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Top 70 starters for Week 10

by | Data Analyst
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Roy Halladay (lat), Jered Weaver (back) and Doug Fister (side) all hit the disabled list this past week, but there are even more pitchers in danger of missing a start or more in Fantasy Week 10 (June 4-10).

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Jaime Garcia (elbow) could be a two-start option this week, but only if Cardinals skipper Mike Matheny lets him face the Astros on Tuesday. Brandon Morrow (shin) would be a solid option in standard mixed leagues this week, but because his start against the White Sox is in jeopardy, he had to squeeze his way onto this week's top 70 list at number 64. Bud Norris could make his scheduled start against St. Louis, but he hasn't had great results trying to pitch with a strained right hip flexor tendon, so he's been left off this week's rankings altogether. Finally, deeper league owners may have to do without Carl Pavano, who could face a DL stint with a shoulder injury.

While owners may need to find replacements for multiple starters, one standard mixed league stalwart should be making his return this week. The Phillies expect Vance Worley (elbow) to come off the DL and assume Halladay's spot in the rotation, starting on Monday. That would make Worley a a two-start pitcher, with matchups against the Dodgers and Orioles. Because he has not been officially named as Monday's starter versus Los Angeles yet, he was not included in this week's top 70. However, it is fairly safe to start him this week, and if he had been included, he would rank 27th, just between Ryan Vogelsong and Jon Lester.

For now, though, here is this week's top 70 as it stands heading into Sunday's action.

Starting Rotation breakdown for Fantasy Week 10
Rank Player Start 1 Start 2 Stat of note
1 Clayton Kershaw @PHI (Worley) @SEA (Millwood) Career 2.91 interleague ERA
Kershaw gets the Mariners next weekend, but he has had few problems with interleague foes in the past.
2 Cliff Lee LAD (Billingsley) @BAL (Hammel) 36 Ks over last 34 innings
Remember when Lee wasn't a "strikeout guy"? Those days are long gone.
3 Yovani Gallardo CHC (Dempster) SD (Bass) 3.64 home ERA
Even if you include his poor home start against the Cardinals, Gallardo's numbers at Miller Park look good this year.
4 Justin Verlander @CIN (Arroyo) N/A 13.2 percent swinging strike rate
Incredibly, Verlander's whiff rate is nearly two full percentage points higher than it was in last year's MVP campaign.
5 Anibal Sanchez ATL (Hudson) TB (Shields) 90 percent quality start rate
Sanchez is not only better than he was last season, he is far more consistent as well.
6 Cole Hamels LAD (Harang) N/A Leads majors with 80 Ks
The collective strikeout rate for Dodger hitters has been on the rise, and that shouldn't change when they pay Hamels a visit.
7 Zack Greinke CHC (Maholm) N/A .374 BABIP
Greinke is saddled with a BABIP that looks too high even for a bad pitcher, but a normal 21 percent line drive rate supports his "unlucky" tag.
8 Matt Cain @SD (Volquez) N/A 2 BBs or fewer in 10 of 11 starts
With Cain making substantial improvements to both his strikeout and walk rates this year, we may have to consider him as a legitimate member of the elite now.
9 Madison Bumgarner @SD (Richard) N/A 10 straight starts of six innings or more
Bumgarner goes deep into games, regardless of the opponent, but he has the good fortune of facing a weak lineup this time around.
10 CC Sabathia TB (Hellickson) N/A Career 3.11 ERA vs. TB
Sabathia has a strong career record against the Rays, and the bulk of those starts have come in recent years.
11 Felix Hernandez @LAA (Williams) N/A 1.04 GB/FB ratio, last five starts
King Felix has coughed up seven homers in a rough five-start stretch, but he has actually been inducing grounders at a slightly higher rate than earlier in the season.
12 Jeff Samardzija @SF (Vogelsong) @MIN (Diamond) At least six Ks in six of last seven starts
Samardzija hasn't just feasted on strikeout-prone teams, putting up big K counts against the likes of the Cardinals and Braves.
