The Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes and Dayton Flyers tip off their Thanksgiving Day when they meet in the first round of the 2021 ESPN Events Invitational in Orlando, Fla. The Hurricanes (3-1), who were 2-1 on neutral courts in 2020-21, are coming off an 86-59 win over Florida A&M on Sunday. The Flyers (1-3), who were also 2-1 at neutral sites last season, dropped an 87-81 to Austin Peay on Saturday. Dayton has won seven of the eight previous meetings against Miami (Fla.).
The game from HP Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at noon. ET. Miami is averaging 80 points per game, while Dayton averages 65.5. The Hurricanes are six-point favorites in the latest Dayton vs. Miami odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 135. Before making any Miami vs. Dayton picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Miami vs. Dayton spread: Miami -6
- Miami vs. Dayton over-under: 135 points
- Miami vs. Dayton money line: Dayton +205, Miami -250
- DAY: The Flyers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games following a straight-up loss
- MIA: The Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games
Why Miami can cover
The Hurricanes have four players averaging in double figures, including redshirt senior guard Charlie Moore, who is playing for his fourth team in five years. Moore is averaging 11.3 points, three assists, two rebounds and 1.8 steals per game. He has averaged in double figures in three of his previous four seasons, including a 14.4 points-per-game average last season at DePaul. He is coming off a 20-point, four-assist performance on Sunday against Florida A&M.
Also helping lead the Miami (Fla.) offense is redshirt sophomore Anthony Walker. Walker, who has scored in double figures in two games this season, is averaging 10.3 points, three rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game. Walker is looking to build on a solid 2020-21 season, which saw him record five double-doubles. He scored in double figures 11 times in a 13-game stretch from Jan. 19 to March 10, the second-to-last game of the 2020-21 season.
Why Dayton can cover
The Flyers have a young roster and are second in the country with 12 freshmen. Redshirt sophomore guard Toumani Camara is the only player averaging double figures at 11 points per game. He is also averaging 7.3 rebounds, two assists and 1.3 steals. He has reached double figures in three of four games this season, including a 15-point effort in a 64-54 opening-night win over Illinois Chicago.
Redshirt junior guard Elijah Weaver is also off to a good start to the season. He is averaging 9.3 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists. He has reached double figures twice, scoring 12 points against UMass-Lowell, and followed that up with an 11-point performance against Lipscomb. He played his first two seasons at Southern California and is averaging six points and 2.1 rebounds per game in his career.
How to make Dayton vs. Miami picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 143 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Dayton vs. Miami? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $2,100 on its college basketball picks the last five years, and find out.