Best Bets for July 16, 2025: The Open Championship

One day out from The Open Championship, and we've got a full slate of picks ready. College football previews kick off with the SEC, plus we're stacked with NFL futures and fantasy football insights. Bookmark this page for daily free bets!

The Inside the Lines Team powers the SportsLine Model and is giving you their favorite picks for free. You have seen us or our projections all over the CBS Sports and SportsLine universe but now you have one page where all of our personal best bets are posted daily. 

Follow them @kenzbrooksbets, @stephenohcbs, @jakefetnercbs, @taftgantt, and if you want to take advantage of the best odds spotlighted in our picks, click here.  

[Jul 15, 2025 at 3:37 pm ET · Jacob Fetner]

2025 MLB All-Star Game Best Bets 

MLB All-Star Game Best Bets Inside the Lines Team

MLB All-Star Game Best Bets

[Jul 15, 2025 at 11:31 am ET · Taft Gantt]

The Open Championship

Full lineup of plays ahead of golf's final major.

Best Bets: The Open Championship Inside the Lines team

Full Picks and Analysis

[Jul 14, 2025 at 3:48 pm ET · Mackenzie Brooks]

Home Run Derby Props

[Jul 14, 2025 at 9:27 am ET · Mackenzie Brooks]

Full Analysis and Best Value

[Jul 9, 2025 at 1:01 pm ET · Mackenzie Brooks]

NFL Player Prop Futures

3-Leg NFL Futures Parlay: Brian Thomas Jr., Kyler Murray and Malik Nabers

Sportsline Instagram

[Jul 13, 2025 at 9:27 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/13

Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) +450, BetMGM

Soderstrom went 0-4 at the plate yesterday, but prior to that, he had 4 multi-hit games and 3 home runs in his last 5 games. He's hit 16 of his 17 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers, against whom he has an .869 OPS. While José Berríos has done a good job limiting home runs this year, his past struggles with the long ball suggest some regression could be coming. We set Soderstrom's line at +405 to homer.

Ketel Marte (ARI) +375, BetMGM

We're going back to Ketel Marte in a favorable spot. While he hasn't homered in the past week, his overall form since June suggests he's due. José Soriano doesn't give up many home runs, but he's struggled to pitch deep into games. That opens the door for Marte to face the Angels' bullpen, which has a 5.08 ERA and leads MLB with 55 home runs allowed. Even if Marte doesn't get to Soriano, the bullpen matchup gives this play value. We set the line at +310 for Marte to homer.

Riley Greene (DET) +525, BetMGM

Greene faces Logan Gilbert, who has allowed 4+ runs in three of his last four starts and 5 home runs in that span. Greene has hit 22 of his 23 home runs against right-handed pitchers and is batting .306 against them this season. While Gilbert has been tougher on lefties (.230 average) than righties (.183), Greene is 4-for-9 in his career against him. With the line as low as +350 on FanDuel, +525 offers great value. We set Greene's line at +368 to homer.

[Jul 9, 2025 at 6:43 pm ET · Mackenzie Brooks]

NFC East Division Winner

Mackenzie Brooks shares her futures play for the NFC East division.

[Jul 12, 2025 at 9:29 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/12

James Wood (WAS) +390, DraftKings

Wood is in a bit of a slump this week, but this matchup presents a good opportunity to bounce back. He has a .931 OPS and 15 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. Brandon Woodruff was sharp in his first start back from Tommy John surgery, allowing just 1 ER with 8 strikeouts, but his velocity was down. That's often a sign of potential regression, especially for a pitcher returning after two years. We set Wood's line at +295 to homer today.

George Springer (TOR) +425, BetMGM

Springer, one of MLB's biggest All-Star snubs, is off to a hot start with 5 home runs in his last 10 games. He's up to 16 HRs and an .869 OPS this season—an impressive jump from last year's .674 OPS and 19 HRs. Jacob Lopez has struggled recently, allowing 7 earned runs in 7.2 innings over his last two starts. Right-handed batters have hit 7 of the 8 home runs Lopez has allowed and have a .772 OPS against him. We set Springer's line at +314 to homer today.

Juan Soto (NYM) +425, BetMGM

Soto is just 1-10 in his career against Michael Lorenzen, which helps explain the generous +425 price. But Soto has been on fire over the last month and a half and has hit 18 of his 22 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. Lorenzen has allowed 17 home runs in 18 games this season and has only struck Soto out once in 10 at-bats. With hitter-friendly weather in Kansas City today, this is a great spot for Soto. We set his line at +330 to homer.

[Jul 7, 2025 at 1:07 pm ET · Inside the Lines Team]

Fantasy Football Would You Rather: Patrick Mahomes or Kyler Murray?

To get you ready for your fantasy football draft, we have a series of 'Would You Rather' style videos to break down who you should take for your lineup.
Patrick Mahomes will be one of the first quarterbacks off the board in your fantasy draft, but is it worth waiting a few rounds to draft another crafty quarterback? We break down the QB1 situation.

[Jul 11, 2025 at 10:35 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

NBA Summer League Bets 7/11

Detroit Pistons -125 ML (Hard Rock) vs. New York Knicks

The Pistons have the most talented player on the court with last year's 5th overall pick Ron Holland playing. Daniss Jenkins and Tolu Smith were two of the better players in the G League last season and have experience playing together. The Knicks have traded away a lot of draft capital to help their NBA squad which in turn has hurt their talent level in the summer league. 

