Senior NFL Columnist

Week 3 top picks: Colts, Falcons cover on road vs. good teams

There is such a fine line between winning and losing. It's a game of inches. It's a game of breaks.

We've heard that all before, right? I lived that last week with my top picks in this space.

The Buffalo Bills scored with two seconds left to beat the Carolina Panthers. They also scored to dump my record to 1-2 for my top picks of the week, and down to 2-4 the first two weeks.

If E.J. Manuel doesn't hit Stevie Johnson in the end zone, I'm 2-1. If Luke Kuechly doesn't hook Johnson for a pass-interference penalty to negate an interception, I am .500 for the season.

Ah, enough of that. Time to move on. Time to get the record up with three more top picks this week.

Titans (-3): I think this is a bad spot for the Chargers, playing consecutive road games outside the division against a team playing its home opener. And doesn't that Chargers victory over Philadelphia look less impressive now after what the Chiefs did to them Thursday? I think the Titans defense does a good job against a San Diego offense that lacks a true outside playmaker. And Chris Johnson gets it going.

Colts (+11): The 49ers will beat the Colts. But I think Andrew Luck's ability to escape pressure will help the Colts stay in it. He is good at making throws on the move, and that will factor in here against a San Francisco secondary that isn't great. The 49ers will be winning by 13 or so, but Luck will get a late score to get it closer.

Falcons (+2): The Dolphins are banged up in the secondary. That's a bad thing against this Atlanta offense. Matt Ryan does a great job getting the ball out of his hands for big shots down the field, which is key against the Miami front. Atlanta has some defensive injuries, but they will do enough on offense to find a way.

Pete Prisco has covered the NFL for three decades, including working as a beat reporter in Jacksonville for the Jaguars. He hosted his own radio show for seven years, and is the self-anointed star of CBS Sports' show, Eye on Football. When he's not watching game tape, you can find Pete on Twitter or dreaming of an Arizona State national title in football.
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