2019-20 college basketball rankings: Virginia falls in Top 25 And 1 as key players stay in NBA Draft

There was always a chance, however unlikely, that Virginia could return all five starters from a team that won the 2019 NCAA Tournament because the only senior on this season's roster was Jack Salt, who averaged 3.7 points in just 16.6 minutes per game. If things broke a certain way, the Cavaliers would've been the favorites to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament and become college basketball's first back-to-back champs since Florida in 2006 and 2007. But, as you probably heard, things have not broken in a favorable way. So now Tony Bennett has holes to fill because Kyle Guy, Ty Jerome and De'Andre Hunter — otherwise known as the top three scorers from this season's team — have announced they're leaving school early and starting their professional careers. Nobody is testing the waters. They're all in the NBA Draft, 100 percent, for better or worse.

So where does that leave Virginia?

Answer: Still in the top 10, I think, if only because Bennett remains the coach and has consistently shown the ability to keep the Cavaliers near the top of the sport regardless of who's coming or going. Consider Virginia's past six final KenPom rankings as evidence:

  • 2014: No. 4
  • 2015: No. 6
  • 2016: No. 4
  • 2017: No. 12
  • 2018: No. 2
  • 2019: No. 1

What that shows is that Virginia's average KenPom finish over the past six seasons has been 4.8 — and that the Cavaliers have only landed outside of the top 10 once. That's a remarkable run. And it's why I'm simply going to trust Virginia to be good again despite three early departures that have significantly lowered the level of talent in the program. So Virginia is No. 9 in the updated Top 25 And 1 -- which was initially published right after the Cavaliers won the title game. These rankings have been updated multiple times since as developments have deemed it necessary. Expect the same going forward.

Top 25 And 1 

1
Coach: Tom Izzo

2018-19 record: 32-7
 
Notable players definitely gone:  Nick Ward, Matt McQuaid, Kenny Goins
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Cassius Winston, Joshua Langford, Xavier Tillman, Aaron Henry, Kyle Ahrens, Gabe Brown, Foster Loyer, Thomas Kithier, Marcus Bingham
 
Expected additions: Malik Hall, Rocket Watts, Julius Marble 
 
2
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2018-19 record: 32-6
 
Notable players definitely gone:  Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish
 
Other expected departures: N/A 
 
Notable players expected to return: Tre Jones, Marques Bolden, Alex O'Connell, Jack White, Javin DeLaurier, Jordan Goldwire, Joey Baker
 
Expected additions: Vernon Carey, Wendell Moore, Boogie Ellis, Matthew Hurt, Cassius Stanley
 
3
Coach: John Calipari

2018-19 record: 30-7
 
Notable players definitely gone: Reid Travis, PJ Washington, Tyler Herro, Keldon Johnson, Jemarl Baker
 
Other expected departures:  N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Ashton Hagans, Immanuel Quickley, Nick Richards, EJ Montgomery
 
Expected additions: Nate Sestina, Kahlil Whitney, Tyrese Maxey, Keion Brooks, Dontaie Allen, Brennan Canada
 
4
Coach: Chris Mack

2018-19 record: 20-14
 
Notable players definitely gone: Christen Cunningham, Khwan Fore
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Jordan Nwora, Dwayne Sutton, Steven Enoch, Malik Williams, Ryan McMahon, Darius Perry, V.J. King
 
Expected additions:  Lamarr Kimble, Samuell Williamson, Aidan Igheion, David Johnson, Josh Nickelberry, Jaelyn Withers, Quinn Slazinski
 
5
Coach: Mark Turgeon

2018-19 record: 23-11
 
Notable players definitely gone: Ivan Bender
 
Other expected departures: Bruno Fernando
 
Notable players expected to return: Anthony Cowan, Jalen Smith, Darryl Morsell, Aaron Wiggins, Serrel Smith, Eric Ayala, Ricky Lindo
 
