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Pete Prisco

Power Rankings: More than half still in it to win it

By | SportsLine.com Senior Writer

As we do the SportsLine.com Power Rankings each week, leading into the playoffs in less than a month, one thing becomes clearer with each passing Sunday:

There is definitely a line of demarcation in the NFL.

Jeremy Shockey and the Giants are among the teams just delaying the inevitable -- elimination. 
Jeremy Shockey and the Giants are among the teams just delaying the inevitable -- elimination.(AP) 
Just look at this week's poll. After about the 18th spot, which is occupied by those Hail Mary Browns, there is a real drop in talented teams. What does that mean? With three weeks to go in the regular season, about half the teams might as well start looking at 2003.

As for that top 18, they all have the ability to make noise in the playoffs, if they can get there. Even the fading Bills (6-7) at No. 17 could do damage if they somehow found a way to get in, which is now looking less and less like a possibility because they can't figure out a way to beat the Patriots.

That's what parity has done. The great team is no more, which will make the playoffs one big free-for-all. Another reason is because all the top teams have issues.

The Eagles still sit atop the rankings, but if they have to play the postseason without Donovan McNabb, how feared will they be? The Tampa Bay offense has come alive the past couple of weeks, but without a consistent running game and an offensive line the staff hates, how can they be considered a strong favorite?

Green Bay, San Francisco and New Orleans have defensive issues, the Falcons might be too young and the Dolphins are too inconsistent away from home. The team that somehow finds a December remedy to their warts will be the team that wins the whole thing.

So, the next three weeks, in the spirit of bowl season, will be known as the NFL's Compound W (wart removal) Bowl season, three weeks of games to see if one team can separate itself from the others before the postseason.

As it is now, nobody has done so, although the Raiders look better and better each week. With that passing game, and an improved defense, Oakland might be the class of the AFC.

The playoff spots are all but decided in the NFC, with the Eagles, Bucs, Packers, 49ers, Saints and Falcons virtually in. The order is still to be determined, with some key games in the final three weeks, beginning with Green Bay at San Francisco on Sunday.

The AFC is a mess. There are still 11 teams with a better than .500 record and no team has a better mark than the 9-4 Raiders. And the Raiders play in a division with three other teams better than .500, two of whom they still have to play. Oakland also has to play on the road at Miami on Sunday.

So get ready for an interesting final three weeks in the AFC, where even sub-.500 Buffalo is still in it.

As for those teams below the demarcation line, you know who you are and why you are there. The next three weeks should be spent cleaning out the closets, throwing away anything that will be of no use next season -- including coaches.

Of the 11 teams that are officially eliminated from the playoffs, six could have coaching changes after the season. Another two that are still alive could as well.

Those coaches are feeling the heat of being below the demarcation line, a line that comes more into focus each December. Stay near it, and you keep your job. Fall a little below it, and look out.

One more thing: The Bengals would kill just to get close to that line.

The complete Power Rankings for Dec. 10:

Power Rankings
CurrentTeamPrevious
Giants1Giants · Trends8
With a young team, an elite quarterback and a coach who knows how to make these playoff runs, they will be a Super factor again.
Packers2Packers · Trends1
They have to do a better job on the defensive side of the ball in 2012. There was a major regress by a lot of defensive players in 2011.
Patriots3Patriots · Trends3
Bad drafting is starting to catch up with this team. It's time to fix that. And one has to ask: Has Tom Brady lost his postseason magic?
49ers449ers · Trends4
Alex Smith is a free agent, but don't expect him to go anywhere. But if the 49ers are going to stay a good team, they have to throw it better.
Ravens5Ravens · Trends5
This is a team getting up in years at some spots, which might mean the window is closing.
Saints6Saints · Trends2
Biggest offseason priority: Getting Drew Brees signed to a long-term deal. You can bet it will happen soon.
Steelers7Steelers · Trends6
They face a lot of uncertainty on the defensive side of the ball. What veterans won't be back? Who shouldn't be?
Texans8Texans · Trends10
If Matt Schaub comes back healthy, this could be the team to beat in the AFC next season. They have a tough decision on Mario Williams in free agency.
Falcons9Falcons · Trends7
They have two new coordinators, and that might be a good thing. Dirk Koetter will bring more down-the-field stuff to the offense.
Bengals10Bengals · Trends11
This is a young team on the rise. As the young players mature, especially Andy Dalton, they will be a Super contender.
Lions11Lions · Trends9
It's all about improving the defense and getting more out of the running game on offense. Cliff Avril is a priority free agent.
Cowboys12Cowboys · Trends13
We think they underachieve every year, but are they really as good as we think?
Broncos13Broncos · Trends12
The entire offseason will be devoted to making Tim Tebow a better passer. Good luck with that.
Eagles14Eagles · Trends14
The Eagles' big splash last year didn't pay any dividends. Now they have to regroup and try and get back to playoff football. If not, Andy Reid could be gone after the 2012 season.
Titans15Titans · Trends15
Jake Locker needs to be the starter in 2012. It's time to move forward.
Jets16Jets · Trends16
How do they fix that broken team? The locker room seems to be a mess. There is a lack of discipline.
Cardinals17Cardinals · Trends17
There is talk they will get into the Manning derby? If that's true, what's that say about Kevin Kolb?
Chargers18Chargers · Trends18
Was keeping Norv Turner the right move? Philip Rivers thinks so. But we know he has to win in 2012.
Raiders19Raiders · Trends19
Dennis Allen takes over the NFL's most dysfunctional franchise. Is Greg Knapp the right guy to lead that talented offense?
Seahawks20Seahawks · Trends20
Who will be the starting quarterback in 2012? Do they make a push for Matt Flynn?
Bears21Bears · Trends21
With Mike Martz out, and Mike Tice in, it appears they will move more to a running offense. Is that a good thing? Matt Forte is a top offseason priority.
Chiefs22Chiefs · Trends22
Romeo Crennel gets his second chance to be a head coach. Better sweep the office for bugs first.
Dolphins23Dolphins · Trends23
I like the hire of Joe Philbin, a bright offensive mind. Now they need to get him a quarterback. Peyton Manning?
Redskins24Redskins · Trends24
Here's another team that is expected to be in the Manning sweepstakes. They have to do something there.
Panthers25Panthers · Trends25
Cam Newton fixed the offense. Now it's time for the defense to be addressed this offseason.
Bills26Bills · Trends26
They are switching to a 4-3 front. That means they have to find some ends to help the pass rush.
Jaguars27Jaguars · Trends27
Mike Mularkey is the new coach, but the key will be how much of new owner Shad Kahn's money they are willing to spend in free agency.
Buccaneers28Buccaneers · Trends28
New coach Greg Schiano's first order of duty has to be to get Josh Freeman playing to his 2010 levels again.
Browns29Browns · Trends29
They have to decide if Colt McCoy is the long-term answer. He didn't look like it in 2011.
Vikings30Vikings · Trends30
They need to get better players around Christian Ponder. He needs weapons, especially with Adrian Peterson coming off a torn ACL.
Colts31Colts · Trends31
The Peyton Manning saga is getting old. The team needs to make a decision soon and move on. New coach Chuck Pagano has a lot of work to do.
Rams32Rams · Trends32
Jeff Fisher takes over a team with a lot of holes. They have to get Sam Bradford some weapons.
 
 
 
 
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