Toronto Raptors ML vs. Chicago Bulls x Memphis ML vs. Boston (+105 Parlay Hard Rock)

The Raptors have one of the better summer league rosters in the NBA this season. They added two awesome defenders, Collin Murray-Boyles and Alijah Martin, in the draft and have a handful of players with NBA experience (Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Colin Castleton, Jonathan Mogbo) on their roster. The Bulls have some talent in Buzelis and Essengue, but both players are young and still raw. Toronto -6.5 is probably a solid play as well.

The Grizzlies don't have their top pick, Cedric Coward, at the Las Vegas summer league, but they have young players who have played lost of NBA minutes in Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, and GG Jackson. Having played together in the Utah Summer League should give them an advantage as well. The Celtics don't have as much young talent because they have been competing for championships on the NBA level.

Player Props (PrizePicks Lines):

Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR) O 5.5 Rebounds

CMB measured in at under 6'7" at the combine, but he averaged 8.3 rebounds in college last year due to his 7'0" wingspan. This line seems a bit low for Murray-Boyles.

Kasparas Jakucionis (MIA) O 12 PRA

This is a buy low spot for Jakucionis who couldn't buy a basket in his first few summer league games. Perhaps the change of venue could help get things going. 

Ariel Hukporti (NYK) U 10.5 Points

Hukporti is going to make his living being a solid defender not by scoring a ton of points. Hukporti was 3-2 on the under at this line in last year's summer league. 

Tre Johnson (WAS) O 13.5 Points 

Don't be scared off by all the talent on Washington's roster. Johnson is a scorer and is not afraid to shoot the ball. Having a facilitator like Bub Carrington could get Johnson more looks when playing off ball as well.

Baylor Scheierman (BOS) O 4.5 Rebounds

Scheierman went 4-1 on the over at 4.5 rebounds in last year's summer league. With not a whole lot of draft capital on the Celtics' roster, Scheierman is one of the key pieces on their roster and has plenty of experience now that he is not longer a rookie.

Cam Spencer (MEM) O 3.5 Assists

Spencer is surrounded by a ton of talent on the Grizzlies' summer league team. While he's not a true point guard, Spencer processes the game better than almost any other player that is at NBA Summer League.

Liam McNeeley (CHA) O 1.5 3PM

McNeeley struggled with his shot at UConn, but the spacing of the NBA should help him going forward. Don't be surprised if he is immediately a better shooter at the NBA level than he was in college. 

Walter Clayton Jr (UTA) O 11.5 Points

In the one game without Brice Sensabaugh in the Utah Summer League, Clayton scored 20 points. Sensabaugh is not on the Jazz' Las Vegas Summer League roster because he had nothing left to prove and without him playing, Clayton should get plenty of shots up. 

[Jun 30, 2025 at 7:58 am ET · Inside the Lines Team]

Top 10 Early NFL Bets for 2025

 
Week 1 Best Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5 (-115 FanDuel)

Our model projects a seven-point victory for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 1, giving them a 63% chance of covering the -2.5 spread. Tampa Bay has consistently performed better on the road than at home over the past two seasons. In 2023, they averaged four more points per game on the road, and in 2024, they maintained a three-point road advantage. Their defense has also been remarkably consistent, allowing the same number of points regardless of venue. Last season, the Bucs posted a +5.4 point differential on the road, which improved to a phenomenal +8.2. Their run defense has been especially good, holding opponents to just 3.7 yards per carry in 2024 and 3.8 in 2023. Notably, they limited Falcons star Bijan Robinson to just 63 and 61 rushing yards in their two meetings last season — with 63 being his career high against Tampa Bay.

Top Win Total Wager: San Francisco 49ers Under 10.5 Wins (-115 FanDuel)

While the 49ers are undeniably a Super Bowl-caliber team when fully healthy, our model projects them to finish with just 9.2 wins this season. This projection is largely due to the strength of their division, where rivals like Seattle are expected to exceed their own win totals. The 49ers' success hinges on the health of several key players, many of whom are aging or have a history of injuries. Left tackle Trent Williams is nearing 37 years old. Tight end George Kittle, who turns 32 in October, has never played a full 17-game season. Running back Christian McCaffrey missed most of 2024 and was a shadow of his former self when he did play. Quarterback Brock Purdy is not the type of player who can carry a depleted roster — his passer rating dropped 17 points when the team was banged up, and the 49ers won just six games with him under center last year. Wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk missed 10 games. Even backup running back Isaac Guerendo, who has flashed potential, has durability concerns dating back to college.

If the 49ers stay healthy, they could win 13 games. But our model estimates only a 25% chance of that happening. With even one or two key injuries, their ceiling drops to 11 wins or fewer — making the under a strong play.

Value Pick to Win Division: Los Angeles Chargers +310

The Kansas City Chiefs remain the favorite to win the AFC West, but the Los Angeles Chargers offer the best value. Our simulations give the Chargers a 34% chance to win the division, compared to just 24% implied by their +310 odds.

This is a regular season bet, and the Chargers are built to succeed over 17 games. Despite a disappointing playoff loss to Houston, there are plenty of reasons to believe this team is on the rise. Quarterback Justin Herbert started slowly under new head coach Jim Harbaugh and offensive coordinator Greg Roman, averaging just 163 passing yards and 25 attempts per game over the first five weeks. However, he finished the season strong, averaging 255 yards and 32 attempts per game, along with 2.25 passing touchdowns over his final four regular season games. He's poised to return to his 3,800-yard, 30-touchdown form.

