Rest of the AFC East: Bills | Dolphins | Jets | Patriots
1999 record: 13-3, first in the AFC East.
Last five years: 37-43.
Coach: Jim Mora (16-17 in two years with Indianapolis, 109-95
in 13
NFL seasons as a head coach).
Playoff past: The Colts are 6-8 in postseason play since the
merger but
have qualified for postseason play only four times since moving from
Baltimore to Indianapolis in 1984. The team has just two division titles
since the relocation, but last year's 13-3 record, after a 3-13 mark in
1998, established a record for the greatest one-season turnaround in league
history. Indianapolis advanced to the AFC championship game in 1995 but
lost 20-16 at Pittsburgh.
Outlook
It is tres chic among NFL experts to tab the frisky and
immensely
talented Colts as the early-line favorite to represent the AFC in Super
Bowl XXXV, certainly to dominate the division for perhaps the next several
seasons, and a look at the versatile offense certainly justifies the lofty
expectations attached to this team.
In the tradition of the famed Dallas Cowboys "triplets," after all,
Indianapolis possesses the trio of quarterback Peyton Manning, tailback
Edgerrin James and wide receiver Marvin Harrison, and the average age of
the threesome is a peach-fuzzed 24.7 years.
But if the Colts are to advance beyond their 1999 choking point, a home
loss to Tennessee in the division round of the AFC bracket, Indianapolis
must accomplish two things: Developing another wide receiver, someone who
can complement the frequently double-covered Harrison, figures to be less
difficult, given that there are a number of worthy candidates. Solidifying
a defense that in '99 ranked in the middle of the pack but that still
appears to lack upfront beef after a spring in which management didn't do
much to address the size problem, likely will be much tougher.
"We're still a little light in the (rear ends)," said coach Jim Mora,
"and
we have to get tougher in the front four and at linebacker. Our guys play
hard, no question about that, but we don't have the widebodies up front.
Over the course of a game, some of our people wear down a little."
The only addition along the defensive line was former New York Giants
backup Bernard Holsey, who is projected as a starter but who is in
the smallish mold of colleagues Chad Bratzke, Ellis Johnson and Bernard
Whittington. Average weight of the likely starters in the front four is
just a shade over 280 pounds. While the Indianapolis linemen are very
active, the group also has a penchant for being rag-dolled by more
physical, roadgrader offensive linemen.
The question mark at linebacker isn't really one of physical size, but
rather the abbreviated NFL resumés the starters might carry into the
regular season. One projected starter, weakside 'backer Mike Peterson, has
just one season of league experience. Another, middle linebacker Rob
Morris, was the team's first-round draft choice this year. Indianapolis
desperately needs future Hall of Fame candidate Cornelius Bennett to return
from a late '99 knee injury. Bennett is the spiritual leader of the defense
and, even at age 34, still has something left in the tank.
No doubt the Colts will rank again among the NFL's most explosive
offenses.
But come playoff time, when the style of play characteristically gets more
physical and the scores are tighter than in regular-season play,
Indianapolis must demonstrate the ability to bully opponents with defense
as much as they blister them offensively.
"You can't count on your offense putting up 30 (points) every week in the
playoffs," said safety Jason Belser. "We've have to be able to knock the
other guy's offense off the field, you know?"
Schedule preview: A notoriously poor September team in the past,
the Colts
open the season against four legitimate playoff contenders. In their third
game, the Colts play host to Jacksonville in a Monday night contest that could be a
preview of the AFC championship game. Unfortunately for Indianapolis, its
"bye" week comes early, on Sept. 17.
1999 offensive ranking: No. 4 overall, No. 19 rushing, No. 4
passing.
1999 defensive ranking: No. 15 overall, No. 18 vs. the rush,
No. 19
vs. the pass.
Key players lost from 1999: RB Fred Lane (deceased), MLB Mike
Barber
(released), QB Steve Walsh (released), RB Darick Holmes (released).
Key additions for 2000: DE/DT Bernard Holsey (Giants), RB Karim
Abdul-Jabbar (Browns).