Expected additions: Makhi Mitchel, Makhel Mitchell, Donta Scott, Hakim Hart
 
6
Coach: Roy Williams

2018-19 record: 29-7
 
Notable players definitely gone: Coby White, Cameron Johnson, Luke Maye, Kenny Williams, Nassir Little, Seventh Woods
 
Other expected departures: N/A 
 
Notable players expected to return: Garrison Brooks, Sterling Manley, Brandon Robinson, Leaky Black 
 
Expected additions: Cole Anthony, Armando Bacot, Anthony Harris, Jeremiah Francis
 
7

Coach: Bill Self

2018-19 record: 26-10
 
Notable players definitely gone: Dedric Lawson, Lagerald Vick, KJ Lawson, Charlie Moore, Quintin Grimes
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Udoka Azubuike, Devon Dotson, Ochai Agbaji, Marcus Garrett, David McCormack, Mitch Lightfoot
 
Expected additions: Isaac McBride, Christian Braun
 
8

Coach: Mark Few

2018-19 record: 33-4
 
Notable players definitely gone: Brandon Clarke, Rui Hachimura, Josh Perkins, Geno Crandall, Jeremy Jones
 
Other expected departures: N/A 
 
Notable players expected to return: Zach Norvell, Corey Kispert, Killian Tillie, Filip Petrusev, Joel Ayayi
 
Expected additions: Drew Timme, Anton Watson, Pavel Zakharov, Oumar Ballo, Martynas Arlauskas, Brock Ravet
 
9
Coach: Tony Bennett

2018-19 record: 35-3
 
Notable players definitely gone: De'Andre Hunter, Ty Jerome, Kyle Guy, Jack Salt
 
Other expected departures: Marco Anthony
 
Notable players expected to return: Mamadi Diakite, Braxton Key, Jay Huff, Kihei Clark
 
Expected additions: Kadin Shedrick, Casey Morsell, Justin McKoy
 
10
Coach: Kevin Willard

2018-19 record: 20-14
 
Notable players definitely gone: Michael Nzei
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Darnell Brodie, Myles Powell, Myles Cale, Romaro Gill, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Quincy McKnight, Anthony Nelson, Taurean Thompson
 
Expected additions: Ikey Obiagu (transfer), Tyrese Samuel, Dashawn Davis
11
Coach: Jay Wright

2018-19 record: 26-10
 
Notable players definitely gone: Phil Booth, Eric Paschall, Joe Cremo, Jahvon Quinerly
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Collin Gillispie, Saddiq Bey, Jermaine Samuels, Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree, Cole Swider, Brandon Slater, Tim Delaney
 
Expected additions: Bryan Antoine, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Justin Moore, Eric Dixon
 
12
Coach: Bruce Pearl

2018-19 record: 30-10
 
Notable players definitely gone: Bryce Brown, Jared Harper, Malik Dunbar, Horace Spencer  
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Chuma Okeke, Samir Doughty, Austin Wiley, Anfernee McLemore, J'Von McCormick, Danjel Purifoy  
 
Expected additions: Isaac Okoro, Tyrell Jones, Jaylin Williams, Babatunde Akingbola, Allen Flanigan, Jamal Johnson
 
13
Coach: Dana Altman

2018-19 record: 25-13
 
Notable players definitely gone: Bol Bol, Louis King, Paul White, Ehab Amin
 
Other expected departures: Miles Norris
 
Notable players expected to return: Payton Pritchard, Victor Bailey, Kenny Wooten, Will Richardson, Francis Okoro
 
Expected additions: CJ Walker, Isaac Johnson, Chandler Lawson, Chris Duarte
 
14
Coach: Sean Miller

2018-19 record: 17-15
 
Notable players definitely gone: Justin Coleman, Ryan Luther
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Brandon Randolph, Brandon Williams, Chase Jeter, Dylan Smith, Ira Lee, Devonaire Doutrive, Alex Barcello
 
