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Top 25 things to watch in 2000
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Aug. 2, 2000
By Dennis Dodd
SportsLine.com Senior Writer
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Forget all that you've read. Dismiss all that you've heard. These
are the 25 things you need to know about the 2000 college football season.
Resistance is futile.
1. The Case(y) for JoePa
Any discussion of Penn State coach Joe Paterno breaking Bear Bryant's career
record for victories unfortunately starts with quarterback Rashard Casey.
If the Nittany Lions quarterback is allowed to play, the seven victories
Paterno needs to pass Bear Bryant should come a lot quicker. That would mean
the 324th victory would come sometime around the Oct. 21 Illinois game.
If Casey is suspended after being implicated in the beating of an off-duty
policeman, it could throw a shadow over Paterno's chase. There isn't much
behind Casey, which conjures up this scenario ...
The Lions are playing in the season finale at 6-5 against Michigan State
with a berth to the Sun Bowl hanging in the balance. Penn State wins, JoePa
gets the record and his team sentenced to, er, awarded a trip to El Paso.
2. Who is the next Peter Warrick?
The lasting image of Florida State's national championship run is Warrick
scoring 20 points against Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl three months after
the Dillard's Discount Debacle.
It wasn't exactly rags to riches. Hey, that Dillard's stuff cost more than
$400. But it will do for memories with a certain hulking tailback running
off with the Heisman.
Sure, there have been others like Warrick who have been multipurpose threats
in recent years (David Palmer, Desmond Howard, Charles Woodson). This year
we like:
- Freddie Milons, WR, Alabama -- With the loss of Shaun Alexander, the
multitalented Milons will be asked to do more. Last year, he quietly did it
all: catching 65 passes, rushing for 78 yards and completing three of four
passes.
- David Allen, RB, Kansas State -- Allen needs one touchdown and 172 yards to
break the NCAA career marks in punt return scores and yardage. Given his production and
K-State's schedule, that should come sometime in the second quarter of the
season opener against Iowa.
3. This year's Marshall (or the undefeated team the BCS won't care about) ...
- TCU -- Dennis Franchione has a Heisman Trophy candidate (LaDainian
Tomlinson), a cooperative schedule, 19 returning starters and a springboard
to his next job.
4. From no-go to go
These teams will be back in bowls after time away from the postseason party:
- Maryland (1990)
- Kansas (1995)
- Southern Cal (1998)
- Texas Tech (1998)
- Houston (1996)
- UNLV (1994)
5. Can a sophomore win the Heisman?
If Virginia Tech's Michael Vick does it, he'd be the first.
The Hokies redshirt sophomore goes in as a favorite still learning the game.
Virginia Tech won't run the table during the regular season but it will
still be pretty good, probably finishing behind Miami in the Big East.
That should provide a big enough stage for Vick to work his magic.
Unofficially, that would be two consecutive wire-to-wire Heisman winners if you
include Ron Dayne.
6. Speaking of quarterbacks ...
Of the 63 starters with schools competing in the BCS, 48 of them return.
That means assault by land (Eric Crouch, 887 rushing yards at Nebraska), (Quincy Carter at Georgia) and air (Purdue's Drew Brees led the nation's
No. 4 passing offense).
7. Can Florida State repeat?
Is the Pope Catholic? Does a bear ... oh, never mind. You get the message.
The Seminoles are loaded and might have an easier road to the title than
last season. There is no conference championship game to stub a toe on.
Eight of 12 games are in the state of Florida. The Florida game is at home.
There is a pesky trip to Miami on Oct. 7 and an interesting home against
Clemson on Nov. 4.
Other than that, Chris Weinke can ease into old age with his second national
championship ring.
In this age of parity, isn't it interesting that Florida State could become
the second team in six years to win back-to-back titles? Nebraska won titles
in 1994 and 1995. Before that it was Alabama in 1978 (shared title) and
1979.
8. Rose Roulette
The Pac-10 has had six different champions the past six years. If conference
continues its parody of parity, 2000 favorite Washington will make it seven
for seven.
9. Streaking ... victories
- Marshall, 17 -- September games at Michigan State and North Carolina put
this streak in danger.
- Florida State, 13 -- Should reach at least 17 before Oct. 7 game at Miami.
- Wisconsin, 8 -- Quarterback Brooks Bollinger is the key. The Badgers never
lost after he relieved against Michigan.
