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Grading the AFC draft
SportsLine.com senior NFL writer Len Pasquarelli breaks down the draft for each team in the league.
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Grade: B-
Overview: It's obvious that coach Brian Billick won the battle over personnel director Ozzie Newsome in the war room. With two of the top 10 selections, the Ravens wanted a feature back and a game-breaking wide receiver. They got both in RB Jamal Lewis (No. 1-a) and WR Travis Taylor (No. 1-b). So what's the argument? They could have traded down from the fifth overall selection, picked up some extra choices, and gotten the same results. Taking Lewis at No. 5 overall was way too high. Now they're going to overpay for a guy who had only one big season in college and dogged it through the entire '99 campaign.
Total choices: Six.
Impact players: If he plays to his potential, Lewis could be a star. In a first round that featured four tailbacks, he has the purest running skills and best combination of power and speed. Taylor should start and flourish in a pass-oriented offense, but we should note that one AFC West team we know had him rated as a third-round prospect.
Best value: There is no way DE Adalius Thomas (No. 6) should have still been on the board when the Ravens got him. Thomas is raw but has upfield pass-rush ability and also blocked six kicks in college. One of the true heists of this draft.
Reach: Time will tell if QB Chris Redman (No. 3) was worthy of his draft spot. He is a tough pocket passer who might not fit into a game where quarterbacks are expected to be a lot more mobile.
BUFFALO BILLS
Grade B-
Overview: No staff does a better job of picking solid players, no matter how many choices it has or where it is positioned in a round. Not surprisingly, general manager John Butler and personnel director Dwight Adams got their usual unspectacular but solid draft haul this year. They could have used a corner to replace the departed Thomas Smith, but the prospects they wanted were gone and they fell in love with DE Erik Flowers (No. 1) a couple weeks ago. Flowers will start off as a situational pass rusher but should flourish.
Total choices: Eight.
Impact players: Flowers (No. 1) has exceptional outside quickness, and he'll restore at least a little of the pass rush potential surrendered when Bruce Smith was released. The biggest hole the Bills have to fill is replacing the departed FS Kurt Schulz; Travares Tillman (No. 2) could be the player who fits in there. Tillman isn't as savvy as Schulz, but he runs pretty well and is a physical presence.
Best value: Getting WR Avion Black (No. 4) as a kickoff returner and WR Drew Haddad (No. 7-a) to run back punts upgrades the special teams. Both are raw as receivers but, in time, Black could become a deep threat and
Haddad is a classic possession-type wideout. RB Sammy Morris (No. 5) joins a crowded backfield with a lot of guys who are hybrid types, neither big enough to play full time at fullback nor quick enough for tailback. But he's an intriguing guy who should not have lasted as long as he did.
Reach: Everyone else is raving about getting LB Corey Moore (No. 3), but not us. He is a man without a position, an undersized defensive end who resents having to play linebacker in the NFL. His best contribution might
be as a snapper for place kicks.
CINCINNATI BENGALS
Grade: C
Overview: Getting wide receiver Peter Warrick (No. 1) will permit the Bengals to play a lot of three-wideout sets in 2000, provided they keep veteran Carl Pickens. But it remains to be seen if second-year QB Akili Smith is even ready to put the ball in the air that much. Warrick is a superb playmaker, perhaps the most exciting player in the draft, and it was a coup to be able to get him with the fourth overall choice. His former Florida State teammate, Ron Dugans, is a possession receiver who might eventually replace Pickens.
Total choices: Seven.
Impact players: Despite his pedestrian 40-yard time, Warrick (No. 1) figures to make a lot of plays if the Bengals can get the ball in his hands enough times. In a secondary that already has a pair of former second-round draft picks, CB Mark Roman could make the third time a charm. He is very quick and recovers well, will push for time in the nickel packages and maybe earn a starting job before the 2000 season concludes.