Expected additions:  Max Hazzard, Nico Mannion, Josh Green, Zeke Nnaji, Terry Armstrong, Christian Koloko, Stone Gettings 
 
15
Coach: John Beilein

2018-19 record: 30-7
 
Notable players definitely gone:  Charles Matthews, Jordan Poole
 
Other expected departures: Ignas Brazdeikis
 
Notable players expected to return: Jon Teske, Zavier Simpson, Isaiah Livers, Eli Brooks, Austin Davis, David DeJulius, Brandon Johns
 
Expected additions: Jalen Wilson, Cole Bajema
 
16

Coach: Fran McCaffery

2018-19 record: 23-12
 
Notable players definitely gone: Nicolas Baer, Maishe Dailey
 
Other expected departures: Tyler Cook
 
Notable players expected to return: Jordan Bohannon, Luka Garza, Ryan Kriener, Connor McCaffery, Isaiah Moss, Joe Wieskamp, Jack Nunge, Cordell Pemsl
 
Expected additions: Patrick McCaffery, Joe Toussaint
 
17
Coach: Kelvin Sampson

2018-19 record: 33-4
 
Notable players definitely gone: Corey Davis, Breaon Brady, Galen Robinson
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Dejon Jarreau, Cedrick Alley, Armoni Brooks, Brison Gresham, Fabian White, Chris Harris, Nate Hinton
 
Expected additions: Caleb Mills, Justin Gorham
 
18
Coach: Matt Painter

2018-19 record: 25-8
 
Notable players definitely gone: Carsen Edwards, Ryan Cline, Grady Eifert
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Nojel Eastern, Eric Hunter Jr., Aaron Wheeler, Matt Haarms, Trevion Williams, Evan Boudreaux, Sasha Stefanovic
 
Expected additions: Brandon Newman, Isaiah Thompson, Mason Gillis, Jahaad Proctor
 
19
Coach: Penny Hardaway

2018-19 record: 22-14
 
Notable players definitely gone: Jeremiah Martin, Kyvon Davenport, Kareem Brewton, Raynere Thornton, Mike Parks, Antwann Jones
 
Other expected departures: Victor Enoh
 
Notable players expected to return: Tyler Harris, Isaiah Maurice, Alex Lomax 
 
Expected additions: James Wiseman, RJ Hampton, Precious Achiuwa, D.J. Jeffries, Lester Quinones, Malcolm Dandridge, Damion Baugh, Lance Thomas, Ryan Boyce 
20
Coach: Mike Rhoades

2018-19 record: 25-8
 
Notable players definitely gone: Michael Gilmore
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Marcus Evans, Isaac Vann, Deriante Jenkins, Marcus Santos-Silva, Sean Mobley, Vince Williams, Mike'L Simms, P.J. Byrd, Malik Crowfield
 
Expected additions: Jarren McAlister
 
21
Coach: Rick Barnes

2018-19 record: 31-6
 
Notable players definitely gone: Admiral Schofield, Kyle Alexander
 
Other expected departures: Grant Williams, Jordan Bone
 
Notable players expected to return: Lamonte Turner, Jordan Bowden, John Fulkerson, Yves Pons, Jalen Johnson, Derrick Walker
 
Expected additions: Josiah-Jordan James, Drew Pember, Davonte Gaines
 
22
Coach: Chris Beard

2018-19 record: 31-7
 
Notable players definitely gone:  Jarrett Culver, Matt Mooney, Tariq Owens, Brandone Francis, Norense Odiase
 
Other expected departures:  N/A 
 
Notable players expected to return: Davide Moretti, Kyler Edwards, Deshawn Corprew, Khavon Moore, Andrei Savrasov
 
Expected additions: Jahmius Ramsey, Kevin McCullar, Russel Tchewa, Terrence Shannon, Clarence Nadolny             
23
Coach: Scott Drew

