Well, I'm finally at .500 for the season with best bets -- which is nothing to brag about -- but when you compare it to my overall record, sadly, it looks like an accomplishment.
Officially, I am going to stick with three picks here, but, as I am really hot on Sunday night this season, I'm going to note my pick in that game, too (I've also been pretty strong on Thursday nights, but, alas, generally do the best bets after that game has been played).
So, here are three games in particular that caught my eye, and how I see them going:
Colts (-1½) at Chargers: Indianapolis has some quality wins already, the defense is way stingier than it is getting credit for and the Colts can beat you in a bunch of different ways. The Chargers are vulnerable along the offensive line -- Robert Mathis leads the NFL with 9½ sacks -- and they are back to being an erratic football team. They can't run the ball and the Colts' secondary is much improved if Philip Rivers wants to just sling it around. Indy is about making statements and here on a Monday night, with the entire league watching, I expect them to do just that.
Eagles (-1½) at Buccaneers: Philadelphia has no shortage of issues but is right back in the NFC East hunt. Nick Foles is equipped to keep this offense humming along. Tampa's defense has been very good but I like the Eagles to grind them down in the run game and you can count on Bucs rookie passer Mike Glennon making some mistakes. There is so much drama still surrounding Tampa, the issues with head coach Greg Schiano aren't just going to disappear. This team simply doesn't know how to win close games yet (or any games at all this year).
Bengals (-7½) at Bills: Thaddeus Lewis is in a bind -- just came off the practice squad for the Bills, just started practicing with the starters and now faces one of the toughest defenses in the NFL in his debut. The Bengals can't score much on offense but if they shut down the run -- and I suspect they will -- then Lewis is in trouble. Cincy will end up scoring from its defense. The Bengals know they must start stringing wins together and coordinator Mike Zimmer will have some special stuff to throw at Lewis. The Bengals' secondary is getting a little healthier and they have a chance to exploit Buffalo up front with its injuries along the offensive line.
Extras: Gotta keep throwing out my thoughts on the Sunday night game. I think Dallas can cover (-5½) against the Redskins if this becomes the shootout I believe it will. I need to see a Robert Griffin III who looks like last year's model before I buy a Washington resurgence on offense. The Skins' defense could get totally shredded here.
Since I've been riding the Jags games as well, I like Denver to cover this huge number (26½). Until the Jags show they can cover -- even a figure this big -- I can't take them. Seattle covered 21 with relative ease and if Denver builds a huge lead, and the starters come out, I have some concerns about garbage time for sure. That's what no one can predict. But I could see Peyton Manning throwing for five touchdowns in a half of duty here.