Best value: Dugans (No. 3) was a solid pick, but the guy we really like is RB Curtis Keaton (No. 4), a player who really skyrocketed up draft boards in the postseason. Keaton might end up getting a lot of playing time if RB Corey Dillon carries through on his threat to sit out the first 10 games of the year.
Reach: TE Brad St. Louis (No. 7) almost certainly will be the team's new deep-snapper, and is an excellent one. But he could have been signed as a free agent and the Bengals probably wasted a pick.
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Grade: B-
Overview: The Browns couldn't go wrong with the first pick, and they didn't, grabbing DE Courtney Brown (No. 1), who should add speed to a pass rush that garnered only 10½ sacks from its front four a year ago. Coach Chris Palmer seriously considered trading up from the top of the second round into the bottom of the first stanza to get versatile WR Dennis Northcutt (No. 2), but it turned out he didn't have to. After the first few choices, though, it seemed the Browns lacked some direction and, with the quantity of choices it had, Cleveland could have been more creative and certainly might have found a few more difference-maker players.
Total choices: 13.
Impact players: There is no doubt about Brown (No. 1), who might be an even better person than he is a player. The only question about him is his passion for the game, but he seems prepared to get it cranked up at the next level. Northcutt (No. 2) was one of the top playmakers in the entire draft, a player who can do a lot of things as a wideout, third-down back and return specialist. For a Cleveland offense that lacked quickness and striking ability, he is a critical acquisition and will benefit from Palmer's receiver-friendly attack.
Best value: Since the Browns don't have a starting caliber tight end on the roster, getting Aaron Shea (No. 4) was a must. The former Michigan star is a former fullback who played several spots for the Wolverines. Most teams had him listed as a fullback, but at 252 pounds, we feel he is better suited for tight end or H-back. RB Travis Prentice (No. 3-a) is a solid back with only decent speed, but the local kid will add depth at a very suspect position for the Browns.
Reach: WR JaJuan Dawson (No. 3-b) caught a lot of passes in Tulane's run-and-shoot offense and has good quickness. But no one had him graded as high as the Browns selected him. QB Spergon Wynn (No. 6) probably was chosen a round too high.
DENVER BRONCOS
Grade: C
Overview: Because of the pending season-long suspension of CB Dale Carter, the Broncos were forced to fill a huge hole and reached for CB Deltha O'Neal about 8-10 spots higher than he rated on most draft boards. The
former California star had only one good season and actually went into 1999 more highly regarded for his return abilities than his coverage skills. As they did last year, the Broncos selected athletes more than football players. The results were solid enough in 1999, but it's difficult in this league to capture lightning in a bottle two consecutive years. One has to wonder why, with second-year CB Chris Watson showing so much potential in '99, coach Mike Shanahan was so desperate for O'Neal.
Total choices: 10.
Impact players: O'Neal (No. 1) probably will be thrown right into the fire, given every opportunity to win a starting job. He has great speed and good enough size, but has only done it one season as a cover
corner. The defensive back we like, and who should get playing time in third-down situations is FS Kenoy Kennedy (No. 2-b), a very aware defender.
Best value: DT Jerry Johnson (No. 4) is undersized and didn't have a good season in 1999, but was regarded at one point as nearly the equal of Florida State teammate Corey Simon. He should fit nicely into a rotation
with veteran starters Trevor Pryce and Keith Traylor, and perhaps replace the latter of those two in a couple seasons.
Reach: Scouts all over the league were coming onto Ian Gold (No. 2) in the weeks leading up to the draft. But the guy has no position. No one seems to know if he is a big safety or undersized linebacker. Denver took him the same place a lot of teams would have, but we have doubts.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Grade: C
Overview: The Colts didn't try to hide the fact they were looking for defensive help, especially in the front seven. Indianapolis wanted to find a middle linebacker to replace the deposed Michael Barber and also get bigger and more physical up front. They accomplished all those things, but did so without landing a true impact-type player. Of their seven choices, only one was used on offense and that was for a center. The club probably should have used a late pick to get a wide receiver with some speed.
Total choices: 7.
