The Buffalo Bulls are riding their longest winning streak of the season as they prepare to host the first-place Toledo Rockets on Friday night in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Buffalo (9-6, 7-4 MAC) has rattled off three straight victories in impressive fashion to climb into a tie with Ohio for fourth place in the league. The Bulls also have dominated the series with the Rockets (17-6, 12-3), winning the past five matchups.
Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at Alumni Arena in Buffalo, N.Y. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Bulls as two-point favorites while the over-under for total points scored is 164 in the latest Toledo vs. Buffalo odds. Before making any Buffalo vs. Toledo picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Toledo vs. Buffalo spread: Buffalo -2
- Toledo vs. Buffalo over-under: 164 points
- Toledo vs. Buffalo money line: Buffalo -130; Toledo +115
- BUF: The Bulls have won each of their last three by an average of 25.3 points
- TOL: The Rockets led the country with 250 3-pointers through Wednesday's games
Why Toledo can cover
While leading scorer Marreon Jackson is second on the school's career 3-point list with 284 made, senior classmate Spencer Littleson is the team's top threat from behind the arc. He has knocked down at least five 3-pointers in six of the past 12 games, including 7 of 14 en route to 25 points in Tuesday's victory over Miami-Ohio. Littleson ranks fifth nationally by converting 47.9 percent of his 3-point attempts.
The Rockets are second to Buffalo in the MAC at 80.7 points per game and are 17th in the country in offensive efficiency with 115.9 points per 100 possessions in the kenpom.com ratings. They also rank No. 16 nationally in free-throw shooting at 78.2 percent. Forward JT Shumate has scored in double figures in seven of the past eight games, shooting at least 50 percent six times in that span.
Why Buffalo can cover
Senior guard Jayvon Graves' scoring numbers are down from a team-high 17.1 points last season to 15.0, primarily due to career lows in 3-point shooting (31.0) and at the free throw line (50.0). Still, he has shot at least 50 percent from the floor in four of the past five games and torched the Rockets with a game-high 27 points last season. The Bulls live up to their nickname on the glass, leading the nation with an average of 43.0 rebounds.
Leading rebounder Josh Mballa has registered three double-doubles in the past four games, averaging 16.0 points, 11.3 boards and 2.5 steals in the span. Top scorer and No. 2 rebounder Jeenathan Williams is due for a bounce-back performance after collecting a combined 19 points and eight boards over the past two games. That halted a streak of 13 straight games with at least 14 points to start the season.
How to make Buffalo vs. Toledo picks
The model is leaning under on the total, projecting both teams combine for 158 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Buffalo vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.