Duke vs. Virginia Tech odds: Picks from unbiased computer model on 15-7 run

The Virginia Tech Hokies visit the Duke Blue Devils at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Wednesday night at 7 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are favored by 10.5 points, down a half-point from where it opened. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 161, down 1.5 from the opener.

In this conference battle that could have major implications on both ACC and NCAA Tournament seeding come March, you need to see what SportsLine's Projection Model has to say.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, completely crushed its top-rated college basketball picks last season, returning a profit of almost $6,600 on $100 bets for anybody who followed them.

That wasn't a fluke, either. The model entered the week on a strong 15-7 run on its college basketball point-spread picks. Anybody who has been following those picks is way, way up.

Now it has simulated Virginia Tech vs. Duke 10,000 times and came up with some surprising results.

We can tell you the model is leaning towards the total going Over. In fact, it's hitting in 55 percent of simulations. The model also has a strong pick for which side of the spread you should take, saying you can back it over 50 percent of the time. And you can only see that over at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account Virginia Tech's strong recent performances. The Hokies have won five of their last six games, including an impressive 61-60 road victory over top-ranked Virginia.

They've done it thanks to an efficient offense. The Hokies, who have scored at least 80 points in eight of their last 10 games, are averaging 83.7.

Meanwhile, Duke will be without one of its best players. Freshman forward Marvin Bagley III, who is averaging 21.2 points and 11.4 rebounds, has been ruled out with a knee injury.

But just because Virginia Tech comes in hot doesn't mean it will be able to stay within the 11-point spread.

The home team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams and the Blue Devils are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four Wednesday games.

So which side of Virginia Tech-Duke do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Virginia Tech-Duke spread is cashing over 50 percent of the time, all from the model that has absolutely crushed college hoops, and find out.

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