After a slow-ish start, Ladd McConkey averaged nearly six receptions, 88 yards, and half a touchdown per game down the stretch. The Chargers' backfield is also in great shape with Najee Harris and first-round pick Omarion Hampton, both of whom are younger and healthier than last year's injury-prone duo of Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins.

Value Pick to Miss Playoffs: Cincinnati Bengals +130

The Bengals are being priced as a playoff contender, but our model suggests otherwise. Cincinnati misses the playoffs in 57% of simulations, which would imply odds closer to -130 — not the +130 currently available.

The team has several red flags. Their defense remains a concern, and now star pass rusher Trey Hendrickson may hold out. First-round pick Shemar Stewart still hasn't signed. Offensively, they retained Tee Higgins, but that move doesn't address their core issues. The AFC is stacked, and it's hard to see which 2024 playoff team the Bengals are likely to leapfrog. The Chiefs, Ravens, and Bills are near locks to make the postseason. The Texans are favored to win the AFC South again, and both the Chargers and Broncos are ascending teams with strong point differentials. Even the Steelers look improved with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback and D.K. Metcalf replacing George Pickens.

Cincinnati also plays in the toughest division in football (AFC North) and plays the other toughest division, the NFC North. Toss in the fact that many of their "weaker" opponents from last season — including the Jaguars, Jets, Patriots, and Dolphins — are expected to be significantly better in 2025, and you have a real uphill climb for an non-playoff team last season to make it this season.

Best Bet to Win Conference: Buffalo Bills +350 to +375

The Buffalo Bills are being undervalued in the AFC Championship market. While the odds imply a 22% chance of winning the conference, our model gives them a 37% probability — a massive edge.

Buffalo has a 60% chance of securing the No. 1 seed, thanks to a relatively soft division and a favorable schedule that includes home games against the Ravens, Chiefs, Bengals, Eagles, and Buccaneers. The first-round bye is a huge advantage in the playoffs. Even a seven-point favorite in the Wild Card round only wins about 75% of the time — but a bye guarantees 100%. Home-field advantage in Buffalo, especially in January, is another major factor that boosts their chances.

Pick to Win Super Bowl: Baltimore Ravens +700

This bet is paired with Buffalo to win it all for a reason — if either team wins, you're up still up +500. The Ravens and Bills combine for a 37% chance to win the Super Bowl, according to our model, while their odds imply just 16.6% each.

Baltimore enters the season with a revamped secondary. Their biggest weakness last year was poor safety play by veterans Marcus Williams and Eddie Jackson the first two+ months of the season. But that's been addressed with the addition of rookie Malakhi Starks and the move of Kyle Hamilton to free safety. They also added former All-Pro corner Jaire Alexander and top free agent from last season, Chidobe Awuzie to replace Brandon Stephens. Offensively, Lamar Jackson now has DeAndre Hopkins and a fully healthy Keaton Mitchell to work with.

Value Pick to Win Super Bowl: Buffalo Bills +700

Buffalo is also a strong Super Bowl value play. Our model gives them a 20% chance to win it all, compared to just 12.5% implied by their current odds. Even if they lose to Baltimore in Week 1, they remain a great value — and if their odds drift to +1000 or higher from a week 1 loss, they become an even stronger buy, assuming no major injuries.

Top Player Stat Future: Brian Thomas Jr. Over 6.5 Receiving Touchdowns (-110)

Brian Thomas Jr. is poised for a breakout season, and our projections suggest he could hit the over on 6.5 receiving touchdowns before November. Even if Travis Hunter commands 25% of team receptions — the same share BTJ had as a rookie — Thomas could still see 30% or more, given the lack of depth at wide receiver and tight end.

Hunter's presence will only make Thomas more efficient. Last season, Thomas accounted for 25% of team receptions, 35% of receiving yards, and a staggering 53% of receiving touchdowns. He's the rare player who can dominate both in volume and efficiency, with the potential to reach 100 receptions while also benefiting from Hunter drawing defensive attention.

With Trevor Lawrence's passing touchdown line set between 21.5 and 22.5, it's hard to imagine Thomas not accounting for at least seven of those scores. If he doesn't, who will? Brenton Strange? Dyami Brown? Parker Washington? Even if Hunter has a strong season, Thomas is the clear red zone threat and should easily surpass this total.

Best Bet for Rookie of the Year: Travis Hunter (+900 to +1000)

Travis Hunter offers tremendous value in the Offensive Rookie of the Year market. While Cam Ward and Ashton Jeanty are the current favorites (+250 to +350 range), Hunter's unique two-way impact gives him a narrative edge that voters won't ignore.

Although the award is technically for offensive performance, Hunter's ability to contribute on defense will influence the voters who won't be able to stop themselves from saying "it's amazing he can put up numbers at WR while also playing defense". If he intercepts Cam Ward in the same game he scores a touchdown, that moment alone could swing the vote. Unlike the Heisman race, where team record wasn't a major factor in his winning, NFL voters will reward him for winning more than the other top candidates. Jacksonville has a 40% chance to make the playoffs — significantly higher than Tennessee or Las Vegas — and if they do, Hunter will be seen as the biggest reason why. All 3 teams were at 4 or 3 wins last season.