Impact players: MLB Rob Morris (No. 1) becomes the starter by default. Morris is a tough guy inside and a player noted for fitting the mold of the off-kilter middle 'backer. But he is overaged (25) and has very short arms.
He'll hit people but Morris slides off almost as many tackles as he makes. It's tough to argue with the job general manager Bill Polian has done rebuilding the team, but Morris will have to prove himself.
Best value: Getting LB Marcus Washington (No. 2) was a nice choice. The former Auburn star is a onetime defensive end who seems to have made a smooth transition to linebacker. He moves well and could get much playing time as a rookie if veteran LB Cornelius Bennett isn't completely recovered from a late-season knee injury.
Reach: DT Rob Renes (No. 7) is a Polian-type player, a modestly skilled guy who overachieves. But he lacks size, except in the heart, and might never be much more than a fourth tackle or even a practice squad player.
He'll need at least two years to develop.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Grade: C-
Overview: In their desperate attempt to add a young, playmaking wide receiver to the aging duo of Jimmy Smith and Keenan McCardell, the Jaguars took WR R. Jay Soward (No. 1). The former Southern California wideout has
blazing speed and, if you went just on performance, he would have been a top 10 pick. This guy can put it in the end zone from just about anywhere on the field. The problem is his attitude and some off-field escapades that dropped him down most draft boards. It's a gamble, but apparently one disciplinarian coach Tom Coughlin thinks he will win. We'll see. Plus, there is no way Soward will start given the veterans ahead of him, so his value is strictly as a No. 3 wide receiver. Jacksonville made a big deal out of having five picks in the seventh round. But seventh-rounders rarely make the roster of a 14-2 team.
Total choices: 11.
Impact players: If the Jaguars can keep Soward (No.1) out of trouble, he'll put the ball in the end zone. The last two years of his career, he touched the ball 186 times and scored 27 touchdowns, with an average scoring play of 49.5. He epitomizes big play and big gamble. If they hit on him, though, the Jaguars will have a real steal. The pick who figures to push even sooner than Soward for a starting job is C Brad Meester (No. 2), an athletic snapper who is better than the players the Jags have now at the position.
Best value: LB T.J. Slaughter (No. 3) is a bit of a sleeper, a guy who didn't get a lot of attention except from the ball carriers he buried. He had 16 outings with double-digit tackles. Give him a year on special teams and then watch him become a starter. CB Kiwaukee Thomas (No. 5) had some inconsistent 40-yard time but has natural cover ability.
Reach: Soward is more a roll of the dice than a reach. Thomas probably would have slipped at least one more round and maybe even into the seventh stanza.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Grade: B-
Overview: This was a team that went into the draft seeking a franchise-type back and exited the lottery still looking for one. They did get a playmaker in WR Sylvester Morris (No. 1), but could have been more creative in dealing up the board to get a tailback or in consummating the much discussed trade for RB Corey Dillon of Cincinnati. You don't often win in the NFL using a tailback by committee approach, but they'll be forced to do that again in 2000.
Total choices: 8.
Impact players: Ironically the Chiefs staff left the combine two months ago unimpressed with Morris (No. 1), but he changed some minds during on-campus workouts. The Chiefs like to hammer the ball between the
tackles in the running game and then throw deep off play-action fakes, so Morris provides a nice, physical target. The guy we feel will play quickly is CB William Bartee (No. 2), a former college safety who has limited experience on the outside but possesses the kind of size every team wants now.
Best value: CB Pat Dennis (No. 5) doesn't run well on the stopwatch, but has imposing size and plays a lot faster than his clock speed. He also gets his hands on a ton of balls and will make the big play. Look for him to get
time in "nickel" situations early on. OT Darnell Alford (No. 6) was the second-rated prospect at the position entering the '99 season but really struggled. If the Chiefs can get his head right, they'll have a real bargain.
Reach: RB Frank Moreau (No. 5) is a plodding runner the Chiefs feel can eventually be a workhorse. But with their crowded backfield situation, when will the guy ever get the chance to play early in his career?
