The Georgia State Panthers are seeking their fourth trip to the NCAA Tournament in seven seasons when they face the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Monday in the 2021 Sun Belt Conference Tournament title game in Pensacola, Fla. The No. 1 seed in the East, the streaking Panthers (16-5) are taking aim at their ninth win in a row and third straight conference tournament championship (last year's was canceled). The Mountaineers (16-11), the fourth seed from the East, won two of three against Georgia State during the regular season.
Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET at the Pensacola Bay Center. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Panthers as seven-point favorites in the latest Georgia State vs. Appalachian State odds while the over-under for total points scored is set at 136. Before making any Appalachian State vs. Georgia State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $500 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Appalachian State vs. Georgia State in the Sun Belt Championship Game 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Georgia State vs. Appalachian State:
- Georgia State vs. Appalachian State spread: Georgia State -7
- Georgia State vs. Appalachian State over-under: 136 points
- Georgia State vs. Appalachian State money line: Georgia State -320, Appalachian State +250
- APPST: The Mountaineers have held 12 opponents under 65 points
- GAST: The Panthers are 12-2 as a top seed in Sun Belt tourney play
Why Georgia State can cover
While the Panthers had five players score in double figures in each of their two tournament wins, senior forward Eliel Nsoseme is getting it done at both ends of the court. He had 10 points and 12 rebounds in the quarterfinals and registered his sixth double-double of the season Sunday with 17 points and 12 boards. He has scored in double figures in four straight games, averaging 11.0 rebounds in that span.
Sophomore forward Jalen Thomas has bolstered the inside game alongside Nsoseme, scoring in double figures in each of the past seven games. He is shooting 65.3 percent and averaging 14.7 points in that span, which included a 22-point outing vs. Appalachian State on Feb. 23. Guard Corey Allen, averaging a team-high 15.0 points, has scored 36 points in the tournament and has been in double figures in 14 of the past 15 games.
Why Appalachian State can cover
Senior guard Michael Almonacy is averaging 18.3 points and 6.3 rebounds in the tournament and has been lighting it up from behind the arc, connecting on 14-of-29 3-point attempts. He was 4-of-7 from distance and scored a season-high 24 points in the last matchup against Georgia State. Guards Justin Forrest and Adrian Delph, the team's top two scorers, are averaging 21.7 and 16.3 points, respectively, in the tournament.
The Mountaineers dropped six of seven games to close out the regular season, including an 85-71 setback at Georgia State on Feb. 23, but they have won three straight in their run to the conference championship game. That included a 76-73 overtime victory over Texas State, the top seed in the West Division. Appalachian State also owns a pair of victories over Georgia State on Jan. 22-23, winning by nine and 13 points.
How to make Georgia State vs. Appalachian State picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 144 points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Appalachian State vs. Georgia State? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.