13 Ryan Dempster @MIL (Gallardo) @MIN (DeVries) Career 2.86 ERA at MIL
Dempster's tougher start is probably against the Brewers, but he has generally fared well at Miller Park.
14 Chris Sale HOU (Lyles) N/A 28 Ks, 4 BBs over last 19 2/3 innings
Sale has been dominant since returning to the rotation, as he has been a strike-throwing machine.
15 James Shields @NYY (Pettitte) @MIA (Sanchez) Seven homers allowed in 40 career innings at Yankee Stadium
Shields has not been at his best at the Yankees' digs, so though he's still a must-start, this is not likely to be Shields' best two-start week.
16 David Price @NYY (Nova) N/A Opponents' .314 SLG, last four starts
Price has been getting grounders at a high rate lately, and that's helped him to limit extra-base hits.
17 Jordan Zimmermann NYM (Gee) @BOS (Lester) 3.63 xFIP
Zimmermann has been helped out by favorable BABIP and strand rates, but xFIP shows that he is still a very good pitcher, even if he's been a little lucky.
18 Ian Kennedy COL (Guthrie) N/A Career 3.35 ERA at ARI
Kennedy has been hit hard at home this season (5.57 ERA), but over the longer term, he has been able to handle Chase Field.
19 Josh Johnson ATL (Delgado) N/A 3.09 ERA, last five starts
Though his strikeout rate has been lagging a little, Johnson has been reliable in his recent starts.
20 Johan Santana @WAS (Jackson) N/A 134 pitches vs. STL on Fri.
Santana thrilled owners with a no-hitter on Friday, but a high pitch count could mean a much tougher outing next time out. He may also have his start pushed back a day or two.
21 Stephen Strasburg @BOS (Doubront) N/A 66 percent strikes thrown on Sat. vs. ATL
Following a pair of starts that featured spotty command, Strasburg was back to pounding the strike zone against the Braves.
22 Yu Darvish @OAK (McCarthy) N/A 16 swinging strikes on Sat. vs. LAA
Like Strasburg, Darvish had lost his mojo over his previous two starts, but on Saturday, he got whiffs against an Angels team that doesn't swing and miss often.
23 Shaun Marcum SD (Stults) N/A 33 Ks over his last 32 innings
Saturday's eight-strikeout performance vs. PIT was just the latest in a series of high-octane outings.
24 Brandon Beachy TOR (Drabek) N/A Opponents' .265 SLG
Stronger ground ball tendencies are helping Beachy to clamp down on extra-base hits.
25 Derek Holland @OAK (Blackley) @SF (Lincecum) 2.84 road ERA
Holland not only fares better away from Arlington, but this week, he will face an A's squad that isn't scoring much.
26 Ryan Vogelsong CHC (Samardzija) TEX (Feldman) 1.31 home ERA
Both this year and last, Vogelsong has taken full advantage of AT&T Park, allowing few homers and inducing a high rate of popups there.
27 Jon Lester BAL (Hammel) WAS (Zimmermann) 5 BBs over last 30 2/3 innings
While Lester has been erratic this season, it's encouraging that he threw strikes at a higher rate over his last five starts.
28 C.J. Wilson @COL (Nicasio) N/A 2.48 road ERA
Coors Field isn't your typical road stop, but the good news is that Wilson has been decent or better at other hitter-friendly desintations.
29 Daniel Hudson OAK (Milone) N/A 2 BBs over last 13 innings
Hudson's walk rate had been elevated prior to his DL trip, but in two starts since, he's been more like his old self.
30 Gio Gonzalez @BOS (Bard) N/A Four straight starts with at least 9 Ks
Gonzalez wasn't exactly pitching to contact earlier in the season, but he got into a serious groove in the month of May.
31 Johnny Cueto PIT (Burnett) N/A .377 BABIP, last four starts
Cueto has been a little wild during this recent stretch, but he has mostly been hurt by an undeservedly high BABIP rate.
