Free MLB player props, odds for June 19: Pete Alonso, Matt Olson among best bets for Thursday total RBI picks

SportsLine's model is on a 37-30 roll on MLB picks and revealed its MLB prop picks and MLB betting picks for sites like PrizePicks, DraftKings and FanDuel

By Owen OBrien

Jun 19, 2025 at 9:34 am ET • 3 min read

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The Atlanta Braves are one of the most surprising disappointments of the 2025 MLB season, currently 33-39 and 11 games out of first place in the National League East. However, the Braves have won the first two games this series against the NL-leading New York Mets. Atlanta first baseman Matt Olson has an RBI in the first two games of the series and six over his last five games. That's a trend the model sees value in continuing for Thursday MLB props on betting sites. The model has Olson Over 0.5 RBI as one of its best bets for Thursday MLB player props on online sports betting sites.

With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest FanDuel promo code.

The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 37-30 run on all top-rated MLB picks. The model is up 34.85 units on home run prop picks over the last 71 days. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB player props on Thursday.

Best Thursday RBI MLB player prop picks:

Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBI (+150)
Matt Olson Over 0.5 RBI (+145)
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBI (+150)

Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBI (+150)

The Mets have been shut out in two of their last three games and Alonso is without an RBI in six straight contests. But before this current skid, he had at least one RBI in three straight games and seven of his prior eight contests. The slugging first baseman leads baseball with 63 RBI and he's fifth in OPS (.948). He's arguably having the best season of his seven-year career, and the model doesn't expect his or New York's offensive struggles to continue much longer.

Alonso has a home run in one of his 12 career at-bats against Braves probable starter Spencer Strider. The 26-year-old hasn't been as dominant since his return from Tommy John surgery last year as Strider has a 4.35 ERA this year compared to a career ERA of 3.54. Caesars Sportsbook is offering the best odds of this play at +150 odds and the Caesars Sportsbook promo code "CBSDYW" gives new users 10 100% profit boosts with a $1 bet:

Matt Olson Over 0.5 RBI (+145)

Olson hit his 15th home run of the season on Wednesday against the Mets, and he has 11 RBI over his current nine-game hitting streak. He also has at least one RBI in eight of his last 12 games. After hitting below .250 with 31 RBI over 57 games from March-May, Olson is batting .302 with 14 RBI over 15 June games to perform to his status as one of the top first basemen in baseball.

Olson led baseball with 54 home runs and 139 RBI in 2023, and he has averaged 112.8 RBI over his previous four seasons. Olson has 30 of his 45 RBI off right-handed pitching this season with the Mets are scheduled to start RHP Clay Holmes. The 31-year-old has gone Over his RBI total in four of his last five home games, averaging 1.2 RBI per contest during that span. DraftKings Sportsbook is offereing the best odds at +145 and a DraftKings promo code gives new users $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:

Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBI (+150)

Despite back-to-back games without an RBI, Machado has six RBI over his last five games as he's coming off his third 100-RBI season over his last four years. Machado finished with 105 RBI last year and he averaged 101 RBI over his prior four seasons. The 32-year-old ranks 10th in batting average (.312) and 16th in OPS (.873) while his 45 RBI is tied for 21st in baseball.

The model is a big fan of this matchup as well as Machado has two home runs in six career at-bats against Dodgers probable starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The 26-year-old Dodgers pitcher allowed five runs in 4 2/3 innings against the Giants on Friday in his last start. Machado hit his 11th home run of the season on Monday against the Dodgers. DraftKings is offering the best odds on Machado at +150 and a DraftKings promo code can provide a significant boost to your bankroll.