A trip to the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 is on the line when 2-seed Cincinnati squares off against 7-seed Nevada at 6:10 p.m. ET on Sunday. Cincinnati is favored by 7.5 points, up a half-point from the open. The over-under, or total points Vegas believes will be scored, is 136.5.

Before you make a pick, you need to see what former Vegas bookmaker Micah Roberts has to say.

The former Las Vegas sportsbook director has been rock solid analyzing college basketball, entering the second round of the 2018 NCAA Tournament on a 24-13 run in ATS picks. He's also nailed three of his last four spread picks involving the Wolf Pack. Anyone who has followed his picks is up big.

Part of his success: Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sports book industry for over 18 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos' book director. He has also covered the Las Vegas sports betting industry over the past decade.

Now, he's analyzed Cincinnati vs. Nevada from every possible angle and locked in his pick.

Roberts has taken into account Nevada's strong recent performances. The Wolf Pack have won eight of their past 10 games, including a thrilling comeback victory over Texas in the first round.

They've done it thanks to an explosive offense. The Wolf Pack, who have scored at least 77 points in eight of their last 10 games, are averaging 83.2, among the top-20 scoring offenses in the nation.

Caleb Martin has been sensational for the Wolf Pack's offense. The junior forward, who is averaging over 19 points, will be looking to make a statement against a stingy Cincinnati defense that is holding its opponents to just 57 points per game.

But just because Nevada's offense has been potent thus far this season doesn't mean it can stay within the 7.5-point spread on Sunday.

The Wolf Pack have covered the spread just twice in their past five games, while Cincinnati has won eight consecutive games and boasts a defense that holds opponents to an abysmal 37.1 shooting percentage, second in the nation.

Roberts has evaluated all of these circumstances and locked in his against-the-spread pick. He knows an alarming stat determines which side of the spread prevails, and you can only see it over at SportsLine.

So which side of Cincinnati vs. Nevada should you back on Sunday? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Cincinnati-Nevada you should back, and what alarming statistic determines the outcome, all from a Vegas legend who's on a strong 24-13 ATS run.