MIAMI DOLPHINS
Grade: C-
Overview: Without a first-round pick, there wasn't much maneuvering available to coach Dave Wannstedt, so it probably didn't benefit him to have wheeler-dealer Jimmy Johnson in his war room. Give the Dolphins
credit, though, for making the best of a bad situation. They got zero starters but at least three players who should help them by adding depth. The first pick, OT Todd Wade (No. 2), was rated a potential first-rounder by some teams. But we felt he was too stiff and, at nearly 6-feet-8, has trouble bending his knees.
Total choices: 6.
Impact players: Wade (No. 2) might be groomed to eventually replace aging veteran Richmond Webb at left tackle but isn't likely to have much impact as a rookie. CB Ben Kelly (No. 3), on the other hand, should
contribute in the return game. He had six runbacks on punts or kickoffs for touchdowns at Colorado and has great acceleration. In time, although undersized, he should be able to play as a cornerback, too.
Best value: FB Deon Dyer (No. 4) is a 265-pound lead blocker who was truly the only pure fullback in the draft. The Dolphins lost starter Stanley Pritchett, so Dyer might play quickly.
Reach: Even CB Jeff Harris (No. 7) was surprised when he got the phone call from Miami. The former Georgia cornerback lacks speed, quickness and size and, while he has a nose for the ball, probably could have been signed as a free agent.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Grade: B-
Overview: Having to surrender their first-round choice to the Jets as compensation for allowing assistant head coach Bill Belichick out of his contract really hamstrung the Patriots, who needed to fill a lot of holes but had very little Spackle available to them. The Patriots had quantity, which was good in this draft, but didn't get much quality to go with it. The slide of OT Adrian Klemm (No. 2), who was projected as a late first-round on most boards, was fortuitous, especially given the bunch of imposters the Pats currently have at the position. Getting tailback J.R. Redmond in the third round was a bonus of sorts, but only if he runs a lot faster than in his recent workouts.
Impact players: The Patriots released longtime OT Bruce Armstrong for salary cap reasons and haven't been able to sign him to a reduced deal, so Klemm (No. 2) has a chance to play very early. Klemm is a former tight end who needs more bulk and a lot more technique, but he is a warrior who has a big upside. Look for TE Dave Stachelski (No. 5), arguably the most athletic player in the pool at his position, to log playing time in 2000, especially with the exit of veteran TE Ben Coates.
Best value: CB Antwan Harris (No. 6) is undersized but quick and, in the week before the draft, made a big jump up some draft boards. He adds depth for the Patriots, who still aren't certain yet who will team with CB Ty Law in the starting secondary. DT David Nugent (No. 6) is a limited athlete but a big effort player whose 305 pounds should help stop the run.
Reach: None.
NEW YORK JETS
Grade: A
Overview: When you own an unprecedented four choices in the first round, you really have to work hard to screw things up, and the Jets didn't. They tried hard to package two of their picks to move up and get WR Plaxico Burress as a replacement for the departed Keyshawn Johnson. But when they failed in that gambit, they did the smart thing, staying exactly where they were and making good, solid choices for the future. A few years from now, Jets fans should be able to look back at this year's draft as the turning point, a lottery that served as a real foundation for the club. New York got a terrific strongside-type end in Shaun Ellis (No. 1-a) and an upfield
rusher in DE John Abraham (No. 1-b). The only question about Abraham is whether the former linebacker has the size to play as a down lineman. If not, then they paid a steep price for a situational player.
Total choices: 8.
Impact players: Ellis (No. 1-a) and Abraham (No. 1-b) could be bookends for the next 8-10 years. The two play different games, Ellis the more consistent and by-the-book guy and Abraham a speed rusher who will take some chances and does not play the run well. No matter the front the Jets play, though, these two guys figure to be on the field. Likewise TE Anthony Becht (No. 1-d) should be a starter. The Jets liked him nearly as much as TE Bubba Franks and were thrilled to get him late in the first round. Becht still must prove, though, he is over a foot injury that slowed him as a senior.