Pick to Win MVP: Joe Burrow (+650)

Joe Burrow is in prime position to win MVP this season. Much like Josh Allen last year, Burrow can benefit from the "lifetime achievement" narrative and the perception that he's winning with less talent. Outside of Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, the Bengals' roster is arguably one of the weakest in the league.

Burrow's MVP case hinges on Cincinnati making the playoffs, which our model gives a 43% chance. If they do, it will almost certainly be because Burrow puts up monster numbers. In 85%+ of those playoff-bound simulations, he wins MVP. This is a one-year window — if he wins it in 2025, the narrative won't be there in future seasons.

[Jul 11, 2025 at 9:40 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/11

Seiya Suzuki (CHC) +425, DraftKings

Suzuki has already set a career high with 25 home runs this season and has been particularly effective against left-handed pitching, posting a .960 OPS. Carlos Rodón is having a strong season overall, but he's been prone to giving up the long ball—15 HRs allowed so far, with 11 of those coming off the bats of right-handed hitters. Righties also have an OPS over 100 points higher than lefties against Rodón. We set Suzuki's line at +358 to homer.

Jazz Chisholm (NYY) +400, BetMGM

Chisholm continues to thrive at home, where he's hitting .315 with a 1.062 OPS and has hit 13 of his 17 home runs. He's also crushed right-handed pitching, with 16 of his 17 HRs coming against RHPs. He faces rookie Logan Evans today, who has struggled on the road—allowing a .330 average and .917 OPS in 4 road starts. While Chris Flexen has been solid this season, our model expects some regression and likes this matchup for Jazz. We set his line at +314 to homer.

Corey Seager (TEX) +460, BetRivers

Seager enters today's game with multi-hit performances in four straight games and has hit 6 of his 13 home runs over the last two weeks. He owns an .889 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season. While Lance McCullers has been more effective against lefties, Seager's current form makes this a favorable spot regardless of the pitcher's splits. We set Seager's line at +320 to go deep.

[Jul 11, 2025 at 7:49 am ET · Stephen Oh]

Would You Rather Have First Round Big 10 Tight End Tyler Warren or First Round Big 10 TE Colston Loveland?

*I reviewed our Fantasy Football projections that have powered CBS Fantasy for over 10 seasons (over 13 if you count the years I ran my own company licensing to CBS) and am spotlighting cases where our projection differs significantly than what the FFT Consensus and ADP say. 

Loveland was drafted higher than Warren and is the consensus better fantasy option based on FFT's ECR and ADP despite Warren producing more last season at Penn State (104 rec, 1233 rec yards, 218 rushing yards 12 total TDs) than Loveland did the last 2 seasons (101 rec, 1231 rec yards, -10 rushing yards, 9 total TDs). Loveland's stats were limited by being on a loaded, run first offense in Michigan's '23 championship team and then on a horrible QB situation in 2024. Warren played on a team that had a good QB but no wide receivers. The reason why the model favors Warren at TE17 over Loveland at just TE29 is the fact that none of Warren's competitors for targets are highly ranked in fantasy. The FFT Consensus has Alec Pierce not even top 50 WR, Michael Pittman WR 48, Josh Downs WR 47. The '24 Colts TEs combined would not have even been a Top 25 fantasy TE. Warren's ability to line up anywhere and run the ball also helps produce FPs even if the passing game is 67% as productive as Chicago's. Loveland isn't technically listed as TE1 on the depth chart (Cole Kmet was TE19 last season). WR2, Rome Odunze, and WR3 Luther Burden are ranked comparably to the Colts' top WRs and when you add in high volume target, DJ Moore you just have twice as many mouths to feed. The Bears have never had a 4000 yard passer. Caleb Williams would have to have 5000 yards and 40 TDs to create a fantasy point pie large enough for Loveland's share to be significant as a rookie.

Tyler Warren Over 500.5 Receiving Yards -110 DraftKings

The Colts bad passing game still managed to have nearly 3400 yards last season and we should see ~3500 this season. If Warren can have 15% of team yards he hits the over. Fifteen percent is not even half of the 34% of Penn State's total receiving yards he had last season. It's barely half of what Brock Bowers (drafted 13th) accounted for as a rookie (29%) in a similar situation where the team did not have a lot of other options to throw to and did not have good QBs throwing. Bowers had 1194 yards and Warren may only be 70% of what Bowers is as a pure receiver, but that's still comfortably over 500.5 yards.

Colston Loveland Under 700.5 Receiving Yards -130 bet365

People are assuming Chicago's offense with Ben Johnson will look immediately like Detroit's given they both have former #1 pick QBs and multiple talented WRs. And the assumption is like Sam Laporta, Loveland will be an immediate 60 yard per game TE. But remember, Detroit's offense benefited from playing in a dome which is why they average 4 to 5 more at home and 20 to 30 more passing yards at home and 15% more TDs per game from Goff at home. Chicago has never had a 4000 yard passer because of lack of talent and the conditions at Soldier Field as early as October 1st. With 6 other skill position players who account for 10%+ of team receiving yards on the team Loveland will be lucky to get 1/7th of the team yards (14%) and to have 701 Caleb Williams would have to take a franchise that never had 4000 yard passer to one that has 5000 yards in a single season.

