MLB picks: Mets-Red Sox odds, predictions for May 20 from proven model
New York sends Clay Holmes to the mound at Fenway Park. Check out the SportsLine Projection Model's best bets for Mets-Red Sox

The New York Mets and Boston Red Sox play the second game of a three-game set at Fenway Park on Tuesday. Boston took the first game on Monday with a 3-1 win, which brought the Sox to 24-25 on the season. The Mets are now 29-19 and have lost two in a row, dating to their loss to the Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch in Boston is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET, and the game will be shown nationally on TBS.
Clay Holmes will get the start for the Mets. The former closer has thrived after moving into a starting role in Queens, pitching to a 3.14 ERA in his first nine starts. Holmes is set at over/under 5.5 strikeouts at FanDuel Sportsbook, with the Over priced at +116 and the Under at -154. The Red Sox have not yet announced a starting pitcher for the game.
New York first baseman Pete Alonso is the +400 favorite to hit a home run, followed by fellow Mets stars Juan Soto (+450) and Francisco Lindor (+540). Red Sox outfielder Wilyer Abreu and Rafael Devers have the shortest odds for any Boston hitter at +600 each, followed by Alex Bregman (+630).
The Mets are -129 road favorites (wager $129 to win $100) on the money line in the latest SportsLine consensus odds, while the Red Sox are +109 (wager $100 to win $109) underdogs. The total comes in at 9. You can get the model's latest projections, along with expert picks for Mets-Red Sox, at SportsLine.
Here are the SportsLine model's projections for Mets-Red Sox on Tuesday.
NEW YORK METS at BOSTON RED SOX | 5/20 | 6:45 p.m. ET
Money line
Pick: Red Sox +109
Boston wins in 50% of simulations, bringing value at these odds
Run line
Pick: Red Sox +1.5 (-149)
Boston covers in 66% of simulations, bringing value at these odds
Over/Under
Pick: Over 9 (-110)
The Over hits in 50.8% of simulations
Projected score: Mets 5.1, Red Sox 4.9