WNBA predictions, picks: Mercury-Valkyries total among Monday's best bets from proven experts
Experts Calvin Wetzel and Aaron Barzilai share their WNBA best bets and predictions for Monday's games

The 2025 WNBA season continues Monday, July 14 with two games on the schedule. The Minnesota Lynx, who hold the league's best record and are favored to win the WNBA title, will go to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Sky in the second of a two-game head-to-head set. Chicago won the first meeting Saturday 87-81 thanks to 27 points from Ariel Atkins, as well as double-doubles from Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso. The second matchup features the Phoenix Mercury, who bring a two-game winning streak to the Bay Area to face the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries are 7-3 at home in their inaugural WNBA season and have been a profitable squad for bettors. Can they take out a Phoenix side missing Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper due to injuries?
If you're interested in WNBA betting and WNBA player props, you need to see what WNBA experts Calvin Wetzel and Aaron Barzilai have to say before making any bets on Monday's games.
Barzilai is a Ph.D. from Stanford who served as Director of Basketball Analytics for the Philadelphia 76ers. Five years ago, he founded HerHoopStats.com -- a groundbreaking website that unlocks insights about the women's game. Wetzel, the site's lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women's hoops to turn the site's prediction model into picks. Wetzel and Barzilai went 202-111-2 (+57.9 units) during the 2024 WNBA season and posted a 147-88-1 (+47.1 units) during the 2024-25 NCAA season. In the 2023 WNBA season, they finished 238-185-1 (+29.5 units).
Here are Barzilai and Wetzel's top picks for Monday, July 14:
Valkyries 1H -0.5
Golden State is now up to 15-5 against the spread in the first half, and the Valkyries also own one of the biggest home/road net rating discrepancies in the league. Given their league-leading attendance and electric atmosphere, it stands to reason that this trend may continue. The first half money line is -120 and this spread is effectively giving us the same outcome at -110.
Valkyries first half spread has been about as automatic of a bet as you can get all season, and at home it's only that much better. Let's ride the wave as long as it will carry us.
Mercury-Valkyries Over 158.5
Phoenix began the season as one of the slowest teams in the league, but it has done a complete 180 as of late and is now up to second in the league in pace on the season. No one has played faster over the last 15 games than the Mercury.
While these are two great defensive teams, no line should be in the 150s for a team pushing the tempo that much. Both teams love to shoot the 3 as well, which can lead to a lot of variance, so an alt over may be in play at longshot odds if you want to go out on a limb.
Barzilai and Wetzel have also locked in a player prop among Monday's contests, which you can see only at SportsLine.
