2018-19 record: 20-14
 
Notable players definitely gone: Makai Mason, King McClure              
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Devonte Bandoo, Jared Butler, Tristan Clark, Freddie Gillespie, Mario Kegler, Matthew Mayer, Flo Thamba, Mark Vital
 
Expected additions: Davion Mitchell, Macio Teague, Jordan Turner
24
Coach: Greg McDermott

2018-19 record: 20-15
 
Notable players definitely gone: Kaleb Joseph, Connor Cashaw, Samson Froling
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Martin Krampelj, Ty-Shon Alexander, Mitch Ballock, Marcus Zegarowski, Davion Mintz, Damien Jefferson, Christian Bishop
 
Expected additions: Tristan Enaruna, Sedrick Hammonds
25
Coach: Chris Holtmann
 
2018-19 record: 20-15
 
Notable players definitely gone: CJ Jackson, Keyshawn Woods
 
Other expected departures: N/A
 
Notable players expected to return: Kaleb Wesson, Andre Wesson, Luther Muhammad, Duane Washington, Kyle Young, Justin Aherns, Musa Jallow, Jaedon LeDee
 
Expected additions: DJ Carton, Alonzo Gaffney, EJ Liddel, Ibrahima Diallo, CJ Walker 
26
Coach : Bob McKillop
 
2018-19 record : 24-10
 
Notable players definitely gone : Nathan Ekwu
 
Other expected departures : Dusan Kovacevic
 
Notable players expected to return : Kellan Grady, Jon Axel Gudmundson, Luka Brajkovic, Luke Frampton, Kishawn Pritchett, Carter Collins, David Czerapowics, Bates Jones
 