Rookies to watch: MLB Rob Morris (No. 1) is expected to start
despite
missing the first two weeks of camp in a holdout, and OLB Marcus Washington
(No. 2) could push for playing time if he recovers from a training camp
hamstring injury.
Offensive line: Perennially overweight left tackle Tarik Glenn has
developed into a top notch player and would benefit from improved
conditioning, but the unit's top performer remains right tackle Adam
Meadows. Hardly a prototype strongside power blocker, Meadows is still a
tough-minded performer and he has only permitted four sacks the past two
seasons. The interior linemen are fairly ordinary, although center Larry
Moore could move to the next level this season.
Wide receivers/tight ends: The big question remains who will line up
opposite Pro Bowl star Marvin Harrison at wide receiver. Candidates include
versatile second-year pro Terrence Wilkins, and third-year veterans Jerome
Pathon and E.G. Green. But the coaches would prefer to use Wilkins, an
exceptional return man, as the No. 3 receiver. For that to happen, either
Pathon or Green, both often injured, will have to seize the No. 2 job.
Tight end Ken Dilger is a tremendous in-line blocker and underused
receiver. The Colts generally use a two-tight end formation, and former
college hoops standout Marcus Pollard is excellent in his role as an
H-back. He is an emerging force in this offense and Peyton Manning's pet
project for this year.
Running backs: Offensive rookie of the year Edgerrin James had all but 13
of the team's carries by a running back in 1999 and, while he showed no
signs of erosion during the season, coaches made it an offseason priority
to acquire a veteran backup who could spell him. The tragic death of Fred
Lane, however, forced the Colts to scramble for a replacement, and the best
they could do was journeyman Karim Abdul-Jabbar. James is a workhorse and a
surprisingly good receiver, but this team would be in trouble if he went
down for a long stretch.
Quarterbacks: Talk about trouble! If anything ever happens to
Peyton
Manning, the Colts would immediately go from Super Bowl contenders to
also-rans. The NFL's brightest young star is a take-charge player who
commands respect from teammates and opponents alike. It's rare when you see
Manning surprised by anything, but he was frustrated by Tennessee's
blitzing defense in the Colts' playoff defeat. There is zero experience
behind him, and the Colts are hoping that youngster Kelly Holcomb develops
into a solid backup someday.
Defensive line: The unit mirrors the mentality of end Chad Bratzke and
tackle Ellis Johnson, its two standout players. It is an active but
undersized bunch that plays a one-gap style and tries to get upfield and
disrupt an offense with penetration. Where the Colts have problems is when
teams run right at them and power-block, especially against the left side
of the Indianapolis line. It's a line that can be knocked back on its
collective heels, and the addition of Bernard Holsey really didn't do much
to address the concerns over a lack of size.
Linebackers: Much of the success of the linebackers depends on how successful a comeback strongside player Cornelius Bennett makes from a
late-season knee injury that had him on the physically unable to perform
list when training camp began. Weakside linebacker and second-year veteran
Mike Peterson is a future star, but still is a defender who runs around too
many plays and doesn't always hold up strong at the point of attack. The
Colts drafted Rob Morris in the first round to start at middle linebacker,
but his progress was stymied by a two-week holdout, and he missed the first
17 practices of camp.
Secondary: Neither of the cornerbacks, Tyrone Poole nor Jeff
Burris, had
very good years in 1999 but there are really no youngsters to push them.
Poole is a feisty defender but only 5-8 and gets overpowered by bigger
wideouts, especially in "red zone" situations. Burris always has been more
of a safety lining up at cornerback. Safeties Jason Belser and Chad Cota
are heady players who lack range but hit big. Look for third-rounder David
Macklin, despite a height disadvantage, to eventually move into a "nickel"
role.
Special teams: Kicker Mike Vanderjagt has made some clutch field goals in
his two seasons with the team but remains a liability on kickoffs. Punter
Hunter Smith gets good hang time and direction but doesn't have the
strongest leg, even though he also handles the kickoff chores. The kickoffs
are, indeed, a concern for the coaching staff because the lack of depth
usually provides the opposition solid field position. The top player is
return ace Terrence Wilkins, who challenges coverage units and always hits
the crease at full speed.