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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +471.5
    (60%)
    18-12 in Last 30 MLB ML Picks
    NYY
    -170
    Money Line
    Picked: May 11 @ 9:58am

    Analysis

    The Yankees got swept in Milwaukee over the weekend. Now they lick their wounds and get to face a struggling Orioles lineup averaging 2.5 rpg the last four outings, a starter struggling with command and a bullpen with a 5 ERA this month. Ryan Weathers limited the O’s to one earned run his last start. The Yankee’s bullpen has a 2.12 ERA the last two weeks. New York bounces back.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +471.5
    (60%)
    18-12 in Last 30 MLB ML Picks
    TB
    +112
    Money Line
    Picked: May 11 @ 10:04am

    Analysis

    The Rays have won 14 of 16, and that’s because the pitching has been extraordinary – just 0-1 runs allowed in nine of those games, and two runs in four others. Drew Rasmussen had a quality start in a 4-3 win over these Blue Jays last time out. The Rays’ bullpen has allowed two runs the last two weeks. I like Kevin Gausman and he’s especially tough in Toronto, but I also like plus odds on a Rays team shutting everyone down.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +360.5
    (56%)
    22-17-2 in Last 41 NBA Picks
    CLE
    -158
    Money Line
    Picked: May 10 @ 12:27pm

    Analysis

    Detroit made Game 3 in Cleveland much sweatier than I would have preferred, but the Cavs pulled it out. Unbeaten at home in these playoffs. James Harden especially looks like a different player on his home court than away. The Beard hit a couple of huge late shots in Saturday's victory. It would not surprise me at all if the home team won all seven in this series as happened in Round 1 between the Cavs and Raptors. Cleveland (obviously including playoffs) is an NBA-best 18-3 at home since Jan. 23 and has won nine straight at Rocket Mortgage Arena. Series is all but over if they drop this one.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    #1
    +2542
    (64%)
    77-43 in Last 120 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Allen
    Over 12.5
    -110
    Points
    Picked: May 11 @ 12:03am

    Analysis

    Jarrett Allen's scoring went up post-James Harden trade. He averaged 17.8 points after the All-Star Break, compared to 14.6 before. Harden is a master at finding Allen after Allen screens for him and rolls. This series is a good matchup for Allen because Detroit's size (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Paul Reed) keeps Allen on the floor. He played 31 and 32 minutes the past two games, scoring 22 and 18 points. He shot 7 of 9 in each game. If Allen can stay out of early foul trouble, he should clear this prop total for the fifth time in the past six games.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    #2
    +1987
    (59%)
    123-86 in Last 209 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Mitchell
    Over 26.5
    -132
    Points
    Picked: May 11 @ 8:05am

    Analysis

    Donovan Mitchell was the star of Game 3 for the Cavaliers, scoring 35 points in their win. That was his second straight game with at least 31 points. In this series, he has averaged 22.3 shot attempts a game, 9.0 of which have come from behind the arc. During the regular season, he averaged 28.7 points per game and shot 49.3% from the field at home. In five home playoff games, he has scored at least 30 points three times. His usage rate should remain high in Game 4, leaving him in a favorable spot to hit this over.

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