Expected additions : N/A

Top 25 And 1 analysis

Biggest Movers
2 Louisville
10 Michigan
Rk
Teams
 
Chg
Rcrd
1 Michigan St. Cassius Winston's decision to return to Michigan State for his senior season was enough to keep Tom Izzo's team No. 1 in the Top 25 And 1. The Spartans are returning three of the top four scorers from a 32-win team that won the Big Ten regular-season title and Big Ten Tournament title before advancing to the Final Four. --32-7
2 Duke The Blue Devils are enrolling the nation's top-ranked recruiting class for the fourth consecutive year - one that's highlighted by five-star prospects Vernon Carey, Matthew Hurt and Wendell Moore. The return of Tre Jones will give Mike Krzyzewski the type of experience in the backcourt most great teams possess. 132-6
3 Kentucky Ashton Hagans announcing he'll return to Kentucky for his sophomore season qualified as a big development for the Wildcats. He'll be a key piece on what should be the SEC's best team. 130-7
4 Louisville Jordan Nwora has declared for the NBA Draft but left open the option of returning to Louisville. If he does, he'll be the leading returning scorer for a program set to enroll a top-10 recruiting class - not to mention graduate transfer Lamarr Kimble, who averaged 15.6 points per game at Saint Joseph's this season. 220-14
5 Maryland The expected loss of Bruno Fernando should mostly be offset by the return of Jalen Smith. The Terrapins will be talented and experienced and a real threat to Michigan State and Michigan at the top of the Big Ten. 223-11
6 N. Carolina The loss of Coby White after one season stings a little considering he didn't project as a one-and-done prospect coming out of high school. But the enrollment of five-star guard Cole Anthony should fill any hole UNC might otherwise have in the backcourt. 229-7
7 Kansas The Jayhawks aren't enrolling the type of recruiting class they typically enroll. But Kansas is returning enough to enter the season as the Big 12 favorite. 226-10
8 Gonzaga The Zags still need to find a point guard via the transfer market. But, one way or another, Mark Few, thanks in part to a top-five recruiting class, will keep the Zags on the national radar. 233-4
9 Virginia The Cavaliers are losing the top three scorers from their national championship team, all of whom are entering the NBA Draft early. But Tony Bennett still has enough to keep Virginia nationally relevant. 735-3
10 Seton Hall Kevin Willard spoke with Virginia Tech about its opening but ultimately remained at Seton Hall. He has a roster good enough to take the Pirates to the NCAA Tournament for the fifth straight year. 120-14
11 Villanova In a bit of a twist, Villanova will not be the favorite to win the Big East. But the Wildcats, thanks to a top-five recruiting class, should still operate near the top of the sport. 126-10
12 Auburn Jared Harper's decision to withdraw from school and enter the NBA Draft means Auburn is losing its top two scorers from a Final Four team. Bryce Brown, whose eligibility is exhausted, combined with Harper this season to average 31.2 points and 7.7 assists that must now be replaced. 130-10
13 Oregon Louis King's decision to enter and remain in the NBA Draft was a blow to Oregon. But four of the top six scorers are still expected back -- and they'll pair with a top-15 recruiting class that should make the Ducks the Pac-12 favorites. 125-13
14 Arizona Sean Miller, even with an NCAA cloud hovering over his program, has secured a top-five recruiting class that should return the Wildcats to the NCAA Tournament. The addition of grad-transfer Max Hazzard was a nice late development. 117-15
15 Michigan It appears the Wolverines are losing their top three scorers - most notably Ignas Brazdeikis. But, remember, they lost three of their top four scorers the year before and still managed to earn a No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. 1030-7
16 Iowa Tyler Cook is determined to remain in the NBA Draft, which isn't ideal for Iowa. But the Hawkeyes are still returning four of their top-five scorers - most notably Luka Garza. --23-12
17 Houston Houston reaching a deal on a contract extension for Kelvin Sampson was a massive development for the AAC program. The Cougars will be capable of winning back-to-back league titles. --33-4
18 Purdue The loss of Carsen Edwards is obviously a big deal. But Matt Painter has proven capable of running a competent program even when he loses key pieces. --26-10
19 Memphis Penny Hardaway's top-10 recruiting class, highlighted by five-star big James Wiseman, should have Memphis back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2014. Tyler Harris and Alex Lomax will provide adequate experience in the backcourt. --22-14
20 VCU Every relevant piece from a VCU team that won the Atlantic 10 by two games should be back. That includes four players who averaged double-digits in points this season. --25-8
21 Tennessee If Grant Williams and/or Jordan Bone return, Tennessee will be significantly higher in the Top 25 And 1. But if they both remain in the NBA Draft, as expected, the Vols will have to replace the top three scorers from a team that lost in the Sweet 16. --31-6
22 Texas Tech The Red Raiders are expected to lose four of their top five scorers - most notably Jarrett Culver early to the NBA Draft. But, remember, they lost five of their top seven scorers from last season's team, and that didn't stop Chris Beard from getting Texas Tech to this season's national title game. --31-7
23 Baylor The Bears are losing Makai Mason and King McClure. But they'll get Tristan Clark back and likely make the NCAA Tournament for the sixth time in a seven-year span. --20-14
24 Creighton The Bluejays are returning all five starters from a team that closed the season by winning seven of their final nine games. That should be enough to help Creighton advance in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2014. --20-15
25 Ohio St. Five of the top seven scorers from a team that spent part of last season ranked are expected back - including Kaleb Wesson, who averaged 14.6 points and 6.9 rebounds as a sophomore. Those returnees, combined with a top-15 recruiting class, should have Chris Holtmann in the NCAA Tournament for the sixth straight year. --20-15
26 Davidson The top six scorers from a Davidson team that finished 14-4 in the Atlantic 10 are expected back - including A-10 Player of the Year Jon Axel Gudmundson. As long as Kellan Grady stays healthy, the Wildcats will be good enough to advance in the NCAA Tournament. --24-10
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Gary Parrish is an award-winning college basketball columnist and television analyst for CBS Sports who also hosts the highest-rated afternoon drive radio show in Memphis, where he lives with his wife... Full Bio

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