- Nebraska, 6 -- 19 in a row if the Huskers win it all again.
- Oregon, 6 -- Mike Bellotti has averaged almost eight victories per year.
- Boise State, 6 -- Trips to New Mexico and Arkansas in the first two weeks.
10. Streaking ... losses
- South Carolina, 21 -- Northwestern's record of 34 in a row is in sight.
- Ball State, 17 -- At Florida and Kansas State in the first three weeks.
- Buffalo, 15 -- So you wanted to be a I-A program? The Bulls went 0-11 in their first season in the big time.
- Iowa, 8 -- This could be the worst Iowa program in 20 years.
- Baylor, 6 -- Not much around to prevent a repeat of 1-10.
11. Is this the year the BCS blows up?
So far, the BCS has worked smoothly. Too smoothly.
In 1998 and 1999, the consensus Nos. 1 and 2 teams met in the BCS title
game. Even the BCS honchos know this run of fortune can't go on.
This year might be the year when chaos reigns. Imagine a scenario in which
Florida State, Nebraska and Wisconsin all go undefeated. Who do you pick for
the Orange Bowl?
It likely would come down to the dreaded strength of schedule. Nebraska
probably plays the weakest non-conference schedule (San Jose State, Notre
Dame and Iowa). Florida State and Nebraska play only two teams expected to
be ranked in the preseason Top 25. Wisconsin plays all of its ranked teams
in a four-week stretch (Michigan, Ohio State, Michigan State and Purdue).
There is one possibility that could crumble the BCS' credibility. If
Wisconsin and Nebraska meet for the title, an undefeated Florida State
wouldn't have a chance to defend its title.
12. Upset of the year
Kansas over Kansas State, Oct. 7 -- The Jayhawks, who haven't beaten their
state rival since 1992, finally have the talent to fight back. The average
losing margin in the last seven meetings has been 30 points.
Hey, Roy Williams stayed. Why can't Kansas pull another upset?
13. Game(s) of the year
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Wisconsin at Michigan, Sept. 30 -- The Rose Bowl is on the line before
September is over.
- Nebraska at Kansas State, Nov. 11 -- The winner stays alive for the Orange
Bowl.
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Florida at Florida State, Nov. 18 -- Gators have one, last desperate chance
to wreck the Seminoles' undefeated season.
14. Crummy game(s) of the year
- Connecticut at Buffalo, Sept. 16 -- The two newest I-A programs meet in The
Brawl To Settle Nothing At All.
- Ball State at Florida, Sept. 2 -- Hang 50 on the Cardinals, give 'em the
check, send 'em home.
15. Toughest September
- Notre Dame -- Texas A&M, Nebraska, Purdue, at Michigan State
16. Toughest October
- Oklahoma -- Texas, at Kansas State, Nebraska
17. Toughest November
- Michigan State -- at Ohio State, Purdue, at Penn State
18. Word association
| a. Flick. | | 1. The last year Miami won an outright conference title. |
| b. Fifty. | | 2. The number of the Mountain West's eight coaches over the age
of 60. |
| c. 1994 | | 3. Weight of Kentucky quarterback Jared Lorenzen. |
| d. Six | | 4. The number of bowl slots available, this meaning 43 percent
of Division I-A will play in a bowl game after this season. |
| e. 270 | | 5. The former occupation of Texas Tech coach Mike Leach. |
| f. Lawyer | | 6. The term associated with Michael Vick's left-handed,
flat-footed, against the grain missiles that find their mark 50 yards away. |
|
Answers: a-6; b-4; c-1; d-2; e-3; f-5
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19. Hot coaches
- Rich Rodriguez, Clemson offensive coordinator -- First choice of Texas Tech
to replace Spike Dykes, Rodriguez made the right choices to stay. His family
didn't want to move and the Clemson offense is going to be fantastic.
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John Chavis, Tennessee defensive coordinator -- One of the best defensive
minds in the country but where does he go? There's not many head coaching
jobs that would be considered promotions after his Tennessee gig.
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Bobby Pruett, Marshall -- Wisely turned down Houston. Something better
will come along soon.
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Tony Samuels, New Mexico State -- The Arizona State upset vaulted this
former Nebraska assistant to the top of several wish lists. He won't be in
Las Cruces for long with the Aggies moving to the Sun Belt.