[Jul 10, 2025 at 4:13 pm ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Draft Best Bets 

(Instead of using an AI Model to predict the draft like we have done for the NBA and NFL Drafts, we are using a consensus mock draft using 8 expert mocks)

Devin Taylor U Pick 41.5 (-110, DraftKings)
Taylor is one of if not the best pure hitter coming out of college. The big question mark is his defensive value, but with the universal DH in place, his defense matters less because his bat is that good. 

Patrick Forbes U Pick 39.5 (-110, DraftKings)
Forbes is a draft eligible Sophomore so he has some leverage in the draft, but he shined in the postseason and has potential to be one of the best pitchers in this draft. His line being at 39.5 makes sense because he is linked to the Dodgers, who have made it a habit of picking Louisville players, but based on his ability, he should go before hand. 

Marek Houston O Pick 15.5 (+100, Hard Rock)
All 8 expert mocks have Houston going pick 16 or higher. Three of the drafts have Houston going 16th to Milwaukee. He is likely a safer bet being a college shortstop, but despite having a career year on offense, there are questions about Houston's offensive upside.

Wehiwa Aloy to Be Selected Before Marek Houston (+115, Hard Rock)
4 of the 8 expert mocks have Aloy going first, so we are going to go with plus money here in what is probably a 50/50 play. Aloy won the Golden Spikes Award for the best player in the country, and while he has mote swing and miss, his power upside is well above that of Houston. 

Max Belyeu Selected Before Charles Davalan (+135, DraftKings)
This line moved from +160 to +135, so there is steam on this happening. This is a value play because its probably 50/50 of either getting selected first. If Belyeu didn't have an injury this season, he would probably be favorite here, and teams look at long term upside when drafting, which Belyeu probably has a little more of than Davalan. 

Gavin Kilen Under Pick 16.5 (-160, Hard Rock)
The most popular spot for Kilen in mock drafts is 15th to Boston. 6 of the 8 expert mocks have Kilen going before pick 17. Kilen fits the draft profile of both Boston and Minnesota who have the 15th and 16th picks, respectively.

[Jul 10, 2025 at 9:24 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/10

Jonathan Aranda (TB) +560, FanDuel

Aranda is swinging a hot bat, going 9-for-17 (.529) with a home run over his last 4 games. He's 2-for-4 in his career against Walker Buehler with a home run and a single. Buehler has struggled against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .333 average and a .904 OPS. Aranda, meanwhile, has a .944 OPS against right-handed pitchers. With favorable splits and recent form, we set Aranda's line at +460 to homer.

Pete Alonso (NYM) +400, BetMGM – Game 1

Alonso hasn't had much success against Charlie Morton in his career (7-for-32, 0 HRs), but Morton is now 41 years old and having his worst season in a decade. Right-handed batters are hitting .294 against Morton this year—well above his career average of .246. Alonso is likely aware of his struggles against Morton and may be due for a breakthrough. We set Alonso's line at +330 to homer in Game 1 of today's doubleheader.

Wyatt Langford (TEX) +470, DraftKings

The model likes this matchup for Langford against Jack Kochanowicz. Langford is a streaky hitter and is coming off back-to-back two-hit games, making this a good time to buy in. Angel Stadium is playing as the 4th most HR-friendly park this season, and Kochanowicz has struggled there, allowing opponents to hit .310. We set Langford's line at +365 to homer.

[Jul 9, 2025 at 10:55 pm ET · Jacob Fetner]

NBA Summer League Best Bets (7/10)

Ryan Nembhard (DAL) O 4.5 Assists 
Nembhard led the NCAA this past season with 9.8 assists/game. His line is probably a bit lower with the likelihood that Cooper Flagg will have the ball in his hands a lot, but when Flagg is off ball, Nembhard should be running the show, and he probably can get Flagg some open looks given his passing prowess. 

Kam Jones (IND) O 10.5 Points
The Pacers made a move to get the 38th pick to draft Jones and signed him to a contract with the first year guaranteed. Given that he has a spot on the team, especially with Tyrese Haliburton out for the season, the Pacers will likely try to feature Jones. Jones is a scoring guard and averaged 19 points/game last year. The line at 10.5 seems a bit low.

Danny Wolf (BRK) O 16 Points+Rebounds+Assists
The Nets have a crowded summer league roster given that they drafted 5 first rounders this year, but Wolf can play multiple positions which benefits him here. The Nets also have some of the best passers from the draft in Demin, Traore, and Saraf, so look for Wolf to be on the receiving end of some good looks. The spacing in an NBA setting could benefit Wolf. 

Johni Broome (PHI) U 1.5 3PM
Broome made 4 three pointers in his first two summer league games before going 0-5 in his last summer league game in Utah. Broome averaged just 0.7 three pointers made this past season at Auburn on 27.8% shooting, and now he has to backup another foot and a half with the NBA 3-point line being further back.

Derik Queen (NO) O 20 Points+Rebounds+Assists
The Pelicans gave up an unprotected 2026 first rounder to land Queen, and while that is likely an insane overpay given their outlook for next season, it shows how much they valued Queen. Queen should get plenty of opportunities on the Pelicans' Summer League squad, and he should also pull down a lot of rebounds after averaging 9.game in his lone college season. 

[Jul 9, 2025 at 10:31 pm ET · Jacob Fetner]

Scottish Open PrizePicks Plays

Davis Riley O 69.5 Strokes
Riley has struggled over his last few rounds at the Scottish Open. He shot a 70 and 72 in his two rounds last year. After a good start to the 2023 Scottish Open, Riley has carded a 70 or higher in 4 of his last 5 rounds at the Renaissance Club.

