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NFL Week 7 Best Bets: Broncos, Bears on road; Giants finally win

Well, I'm still pretty mad at myself for staying too far under .500 for the season, but at least I've been OK in the best bets the past few weeks.

Week 6 was particularly nutso. The late games, with the Jaguars making a run in Denver and the Patriots' wild comeback over the Saints, definitely hurt. But, alas, time remains to rebound. And I've still been lights out on the Sunday night games, so at least I have that going for me.

Bears (pick 'em) at Redskins: I like Chicago to move the ball here, and I don't think the Redskins can keep pace. Last time these teams met DeAngelo Hall picked off Jay Cutler four times. That won't happen again. Washington's defense is still a mess and playing at home doesn't seem to be any particular advantage for the Redskins.

Washington doesn't generate enough pass rush to have me deeply concerned about Chicago's offensive line and Matt Forte in the screen game should be a gift that keeps on giving.

Broncos (-6½) at Colts: Why would anyone mess with Peyton Manning before a game like this? It was already the biggest game of the week and didn't need any additional hype or attention. Now you have a pissed off Manning coming in off a less-than-stellar outing last week, going back to the dome he built, and with Jim Irsay watching from that owner's box.

Bad move.

The Colts still can't find their offensive identity and I don't know that I would want to get into a race to 40 points with the Broncos here. The return of Von Miller should boost Denver's pass rush. After a couple of games that have been closer than expected the Broncos seem due for a more comfortable outing and result.

Giants (-3½) vs. Vikings: New York has to win a game, the Vikings are good for 30 points against a week, Josh Freeman is making his first start and Minnesota is reeling. I like this spot for New York to get right, cut down on the turnovers some and put up too many points for the Vikings to get close.

Vikings secondary is a mess and there will be open receivers running all over the place. Even if Adrian Peterson has a dominant game on the ground, the Vikings generally need a lot of plays to score. The Giants should be in quick-strike mode here.

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