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Tom Osborne, Republican state Senate candidate -- He wants back in so bad
you can feel it. There are those that say Houston offered him more than $1
million per year in the offseason. The over/under on his return is two
years. Stay tuned.
20. Hot-seat coaches
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Jim Donnan, Georgia -- Has to fare better than 1-7 against Florida and Tennessee somehow, some way.
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Terry Shea, Rutgers -- Looking down the barrel of an ultimatum to win this
year or be terminated.
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Bob Davie, Notre Dame -- Does NBC go in search of a new coach after this
season? Bobby, baby, we love ya but these ratings are killing us.
21. Cage matches deluxe or ... paint your face, put on that pink boa and
lower yourself from the rafters for these battle royals
- Washington at Colorado, Sept. 16 -- Some of the bad feelings have died
down. Not. Buff fans still upset that Rick Neuheisel ran out on them to take
the money at Washington.
- North Carolina State at North Carolina, Oct. 14 -- The Wolfpack's former
coach, Mike O'Cain, now coaches the Tar Heels offense. North Carolina coach
Carl Torbush saved his job with a narrow victory over North Carolina State.
Neither team is going to the BCS but there is some bad, bad blood pumping
here.
- Nebraska at Oklahoma, Oct. 28 -- The teams haven't met since 1997 because
of Big 12 scheduling configuration. What used to be one of the game's best
rivalries has some teeth again.
- Nebraska at Kansas State, Nov. 11 -- 'Huskers still remember Eric Crouch's head almost being torn off by linebacker Travis Ochs two years ago in Manhattan. The winner goes at least to the Fiesta Bowl.
- Auburn at Alabama, Nov. 18 -- Tigers come to Tuscaloosa for the first
time since 1901. A nice, friendly, well-mannered crowd will see a brisk,
well-played contest.
22. Now or never
These programs must win this year or face some major rebuilding or worse.
- TCU -- Defending WAC co-champions have it all: favorable schedule, Heisman
Trophy candidate and 19 returning starters.
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Indiana -- Cam Cameron, Glen Mason, Ron Turner and Joe Tiller all came to
their Big Ten jobs in 1997. Only Cameron (10-23) hasn't been to a bowl game.
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Georgia -- Dawgs haven't won the SEC since 1982. Fans would settle for a
victory over Florida or Tennessee.
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Notre Dame -- Talk about beating a dead leprechaun. Irish and Davie need
to win now. The problem is, they probably can't with a killer schedule and a
new quarterback.
23. Ultimate breakthrough player
UNLV quarterback Jason Thomas -- In 1998 the blue-chip recruit from
southern California was beat out by Southern California's Carson Palmer at
his hometown school. Thomas suffered through complications from a broken
ankle, complained he didn't get a fair shot, transferred from Southern Cal
to UNLV, redshirted in 1999 and found another chance.
The 6-foot-4, 230-pound sophomore with three years of eligibility was
considered by some one of the best athletes to come out of SoCal in a
decade. He started to prove it with several eye-popping plays in spring
practice.
24. Potential incendiary situations at ...
- Texas -- Either Chris Simms or Major Applewhite won't be happy this fall.
Mack Brown has to pick a starter. The key will be keeping the backup happy.
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Alabama -- The Crimson Tide come in expected to win the SEC for a change.
We all know what happens when Alabama falls short.
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Kentucky -- Hal Mumme is putting all his eggs (and steaks) in one basket
with 270-pound Jared Lorenzen at quarterback. If he fails or gets injured
there's not much depth behind him.
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Penn State -- The Rashard Casey situation could overshadow JoePa's chase
for the record.
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Florida -- Jesse Palmer can't possibly stay in Spurrier's good graces all
season, can he?
25. In and Out
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In | Out
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| Division I football | Division I-AA football |
| Scrambling | Dropping back |
| SEC (again) | Pac-10 (again) |
| Death Valley (the stadium) | Silicon Valley (the bowl) |
| Miami-style: Butch Davis | Miami-style: Elian Gonzalez |
| A low profile | Terry Bowden |
| Football at Alabama | Infidelity |
| Sun Belt (in 2001) | Big West (after 2000) |
| *Nsync (the group) | In sync (the coaching cliché) |
| Chris Weinke, Quincy Carter, Drew Henson | The Blue Jays, Cubs and Reds |
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