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Picks for Week One of the NFL season

Giants over Cowboys : Dallas has only sacked Eli Manning four times in the past six meetings and the Giants are 5-1 in those games. Closer than people think but N.Y. prevails.

Bears over Colts: The Bears are at home with Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall back together. Indy will win games this year with Andrew Luck, but not this one because no one on the Colts can block Julius Peppers.

Eagles over Browns: Too many rookies starting for the Browns against an Eagles team that finished strong last year.

Bills over Jets: Buffalo gets three points and they have a pass rush that the Jets can't block. Buffalo picked off then-Broncos QB Tim Tebow three times last season -- so keep that in mind if he is in the Jets' wildcat.

Saints over Redskins: The emotion and noise in the Superdome are too much for rookie QB Robert Griffin III, who will be trying to keep up with Drew Brees and an offense that averages nearly 40 points a game at home.

Patriots over Titans : Last season, the Patriots averaged more than 30 points for the first five games. Tom Brady has his offense greased up and ready to go. Jake Locker has thrown 66 passes in his NFL career and won't have suspended Kenny Britt.

Houston over Dolphins: Houston plays a very aggressive brand of defense and Ryan Tannehill isn't ready for the pressure -- plus he doesn't have enough weapons.

Jaguars over Vikings: Neither team is going to be impressive this year but the Jags get four points. I think we see MJD before we see a lot of AP.

Lions over Rams : The Lions at home with QB Matt Stafford attacking a rebuilding defense. Too much inexperience in the St. Louis secondary.

Falcons over Chiefs: If the Chiefs had Tamba Hali I would have gone the other way, but Matt Ryan gets the time to find his targets.

Packers over 49ers: It's tough to stay up with the Green Bay passing game in their stadium. They average 41 points a game at home and that is not the style of game the 49ers want to play.

Panthers over Bucs : The Panthers are ready to take the next step in their development and the Bucs looked stagnant this summer.

Seahawks over Cardinals: I don't think the Cardinals' offensive tackles can protect John Skelton long enough to get the ball to Larry Fitzgerald enough.

Broncos over Steelers : I like the matchups of Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas against the Steelers' secondary, and I expect Peyton Manning to spread out Pittsburgh's defense.

Ravens over Bengals: The Bengals did not beat a playoff team last year and they lost two starting offensive linemen this summer.

Chargers over Raiders : This one is a toss-up and Philip Rivers is only 1-3 in his past four against Oakland. Antonio Gates, Robert Meacham and Malcom Floyd get it done against the Raider secondary.

 
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