The second-seeded Morehead State Eagles will look to punch their ticket to the NCAA Tournament for the first time in a decade when they take on the top-seeded Belmont Bruins in the 2021 OVC Tournament Championship Game on Saturday. Morehead State (22-7, 17-3), which split a pair of games with Belmont (26-3, 18-2) during the regular season, last won the OVC Tournament in 2011. The Bruins, meanwhile, have won two games in a row since losing the regular-season finale 89-82 in overtime at Morehead State. Belmont won the first meeting, a 73-58 triumph on Feb. 13.
The game from the Ford Center in Evansville, Ind., is scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. ET. Belmont is averaging 82 points per game, while Morehead State averages 68.3. The Bruins are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Morehead State vs. Belmont odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 137.5. Before locking in any Belmont vs. Morehead State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $500 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Belmont vs. Morehead State in the OVC Championship Game 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Morehead State vs. Belmont:
- Morehead State vs. Belmont spread: Belmont -6.5
- Morehead State vs. Belmont over-under: 137.5 points
- Morehead State vs. Belmont money line: Morehead State +230, Belmont -280
- MS: Has won 18 of its last 19 games, tying the 1983-84 team for the best winning percentage in a 19-game span
- BEL: Has led the nation in 2-point field goal percentage in six of the last nine seasons
Why Belmont can cover
The Bruins have five players who average double-figure scoring, including freshman guard JaCobi Wood, who entered Friday's action averaging 12.1 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is connecting on 80.5 percent of his free throws. Wood had the hot hand in the quarterfinals, scoring 19 points against SIUE. He is averaging 13.5 points against Morehead State, including a 19-point performance in the Feb. 13 win. For the season, Wood reached double-figure scoring in 19 games, including a season-high 21 points on Jan. 9 against UT Martin.
Sophomore guard Ben Sheppard also plays a big part in Belmont's success, averaging 10.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Sheppard has scored in double digits 11 times, including one double-double. He scored 25 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in a win over Eastern Kentucky on Feb. 11. He scored 17 points in the season-finale at Morehead State.
Why Morehead State can cover
The Eagles pulled out a last-minute victory in the semifinals and were led by their top two scorers in freshman forward Johni Broome and junior guard DeVon Cooper. Broome posted a double-double against Eastern Kentucky, scoring 17 points and grabbing 13 rebounds. Broome leads the team in points (13.3), rebounds (8.7) and blocks (1.8) per game. He has registered 12 double-doubles this season, including in both OVC Tournament games. Broome has scored 20 or more points seven times.
Cooper wouldn't be denied in the semifinals, scoring a team-high 25 points and grabbing six rebounds. He is averaging 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, and is connecting on 76.3 percent of his free throws. Cooper has scored in double figures in 23 games with one double-double. He scored 14 points and grabbed 12 rebounds in a win over Arkansas State on Nov. 29. He is averaging 13.5 points, six rebounds and five assists in two games this season against Belmont.
How to make Morehead State vs. Belmont picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 144 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Morehead State vs. Belmont? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.