The Michigan State Spartans can strengthen their case for an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament when they square off against the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines on Thursday night at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Mich. The Spartans (14-10 overall, 8-10 in Big Ten) have gotten hot over the last two weeks, going 4-1 in their last five games, including wins over No. 4 Ohio State and No. 5 Illinois. Despite the hot stretch, Michigan State remains a bubble team for the tournament. Meanwhile the Wolverines (18-2, 13-2) can clinch the regular season conference title with a win in one of their last two games, which both are against the Spartans.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Wolverines are favored by 12 points in the latest Michigan vs. Michigan State odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 140. Before making any Michigan State vs. Michigan picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $500 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Michigan vs. Michigan State spread: Wolverines -12
- Michigan vs. Michigan State over-under: 140 points
- Michigan vs. Michigan State money line: Michigan -800; Michigan State +550
- MICH: The team ranks fourth in the country in points allowed per 100 possessions (87.7)
- MSU: Aaron Henry is the only Div. I player averaging at least 15.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.3 blocks per game
Why Michigan can cover
Michigan is one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the country. The Wolverines are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc this year, which ranks second in the Big Ten and 12th in the nation. Five different players have made at least 22 3-pointers this season.
In addition, Michigan should be able to take advantage of Michigan State from the free throw line. The Spartans rank last in the Big Ten and 311th in the country in fouls per game (19.9). That bodes well for a Wolverines team that ranks second in the conference and 27th in the nation in free throw percentage (77.1).
Why Michigan State can cover
Junior Aaron Henry is on a roll. Over his last 10 games the 6-foot-6 forward from Indianapolis is averaging 18.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game while shooting 48.3 percent from the field and 39.3 percent on 3-pointers.
In addition, Michigan State has the interior defense to give Dickinson trouble. The Spartans rank second in the Big Ten and 20th in the country in block shots per game (4.8). And on Tuesday they harassed Indiana's Trayce Jackson-Davis, limiting the star sophomore to just nine points on 1-of-5 shooting from the field.
How to make Michigan State vs. Michigan picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 143 points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Michigan State vs. Michigan? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.