000-1): Welcome to the club, Bears!
31. San Francisco 49ers (OFF, Previously OFF): What is dead may not die.
32. Cleveland Browns (OFF, Previously OFF): What is dead may not die.