32 Lance Lynn @HOU (Happ) N/A 64 percent quality start rate
Lynn didn't last long in his most recent start at the Mets, but he normally hangs around long enough to register a quality start.
33 Tommy Hanson TOR (Hutchison) N/A Opponents' .274 SLG vs. righties
Hanson has yet to allow a homer to a right-handed hitter, so he should be able to keep Bautista, Encarnacion and company in check.
34 Colby Lewis @OAK (Colon) N/A Career 2.84 ERA at OAK
Not surprisingly, O.com Coliseum is one of the places where Lewis hasn't been burned by the long ball.
35 Dan Haren @COL (White) N/A 10 HRs allowed in 47 1/3 career innings at COL
Haren has been effective over his last three starts, but he is still riskier than usual with a trip to the high altitudes of Colorado.
36 Jake Peavy TOR (Alvarez) N/A 13 percent popup rate
Despite strong flyball tendencies, Peavy has allowed only seven homers over 76 2/3 innings. Hitters haven't squared up against him often.
37 Tim Hudson @MIA (Sanchez) TOR (Romero) 60 percent strand rate
Hudson's unimpressive stat line is largely the result of his failure to strand baserunners at a normal rate, but that could easily reverse itself.
38 Drew Smyly CLE (Jimenez) @CIN (Bailey) 12 percent HR/FB ratio
Smyly's biggest problem of late has been the gopherball, but his HR/FB ratio looks like it could be due for a downward adjustment.
39 Andy Pettitte TB (Shields) NYM (Gee) 68 percent strikes thrown
Pettitte has issued only five walks in 28 1/3 innings, and with a high rate of strikes thrown, it's little wonder.
40 James McDonald KC (Mazzaro) N/A 1.28 home ERA
By all indications, McDonald is breaking out this year, but he's been a reliable pitcher at PNC Park ever since arriving in Pittsburgh.
41 Josh Beckett BAL (Chen) N/A 2.20 ERA, last four starts
Owners started benching Beckett around the time of "Golfgate," but hitters haven't teed off on him much since then.
42 Adam Wainwright @HOU (Norris) N/A 65 percent strand rate
Wainwright is getting strikeouts and grounders, just like he did before Tommy John surgery, but some possible bad luck with stranding runners has bloated his ERA to nearly 5.00.
43 Jason Hammel @BOS (Lester) PHI (Lee) 0.80 GB/FB ratio, last four starts
Hammel's conversion to extreme ground ball pitching has hit a bump, but he continues to get nearly a strikeout per inning.
44 Wandy Rodriguez @CHW (Floyd) N/A Leads majors with 326 batters faced
Rodriguez hasn't been wasting many pitches, and that has allowed him to be a workhorse this year.
45 Matt Moore @MIA (Nolasco) N/A Eight percent line drive rate, last four starts
Though Moore's command remains erratic, he has been lowering his WHIP, as batters are having an increasingly hard time getting base hits.
46 Mat Latos DET (Porcello) N/A 0.60 GB/FB ratio
Latos' recent home run binge has been helped along by an elevated flyball rate. While he is getting Ks, we can't have confidence that he's all the way back yet.
47 Felipe Paulino MIN (Pavano) N/A Opponents' .279 Avg on ground balls
Paulino is still allowing ground ball hits at a high rate, but it's a vast improvement over his rates from the last three seasons.
48 Matt Garza @MIL (Wolf) N/A No home runs allowed in six of 10 starts
Garza has been giving up home runs in bunches, and if healthy, the Brewers just might be the next team to victimize him.
49 Jason Vargas @LAA (Santana) LAD (Billingsley) Career 1.82 ERA at Angel Stadium
Vargas is known for his good splits at home, but he has also excelled at the Angels' pitcher-friendly park.
50 R.A. Dickey @WAS (Wang) N/A 80 percent strand rate
Though Dickey continues to pile on the Ks, between a few good recent matchups (excluding STL) and a high strand rate, he doesn't get a big rankings bump this week.