Best value: New York flat-out stole QB Chad Pennington (No. 1-c) with the 18th overall choice in the draft. For whatever reason, Pennington didn't garner the credit he deserved this year, but the Marshall star is the real deal. He gives the Jets their quarterback for the future and at a very reasonable price. By the 2002 season, if not sooner, he'll be starting. He's a bright guy and a student of the game who has the same demeanor as Peyton Manning but not as much talent.
Reach: Some people in New York are critical of the Jets for drafting WR Laveranues Coles (No. 3), who was booted off the team at Florida State. He has blistering speed but not much experience as a wide receiver. The Jets could hit it big eventually with this pick, but only if the team can keep Coles out of trouble.
OAKLAND RAIDERS
Grade: D
Overview: The Raiders had five choices and used two on specialists, PK Sebastian Janikowski (No. 1) and P Shane Lechler (No. 5). They also used a second-round choice on WR Jerry Porter (No. 2), a player with incredible athletic talent, but a guy who has played less than one full season as a wideout. This is the ultimate "bet on the come" draft. You would think the Raiders were only one player shy of Super Bowl contention last year or something.
Total choices: 6.
Impact players: The team likes to point out it lost eight games last year by a total of 34 points and that all its defeats were by seven points or less. That's the rationalization for using a first-round choice on PK Sebastian Janikowski (No. 1). Granted he is a phenomenal talent, but there are other ways to make up 3-4 points per game. No doubt Janikowski will make a big difference and he might have more immediate impact than any first-rounder in this draft. But it's a huge gamble by the Raiders, one that better pay off.
Best value: TE Mondriel Fulcher (No. 7) is a combo player who might be able to line up as a lead-blocking fullback or H-back, and is a better athlete than most seventh-round picks.
Reach: The longest arms in the draft, since virtually every choice was a reach.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Grade: A-
Overview: This is a franchise in flux, one that is suddenly suspect in the front office, and even some locals wonder about the direction of their beloved club. But operating for the first time minus draft guru Tom Donahoe, give credit for personnel director Kevin Colbert and coach Bill Cowher for at least following the path the former director of football operations outlined during his successful 13-year run. You might not trust Cowher, who the day before the draft told QB Chad Pennington he would be the club's first pick and then reneged on a deal with the New York Jets in the opening round, but he knows solid football players. Pittsburgh needs a playmaker and, if it can just get habitually tardy WR Plaxico Burress to the stadium on time Sunday afternoons, it might have found one. OT Marvel Smith (No. 2), despite a positive marijuana test two years ago in college, could be the starting left tackle by 2001 and is blessed with great
athleticism.
Total choices: 9.
Impact players: Burress (No. 1) figures to be an immediate starter and, while he does not run particularly well, his size makes him an intriguing deep target. Burress loves to run the post pattern but will still need QB Kordell Stewart to get him the ball. OT Marvel Smith (No. 2) is a work in progress but could be a tremendous pass blocker down the road. CB Hank Poteat (No. 3 will get playing time in "nickel" situations as a rookie. He is smaller than you would like but has great quickness and ball skills.
Best value: Getting WR Danny Farmer (No. 4) was coup for a team in need of more playmakers on the offensive side. Farmer is a marvelous athlete who lacks blazing speed but possesses superb body control and has a knack for outmuscling the defender for the ball.
Reach: What the Steelers plan to do with QB Tee Martin (No. 5) remains to be seen. He is a great athlete but years removed from being even a decent quarterback. Martin in scatter-armed and, given his Wonderlic score, could struggle to pick up the offense.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Grade: C-
Overview: Typical of their recent drafts, the Chargers had only one choice in the top 80 picks, courtesy of the past deals of general manager Bobby Beathard. That's a tough situation to ever overcome and, in a thin draft, nearly impossible. But give the Chargers credit for making some solid picks, especially FS Rogers Beckett (No. 2), amid Beathard's usual collection of small college prospects. And also give Beathard credit for resisting the temptation to trade next year's first round choice away, since he had the opportunity and usually takes it.
