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Today's Top Free Expert Picks
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Micah Roberts#3
+546(100%)5-0 in Last 5 MLB Picks
MLB
HOU @ CLE • Tue 6:10pm
Over 8-115Over/UnderPicked: Apr 20 @ 9:19pmAnalysis
The Astros lead baseball with 17 overs on the season, and I think they're going to go over again on Tuesday at Cleveland. Ryan Weiss is expected to be the Cleveland starter. But the main reason for taking the Astros over again is their bullpen continues to have trouble with their 5.88 ERA, allowing 70 runs, which is the most in baseball. The weather is supposed to be 71° with the wind blowing out to right field at 10 mph and a 10% chance of rain. Cleveland starter Parker Messick isn't going to give that much, so it's got to be the Astros that allow most of the scoring. The over is the play. -
Matt Severance#1
+899(73%)29-11 in Last 40 MLB ML Picks
MLB
HOU @ CLE • Tue 6:10pm
CLE-138Money LinePicked: Apr 21 @ 8:49amAnalysis
Houston got only its third win in the past 15 overall and second road win of the year (in 11 tries) on Monday but also was facing a weak link in the Cleveland rotation. That's certainly not the case here in stellar rookie lefty Parker Messick (3-0, 1.05 ERA). Needless to say, he's not keeping that up and did throw a lot of pitches last time out in taking a no-no into the ninth. But until he starts failing. Appears to be the weak link in the Houston rotation in 29-year-old rookie Ryan Weiss (0-2, 6.75 ERA). -
Angelo MaglioccaAmags
MLB
HOU @ CLE • Tue 6:10pm
P. MessickUnder 16.5-109Outs RecordedPicked: Apr 21 @ 9:18amAnalysis
Starting on normal four days rest, Parker Messick has been nothing short of incredible thus far, but also just threw 112 pitches in his last start. After that heavy workload, it seems the market is in agreement that he is likely to face some restrictions here tonight. Just a half unit, as he could still run a low pitch count and get into the 6th inning but to beat us he needs a low pitch count, plus keeping one of MLB's best offenses at bay for 5+ innings. The weather is warming up and I'm playing under 16.5 here at anything better than -115. -
Angelo Magliocca+40(60%)3-2 in Last 5 MLB ML Picks
MLB
MIL @ DET • Tue 6:40pm
MIL-104Money LinePicked: Apr 21 @ 5:22pmAnalysis
The Tigers travel back from Boston after yesterday's Patriot's Day loss. The Brewers were off yesterday and come in off a loss to Miami that broke a four game win streak. Detroit has won 8/10 but split the four game series in Boston prior to this. The Brewers come in a bit fresher with all of their high leverage bullpen arms well rested, while the same can't be said for the Tigers. Detroit's offense is in the bottom 1/3 of MLB against lefties thus far, and Milwaukee is ranked 7th against righties with a .755 OPS. The numbers do dip on the road for the Brew Crew but I still think they have the deeper lineup and get the benefit of added rest. -
Angelo Magliocca+40(60%)3-2 in Last 5 MLB ML Picks
MLB
CIN @ TB • Tue 6:40pm
CIN-110Money LinePicked: Apr 21 @ 5:42pmAnalysis
Reds F5 ML is -135 or worse, but the full game ML is -110? I like Chase Burns a lot and believe the edge is with the Reds in the F5 over Steven Matz, but Cincy's bullpen is partially the reason they're 15-8 and leading the NL Central. The offense has contributed to a -3 run differential, and starting pitching has been an issue, but the bullpen is leading MLB with a 2.23 ERA and 10 saves. Burns is their best starter now and the bullpen has almost everyone available, so I like the Reds to win. Plus, they have been road warriors this year, going 9-2 away from Cincy, and winning four in a row. Reds TT over 3.5 at -127 0.5u as well. -
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