Taylor Pendrith O 2.5 Bogeys or Worse
Pendrith has not played in a Scottish Open, so it is difficult to determine how he will play in the links style golf course. Pendrith will be making his Open Championship debut next week, so it will be interesting to see how he approaches his play this week, but O 2.5 bogeys is likely a solid play given that he hasn't played in a Scottish Open yet.

Robert MacIntyre O 0.5 Birdies or Better vs. Karl Vilips
Going with last year's winner and the Scottish native, MacIntyre vs. Karl Vilips here. Vilips is making his Scottish Open debut, so getting last year's winner to have one more birdie is solid value against the young Australian.

[Jul 9, 2025 at 11:46 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Home Run Best Bets 7/9

Wilyer Abreu (BOS) +450, BetMGM

Abreu is swinging a hot bat with 4 multi-hit games and 4 home runs over his last 7 games played. He's up to 17 home runs on the season—16 of them against right-handed pitchers. Rockies SP Antonio Senzatela leads the league in both hits allowed and losses (12), making him highly susceptible to hard contact. With Abreu's current form and favorable matchup, we set his line at +320 to homer.

Jazz Chisholm (NYY) +375, BetMGM

Chisholm has been a completely different hitter at Yankee Stadium, where he's hitting .310 with 11 home runs compared to just .172 with 4 HRs on the road. The short porch in right field certainly helps. He's hit 14 of his 15 home runs against right-handed pitchers and faces rookie RHP Logan Evans today. Evans has struggled on the road, allowing a .330 average and .917 OPS in 4 starts away from home. We set Chisholm's line at +325 to homer.

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) +400, BetMGM

Schwarber launched a home run into McCovey Cove yesterday, and we like his chances to go deep again today. He's 2-9 with a home run in his career against Justin Verlander. While Verlander has only allowed 1 HR over the past month, opponents are hitting .308 against him in that span. Schwarber's power makes him a threat anytime he squares one up. We set the line at +322 for Schwarber to homer.

[Jun 29, 2025 at 9:56 am ET · Taft Gantt]

Wimbledon Futures

It's the best time of year for tennis fans: Wimbledon is here. Starting Monday, you'll be able to wake up and watch the world's top players battle it out on the grass courts of the All England Club. Here are two futures to make the fortnight even more exciting:

Novak Djokovic +105 (BetMGM) & Taylor Fritz +400 (Caesars) To Reach The Semi Finals

Djokovic has fallen to Carlos Alcaraz in each of the past two years, but this time he's landed in a different quarter of the draw, giving the seven-time winner a clearer path to the semis. Meanwhile, Fritz finds himself in the tournament's most open quarter. Fritz has twice reached the Wimbledon quarterfinals, including last year, and he's carrying strong momentum after winning the title in Eastbourne. His grass-court form makes +400 an intriguing price.

[Jul 9, 2025 at 7:43 pm ET · Taft Gantt]

Scottish Open Picks

We're heading across the pond riding a hot streak of +51.75 units over the last three weeks on the PGA Tour. Time to keep that momentum going this week at the Renaissance Club!

Scottie Scheffler +550 To Win (Bet365), Top 5 +130 (Bet365)

The week before a major, Scheffler has been nearly flawless in 2025, finishing T2, 1, and 1 in his tune-ups ahead of golf's biggest events. He placed T3 at the Renaissance Club in 2023 and has finished inside the Top 10 in his last nine starts, with three wins in his last six. Now coming off three weeks of rest, the World No. 1 practically demands a spot on your betting slip this week.

Bobby MacIntyre +3000 To Win (FanDuel), Top 10 +260 (Caesars)

Bobby returns home to defend his Scottish Open title, riding the momentum of a runner-up finish at the U.S. Open and arguably the best form of his career since draining that epic putt in Berwick last year. Remember: take Rory McIlroy out of the 2023 Scottish Open, and MacIntyre would've won by four shots. At +3000, he's a tempting hometown pick.

Tommy Fleetwood +2200 To Win (FanDuel), +225 Top 10 (BetMGM)

Fleetwood might be the most overdue player on the PGA Tour, arriving this week with renewed fire after blowing a lead on the 72nd hole in his last start. The good news? Tommy knows how to win on this side of the pond, boasting eight international victories and Top 10 finishes here in two of the last three years. He's poised to finally break through.

[Jul 12, 2025 at 6:57 am ET · Taft Gantt]

Wimbledon Ladies Final

Anisimova v. Swiatek O21.5 Total Match Games

Anisimova and Swiatek are both grinders who won't go down easy. While I like Swiatek to win the match, the American has the firepower to steal a set, setting up a likely decider. Expect a tight, physical battle that pushes this one over 21.5 total games.

[Jul 8, 2025 at 9:55 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

NBA Summer League Props (PrizePicks)

Adem Bona O 9.5 Pts 

Bona's line was at 11.5 yesterday after he scored 16 points in his first Summer League game, but after scoring just 4 points yesterday, his line is a 9.5 today. Bona has a better matchup against Memphis' defense that allowed 112 points in yesterday's game. Bona should get more looks today as he tries to win the backup center job in Philly. 

