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NFL Week 16 Best Bets: Chiefs, Niners cover big lines at home

Maybe I'll get hot in the playoffs? The bosses will still ask us to pick games in the postseason, right?

Everyone starts off with the same record -- 0-0 -- once the playoffs start, so they say. You'll hear that trite adage only a few hundred times the next few weeks. So I'm going to appropriate it for myself and try to discourage you from looking at my season record and focus on this season of rebirth that is just before us.

Anyone convinced?

Nah, me neither.

But, anywho, here's my crack at it this week, focusing on some of the bigger spreads of Week 16:

Chiefs (-7) vs. Colts: The Colts aren't doing all that much to impress me lately and I like the Chiefs to send a message here before what could be a playoff preview. Kansas City's offense has been scoring into the 40s with seeming ease. I don't see Indy being able to keep pace, and at some point KC starts really getting after the passer again -- possibly Sunday against this suspect offensive line

Cardinals (+10½) at Seahawks: Arizona can keep things close and the Seahawks should be in a position here to start resting a guy or two late in this game. They have no reason to risk it. Even with Carson Palmer wobbly, I believe Arizona scores enough here to keep it close enough. I could see the Cardinals defense coming up with a big play or two to prevent any sort of blowout as well.

49ers (-12½) vs. Falcons: The Falcons are not good at anything, really, these days. Give me a fired-up Jim Harbaugh out to prove a point after reports of a possible power struggle with GM Trent Baalke. The 49ers' offense is still finding its muscle -- ones that seemed easily flexed a year ago -- and against this defense it should be feel-good time

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