The Chicago Bears had hoped for a quick turnaround with former Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson on board as head coach to tutor former No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams this season. However, a Week 1 collapse against the Vikings was followed by a 52-21 beating at the hands of the Lions and now they'll host the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3. Dallas survived several haymakers from Russell Wilson and the Giants to score a 40-37 win in overtime last week and Dak Prescott will be eager to take on a Bears defense that gave up 511 yards of offense last week.

Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Cowboys are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Bears vs. Cowboys odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 50.5. Chicago's over/under for total team points is 24.5, while Dallas' is 25.5. Before making any Cowboys vs. Bears picks, make sure you check out the NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model is on a 37-17 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has zoned in on Bears vs. Cowboys. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. Bears:

Bears vs. Cowboys spread

Cowboys -1.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Bears vs. Cowboys over/under

50.5 points

Bears vs. Cowboys money line

Dallas -115, Chicago -105


Here are SportsLine model's best bets for Cowboys vs. Bears:

  • Cowboys -1.5
  • Over 50.5 points

Cowboys -1.5

The Chicago defense played a half of inspired football against the Vikings in Week 1, but it's been downhill from there and last week's disaster eliminated any room for optimism about a better performance from Caleb Williams. The Bears weren't able to get to Jared Goff once in Week 2 and the Lions got 100-yard performances from Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams. With Jaylon Johnson (groin) now out for the year, expect the Chicago secondary to struggle with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens too, which is a big reason why the Cowboys cover in 61% of simulations.

Over 50.5 points

Both of these defenses surrendered more than 500 yards of total offense last week and combined to give up 89 points. There's at least some argument to be made that the Cowboys were even worse on that side of the ball then the Bears, because the Lions are one of the best offenses in football and Dallas was playing the Giants. It's hard to imagine either unit could be worse this week, but both units have lost their best player (Micah Parsons to trade and Jaylon Johnson to injury) early in the season and are clearly reeling. The model predicts an average final score of 28-24 and is leaning over here.

Want more Week 3 NFL picks?

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You can also see Week 3 picks from CBS Sports Gambling and Fantasy managing editor R.J. White, who is 23-15 in his last 38 NFL picks. See his Week 2 NFL best bets right here