Cam Spencer O 3.5 Assists

This play should have hit yesterday, but there were two times that Spencer had assists that were not correctly credited to him. Spencer had 5 assists but was only credited with 3. Assuming he gets credited when he records an assist tonight, I like this play again, as it is clear that Spencer processes the game at a different level than most other players in Summer League.

Kyle Filipowski O 6.5 Rebounds

Filipowski had 13 rebounds yesterday, and his line is set at half of that today. There is always the concern in Summer League about players getting pulled at half or not playing, but this line seems too low today. 

[Jul 8, 2025 at 9:45 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/8

Corey Seager (TEX) +430, FanDuel

Seager is starting to heat up, now with 5 home runs in his last 10 games after going deep yesterday. He has an .866 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers compared to just .682 vs. lefties, and he's facing RHP José Soriano, against whom he's 4-5 with a home run in his career. Soriano has allowed just 4 HRs this season, but left-handed hitters are batting .268 against him. With Seager's recent power surge and past success against Soriano, we like this play at +430. We set the line at +355.

Junior Caminero (TB) +450, DraftKings

Caminero has hit 16 of his 21 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers and faces RHP Jack Flaherty, who has struggled mightily of late. Despite Detroit's strong record, Flaherty is just 5-9 and has a 10.50 ERA over his last 4 starts, allowing 5 home runs in that span. This is a favorable matchup for Caminero, and we set his line at +340 to homer.

James Wood (WAS) +600, BetMGM

Getting Wood at +600 is excellent value, especially with the average line around +480. He has a .964 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season. While Sonny Gray has been very good overall, he's not immune to giving up home runs. Wood is just 1-5 with a single and three strikeouts against Gray, who is tough on lefties, but the +600 price is too good to pass up. We set the line at +415 for Wood to go deep.

[Jul 8, 2025 at 10:28 am ET · Taft Gantt]

Wimbledon Quarters 7/8

 
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Cameron Norrie O32.5 Total Match Games -110 (FanDuel)

While Alcaraz rightfully enters as the clear favorite, I believe Norrie can steal a set on Centre Court with the home crowd behind him. Three of Alcaraz's four matches so far have gone over this total, and Norrie could prove to be his toughest test yet. I like the over here, with Norrie grabbing an early set to keep things competitive.

[Jul 7, 2025 at 9:00 am ET · Taft Gantt]

Wimbledon Round of 16 7/7

 
Ben Shelton over Sonego & Iga Swiatek over Tauson ML Parlay -150 (FanDuel)

Both enter today in top form. Shelton hasn't dropped a set and faces a worn-down Sonego coming off a grueling five-setter. Swiatek's consistency, grass-court improvements, and 2–0 record against Tauson make her a confident pick to reach the quarters.

[Jul 7, 2025 at 9:31 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Props 7/7

Riley Greene (DET) +475, BetMGM

Greene has 3 career plate appearances against Shane Baz and is 2-2 with a home run, a single, and a walk. He's hit 22 home runs this season—21 of them against right-handed pitchers—while batting .311 with a .991 OPS in those matchups. Baz has allowed 16 home runs in 17 starts this season. While he's actually been better against left-handed hitters, Greene's strong splits and success against Baz make this a worthwhile play. We set Greene's line at +370 to homer.

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) +450, DraftKings

Landen Roupp doesn't allow many home runs, but anytime you can get Schwarber at this price, our model sees value. Schwarber has 27 home runs in 90 games this season. While he's dominated lefties this year, he's historically been stronger against right-handed pitching, with a career .521 slugging percentage. We set Schwarber's line at +350 to go deep.

Ketel Marte (ARI) +450, DraftKings

Marte at +450 is excellent value, especially considering his line is as low as +255 on FanDuel—right around where we'd set it. He's back on the road, where he's slashing a ridiculous .336/.421/.709 with 11 home runs in just 30 games. Marte is 11-38 with 2 home runs in his career against Yu Darvish, who is making his season debut after missing the first half with an elbow injury. At nearly 39 years old, Darvish may show some rust. We set Marte's line at +260 to homer.

[Jul 2, 2025 at 10:14 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Futures 7/2

Tampa Bay Rays to Win AL East +500 (DraftKings)

The Rays are just 1.5 games back of the Yankees, who have been struggling mightily over the past month. Tampa Bay's biggest weakness is at shortstop, but they should be getting Ha-Seong Kim back shortly, and top prospect Carson Williams has been raking in the minors over the last month. The potential return of Shane McClanahan in the next month would also be a major boost. The Rays are winning the division in 25% of simulations, so this is a good longshot play at +500 (16.7% implied odds).

Philadelphia Phillies to Win NL East -180 (DraftKings)

The Phillies were our pick to win the NL East before the season, and we like this bet even more now with the Mets on a downward trend. Philadelphia is winning the division in around 80% of simulations, making this a strong value even at -180.

Milwaukee Brewers to Make the Playoffs -108 (FanDuel)

The Brewers are making the playoffs in 75% of our simulations. While they don't have a ton of star power, they feature solid pitching and a lineup full of hit-over-power players — a formula that works well for regular season success. Young players like Caleb Durbin and Joey Ortiz struggled early but have improved recently. The potential returns of Brandon Woodruff and Nestor Cortes could further strengthen their roster.

