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The New York Mets meet the Atlanta Braves in the second of a three-game series Wednesday after New York routed its rival 13-5 behind six home runs, two of which came off the bat of Pete Alonso, who became the franchise's all-time homer king as a result. The Mets have slid from atop the NL East standings to holding a Wild Card spot, and they enter Wednesday with a two-game lead over the Cincinnati Reds for the third and final NL Wild Card spot and will look to improve their playoff positioning vs. the Braves on Wednesday, Aug. 13, at 7:10 p.m. ET on FS1.

If you're looking to get into MLB betting at the top sportsbooks, check out the SportsLine Projection Model for the latest Braves vs. Mets odds, predictions and player props. The model enters Week 21 of the 2025 MLB season at a profitable 31-23 on top-rated MLB money line picks.

The Mets are starting lefty David Peterson on Wednesday, and Peterson has been Mr. Reliable for New York this year with a 2.98 ERA and 7-5 record. He's been great of late, too, allowing two or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts. The Braves will send out right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 6.18 ERA), who is making his third start for the Braves. He's struggled thus far, allowing nine runs in 11.2 innings in his two starts for Atlanta since he was acquired from the New York Yankees. 

Peterson's strikeout prop sits at 4.5 (Over -118, Under -108) at FanDuel Sportsbook, with Carrasco's at 3.5 (Over +124, Under -166). Peterson has gone Under 4.5 strikeouts in four of his past outings, while Carrasco has finished with three or fewer punchouts in four of his past six starts. Yet, the SportsLine Projection Model has given 4 stars (out of 5) to Peterson Over 4.5 strikeouts, as it has calculated him for 5.0 for this outing.

After swatting his 27th and 28th home runs of the season on Tuesday, Alonso has the shortest home run odds for tonight's contest at +240. Alonso's Mets teammate Juan Soto is next up at +250, and he also has 28 homers on the year. In fact, the four players with the shortest odds to homer are all Mets, and the first Braves player to appear on the odds board for this market is Matt Olson at +460. 

The Mets are -205 favorites to win on Wednesday (wager $205 to win $100) in the latest SportsLine consensus odds, while the Braves are +169 (wager $100 to win $169) underdogs. The total is positioned at 9 after it first opened at 8.5. You can find the model's latest projections and expert picks for Braves-Mets at SportsLine.

Here are the SportsLine model's projections for Braves vs. Mets on Wednesday.

ATLANTA BRAVES at NEW YORK METS | 8/13 | 7:10 p.m. ET

Money line
Pick: Braves +169
Atlanta wins in 41% of simulations, bringing value at these odds

Run line
Pick: Braves +1.5 (-119)
Atlanta covers in 64% of simulations, bringing value at these odds

Over/Under
Pick: Under 9 (-119)
The Under hits in 49.4% of simulations

Projected score: Mets 4.7, Braves 4.2