When the 2021 CAA Tournament began on Saturday, few predictions called for the Elon Phoenix and Drexel Dragons to meet in the finals. However, that is the matchup that transpired with Elon winning three straight games in the tournament and seven games overall to reach the finals as the No. 8 seed. Drexel, meanwhile, advanced as the No. 6 seed. The teams will face off on Tuesday in the 2021 CAA Tournament Championship as a result, with a trip to the 2021 NCAA Tournament on the line.
The game is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Dragons are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Drexel vs. Elon odds from William Hill Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is listed at 129.5. Before finalizing any Drexel vs. Elon picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $400 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Elon vs. Drexel spread: Drexel -3.5
- Elon vs. Drexel over-under: 129.5 points
- Elon vs. Drexel money line: Drexel -170, Elon +145
- Elon: The Phoenix have covered the spread in seven straight games
- Drexel: The Dragons are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why Elon can cover
The Phoenix are on a historic run, including a win over No. 1 seed James Madison on Sunday and an 18-point drubbing of No. 4 seed Hofstra in the semifinals on Monday. Elon's season-long numbers don't do the team justice to how it is playing recently, but the Phoenix do have strong points to focus on. Elon is a very good free throw shooting team, converting 75.2 percent from the charity stripe, and is No. 2 in the CAA in 3-point attempt rate, taking almost 44 percent of its shots from long distance.
The Phoenix are also strong taking care of the ball, and Drexel almost never forces turnovers, ranking outside the top 275 nationally in havoc rate defensively. On the other end, Elon is above-average nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, and is top 15 in the country in defensive rebound rate, allowing opponents to grab only 22.2 percent of their own missed shots. The Phoenix are a top-50 team in holding opponents to just 31.2 percent from 3-point range, and that will be key against a Drexel team that shoots well from the perimeter.
Why Drexel can cover
Drexel is very potent offensively, including the No. 1 mark in adjusted offensive efficiency within conference play. Junior guard Camren Wynter is a big reason for that success. Wynter is averaging 17.3 points and 5.4 assists per game, converting 48.4 percent of his field goal attempts, 41.6 percent of his 3-point attempts and 82.7 percent of his free throw attempts this season. While Elon is red-hot right now, a look at their underlying numbers also provides some optimism for Drexel.
Elon ranks outside the top 250 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, and the Phoenix are shooting just 47.1 percent on 2-point attempts. The Phoenix are a strongly below-average offensive rebounding team, snatching only 25.0 percent of their own missed shots, and Elon is outside the top 300 nationally in free throw creation rate and free throw prevention rate. Finally, the Phoenix create a turnover on only 17.6 percent of defensive possessions, which lands well below the national average.
How to make Elon vs. Drexel picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 139 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Elon vs. Drexel? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.