51 Anthony Bass SF (Lincecum) @MIL (Gallardo) Opponents' .387 SLG in road games
Bass has been nearly as good at preventing extra-base hits on the road as at PETCO Park. He should be fine for both of his matchups this week.
52 Matt Harrison @SF (Zito) N/A 3.51 ERA, last five starts
After a brief skid, Harrison is back to being an efficient control artist.
53 Ricky Romero @CHW (Humber) @ATL (Hudson) 65 percent strikes thrown on Tues. vs. BAL
It's only one start, but Romero's improved command in his last start is a very encouraging thing to see.
54 Homer Bailey PIT (Lincoln) DET (Smyly) 5 BBs over last 28 innings
Particularly over his last four starts, Bailey has been building on the gains in control that he has made over the last two seasons.
55 Jerome Williams SEA (Hernandez) N/A 2.17 home ERA
Aside from blowups at NYY and TEX, Williams has been very good in every start, and he's been consistently effective at home.
56 Kyle Lohse @NYM (Hefner) CLE (Masterson) .372 BABIP, last four starts
Lohse's control has actually been better than ever lately, but he's been punished by an unusally high BABIP rate.
57 A.J. Burnett @CIN (Cueto) N/A 2 ER or fewer allowed in seven of eight starts
Burnett has been a vastly improved pitcher with PIT, and fewer walks and homers have been the key.
58 Felix Doubront WAS (Strasburg) N/A Six innings pitched or more in five of last six starts
Doubront is not exactly an innings-eater just yet, but he hasn't been exiting games early either.
59 Clay Buchholz BAL (Matusz) N/A 10 percent swinging strike rate, last four starts
Not many hitters were missing on Buchholz's offerings earlier this year, but now he is getting back to his normal whiff rate.
60 Jaime Garcia @HOU (Harrell) CLE (Jimenez) 22 Ks, 3 BBs over last 20 1/3 innings
Though Garcia had been a roll, he's already missed one start and may miss at least one more due to his cranky left elbow.
61 Wade Miley COL (Outman) N/A Opponents' .260 Avg at home
Miley has just been a mediocre pitcher at Chase Field, but this week, he'll face a Rockies lineup that hits .229 on the road.
62 Brandon McCarthy TEX (Darvish) N/A Opponents' .314 OBP vs. TEX since '11
McCarthy had a rough start against his former team last month, but in general, he's done a good job of keeping them off the basepaths.
63 Christian Friedrich @ARI (Saunders) LAA (Santana) Opponents .352 SLG vs. righties
Oddly, the southpaw has been far more effective against right-handed hitters, and the Angels could play right into his hands.
64 Brandon Morrow @CHW (Danks) N/A 2.08 ERA vs. CHW in 2011
Morrow did well in two starts against the South Siders last year, but he's risky this week because he may miss his start altogether.
65 Max Scherzer CLE (Gomez) N/A 30 Ks over last 18 1/3 innings
Scherzer is still homer-prone and erratic, but if nothing else, he can help immensely with strikeouts.
66 Jeremy Hellickson @NYY (Sabathia) N/A 4.91 career ERA at NYY
Hellickson is good enough to succeed in any matchup, but his history at Yankee Stadium suggests he is riskier than normal this week.
67 Justin Masterson @STL (Lohse) N/A Five quality starts out of last seven tries
Masterson's overall stat line is still ugly, but he's been more reliable in recent weeks.
68 Edwin Jackson NYM (Santana) N/A 14 percent line drive rate
Hitters have struggled to make hard contact off Jackson this year, which has helped him to limit opponents to a .219 batting average.
69 Erik Bedard KC (Hochevar) N/A Career 3.00 ERA vs KC
Bedard has been less effective lately, but he could turn things around with a start against a power-deprived Royals team.
70 Edinson Volquez SF (Cain) N/A 1.26 WHIP at home
Volquez has poor control, regardless of where he pitches, but he has been good at preventing base hits in his home starts.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Al Melchior at @almelccbs . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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