The San Diego Padres are looking to trim their three-game deficit in the NL West to the Los Angeles Dodgers and will get the chance to do so against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday, August 4, at 9:40 p.m. ET, with the game being televised on MLB Network. The last time these two NL West rivals faced off was the week ahead of the All-Star Break, with the Padres and Diamondbacks each taking two games in a four-game set from San Diego.
Baseball fans looking to get into MLB betting at the top sportsbooks can get the latest Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions and player props from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times.
One of San Diego's trade acquisitions will make his debut on the bump tonight, as the Padres are rolling out former Athletic JP Sears. The southpaw went 7-9 with a 4.95 ERA with the Athletics this season before he was dealt, along with reliever Mason Miller, to San Diego. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are sending out Brandon Pfaadt, who has also struggled this campaign with a 5.11 ERA despite the 10-7 record.
Both Sears and Pfaadt have strikeout props of 4.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, with Sears' and Pfaadt's Unders both favored at -166 (Sears' Over is at +124, Pfaadt's is at +130). Out of the two starting pitchers, the SportsLine Projection Model has given the highest score to Pfaadt's Over (4 out of 5 stars) with a projection of 4.8 punchouts.
Ketel Marte has the shortest odds of any player in this contest to leave the yard at +285, followed by a pair of Padres with Manny Machado at +350 and Fernando Tatis Jr. at +360. Other notable names to homer include Corbin Carroll at +460, Xander Bogaerts at +560 and Jackson Merrill at +560.
The Padres are -139 favorites (wager $139 to win $100) in the latest SportsLine consensus odds, while the Diamondbacks are +117 (wager $100 to win $117) underdogs. The total sits at 9.5, with the Under favored at -121. You can find the model's latest projections and expert picks for Padres-Diamondbacks at SportsLine.
Here are the SportsLine model's projections for Padres vs. Diamondbacks on Monday.
SAN DIEGO PADRES at ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS | 8/4 | 9:40 p.m. ET
Money line
Pick: Diamondbacks +117
Arizona wins in 49% of simulations, bringing value at these odds
Run line
Pick: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-137)
Arizona covers in 66% of simulations, bringing value at these odds
Over/Under
Pick: Under 9.5 (-121)
The Under hits in 54.9% of simulations
Projected score: Padres 4.9, Diamondbacks 4.5