St. Louis Cardinals to Miss the Playoffs -155 (DraftKings)

This play complements the Brewers' playoff chances and reflects the limited number of postseason spots. The Cardinals would be in the playoffs if the season ended today, but they have four teams within three games of them. Despite exceeding expectations, this was supposed to be a rebuilding year. The Cardinals are more likely to sell at the deadline than buy, and this price could inflate soon.

Drake Baldwin to Win NL Rookie of the Year +475 (Hard Rock)

This is a value-based play focused on selling high on Jacob Misiorowski and buying low on Baldwin. Misiorowski has made just three MLB starts and, while dominant, has a history of command issues and the injury risk that comes with throwing 100+ MPH. He's currently -175 at most books. Baldwin, meanwhile, has a .805 OPS at a premium position. If the Braves make a run, Baldwin's odds could rise significantly.

[Jul 6, 2025 at 9:51 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/6

Kyle Stowers (MIA) +540, FanDuel

Stowers started the season showing a lot of power before cooling off in June with just 3 home runs, but he's already hit 3 HRs in July and has 5 over his last 9 games. All 16 of his home runs this season have come against right-handed pitchers, and he faces RHP Brandon Woodruff today. Woodruff is making his first start in nearly two seasons after undergoing Tommy John surgery. While he's elite when healthy, it's reasonable to expect some rust as he returns to MLB action—especially against a red-hot bat like Stowers'. We set Stowers' line at +450 to homer.

Pete Alonso (NYM) +450, FanDuel

Alonso crushed two home runs against the Yankees yesterday and now faces one of the league's top pitchers in Max Fried. Despite the tough matchup, Alonso has solid career numbers against Fried and has thrived in day games this season, hitting .323 with a 1.037 OPS in 34 such games. Fried doesn't give up many home runs, but he did allow two in his last start, and today's Home Run Index is a perfect 10 out of 10. We set Alonso's line at +290 to homer.

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) +550, BetMGM

Witt enters today's game on a 9-game hitting streak, including 4 multi-hit games, though he hasn't shown much power this season with just 11 home runs. After back-to-back 30-HR seasons in 2023 and 2024, we expect some positive regression in the power department. He faces Anthony DeSclafani, a pitcher who has bounced between the majors and minors and has been prone to giving up home runs. We set Witt's line at +385 to go deep.

[Jul 5, 2025 at 10:07 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Home Run Bets 7/5

James Wood (WAS) +375, BetMGM

Red Sox SP Walker Buehler has allowed at least one home run in each of his last 7 starts—10 total in that span. He's especially struggled against left-handed batters, who are hitting .329 against him this season. Wood has a .979 OPS and 15 home runs against right-handed pitchers this year. With the Home Run Index at a perfect 10 out of 10, this is a strong matchup based on both batter and pitcher splits. We set the line at +350 for Wood to homer.

Ketel Marte (ARI) +525, BetRivers

We're going back to Marte, who's been extremely reliable in HR props this season. Michael Wacha has allowed multiple home runs in 4 of his last 7 starts. While Marte is just 1-5 off Wacha in his career, that's too small a sample to be concerned. Left-handed batters have only hit three home runs off Wacha this season, but they are batting .275 against him. Marte has 15 of his 19 home runs against right-handed pitchers and a 1.072 OPS against them. We set the line at +330 for Marte to homer.

Christian Yelich (MIL) +540, FanDuel

Yelich is swinging a hot bat and facing his former team this weekend—two factors that make this play stand out. He's hit 16 of his 17 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. While Cal Quantrill is better against lefties than righties despite being a right-handed pitcher, Yelich is seeing the ball so well right now that it may not matter. We also hit on Ketel Marte to homer off Quantrill last week in a similar spot. We set the line at +375 for Yelich to go deep.

[Jul 5, 2025 at 10:02 am ET · Jacob Fetner]

MLB Best Bets With Bonus PGA Tour Bet (7/5)

Juan Soto (NYM) to Record a Walk -120 (DraftKings)

Soto has walked in 4 out of 6 career plate appearances against Carlos Rodón. Given how hot Soto is swinging the bat right now, Yankees pitchers may pitch around him or even intentionally walk him depending on the game situation. We would set this line closer to -150, so there's solid value at -120.

Rafael Devers (SF) to Record a Walk +125 (Bet365)

This is a value play that the model has hitting in around 70% of simulations. While Devers doesn't have great career numbers against Luis Severino, the Yankees' right-hander is struggling right now and may avoid giving Devers anything good to hit. Strong value at plus money.

Brandon Lowe (TB) to Record an RBI +140 (BetMGM)

Lowe is swinging a hot bat and faces a rookie right-handed pitcher today. He has 46 RBIs in 242 plate appearances against RHPs and has recorded an RBI in 5 of his last 8 games. We would price this closer to -110, so +140 offers excellent value.

Pittsburgh vs. Seattle NRFI -120 (Caesars)

This is our top NRFI (No Run First Inning) play of the day. The key matchup is Michael Burrows vs. Cal Raleigh. The Pirates rank near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, and the Mariners aren't much better—especially if Raleigh doesn't come up with men on base. If Burrows can retire Raleigh with two outs, this NRFI should cash.

Bonus PGA Best Bet: Aldrich Potgieter U 69.5 Strokes (-160, DraftKings)

Potgieter is the youngest player on tour, but he's been playing like a seasoned pro the last two weeks. His aggressive style and long drives are a great fit for the John Deere Classic, where distance can be heavily rewarded. Risking 1.6 units to win 1 unit on the under.