Total choices: 8.
Impact players: Beckett (No. 2) was a low first-round prospect on some boards and might be a starter for the Chargers as a rookie. He is smart and has range and supports the run well enough to be a factor in a defense that absolutely stuffs the running game. WR Trevor Gaylor (No. 4-a) could see action as a third receiver and seems to work well out of the slot.
Best value: DE Leonardo Carson (No. 4-b) was a productive college player who has in-between size but should be able to fit into a rotation, plays the run tough and could give San Diego 20-25 snaps per contest.
Reach: Even days after the draft, some personnel directors are trying to identify QB JaJuan Seider (No. 6), a Florida A&M product who definitely would not have been selected by any other team. This was a classic Beathard pick that will probably net one of our favorite general managers nothing but criticism.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Grade: B+
Overview: The Seahawks were kind of in a "no man's land" with their two of first-round picks but things fell their way, certainly, in this "need" draft and they did nicely after all. There is no way coach Mike Holmgren could have counted on RB Shaun Alexander (No. 1-a) and OT Chris McIntosh (No. 1-b) being available to him, but they were. Getting WR Darrell Jackson (No. 3) doesn't make up for the loss of speed with the departed Joey Galloway, but it helps. All the way through the draft, it seemed, the board fell in favor of the Seahawks and they were smart enough to take advantage of it.
Total choices: 9.
Impact players: With RB Ricky Watters 31 and slowing down, Seattle got the heir apparent in Alexander (No. 1-a), a player everyone figured would be off the board by the middle of Round 1. He probably won't begin the season as the starter but certainly could finish it at the top of the depth chart. Alexander will fit nicely in a diverse attack and the team will take advantage of his receiving abilities. McIntosh (No. 1-b) affords the Seahawks some flexibility. He can play tackle or guard and could force some moves on the line if he proves he should be a starter as a rookie. Jackson (No. 3) will be the fastest pass catcher on the team by default and will battle for meaningful playing time.
Best value: Getting CB Ike Charlton (No. 2) where they did was a bargain. His stock dropped in the week before the draft because he might be better suited to safety. But he is still a solid prospect no matter where he lines up and could play in the "nickel" and on special teams as a rookie. DT Tim Watson (No. 6) of tiny Rowan College was a three-year starter at Maryland before transferring and has a nice upside. LB Marcus Bell (No. 4-a) was one of the three highest-rated defenders last spring, had a bad senior year, but still has some talent.
Reach: No one is knocking the choice of LB Isaiah Kacyvenski (No. 4-b), but the Harvard star probably would have lasted at least one round longer.
TENNESSEE TITANS
Grade: B-
Overview: This was a sort of mystery team going into the draft, one that didn't tip its hand much in the days leading up to the lottery. But there is no mystery as to where coach Jeff Fisher thinks his club needs improvement with seven of his first eight selections going to defense. Having LB Keith Bulluck (No. 1) fall into their laps set the tone for a nice draft. The Titans made solid if unspectacular choices. One red flag was the choice of DE Byron Frisch (No. 3-b), who tested positive for steroids at the combine. With veteran DT Josh Evans already facing a season-long suspension, maybe the Titans should have passed on Frisch.
Total choices: 9.
Impact players: Bulluck (No. 1) could be a starter if the Titans don't re-sign veteran LB Joe Bowden. Even if they do, he will contend for playing time. Bulluck has size, speed and toughness, everything the Titans like on defense. With TE Jackie Harris having departed in free agency, TE Erron Kinney (No. 3-a) could get a chance to play a lot as a rookie.
Best value: Bulluck was a steal with the 30th overall pick, but the heists didn't end there. LB Peter Sirmon (No. 4) and SS Aric Morris (No. 5) were tremendous value picks.
Reach: FS Bobby Myers (No. 4) likely would have lasted another round.
Broadway Joe
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