A Mountain West battle is on tap between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the Nevada Wolf Pack at 11 p.m. ET on Friday at Lawlor Events Center. Nevada is 8-7 overall and 5-3 at home, while Fresno State is 13-4 overall and 2-4 on the road. Nevada has typically dominated this MWC rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 outright and covering six of those 10 head-to-head matchups against the spread.
However, Fresno State has covered in nine of its last 11 games entering Friday and is 12-4 against the number on the season while Nevada is just 4-10. Still, the Wolf Pack are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Nevada vs. Fresno State odds from Caesars Sportsbook and the over-under is set at 138. Before entering any Fresno State vs. Nevada picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Nevada vs. Fresno State spread: Nevada -1.5
- Nevada vs. Fresno State over-under: 138 points
What you need to know about Nevada
The Wolf Pack came up short against the Wyoming Cowboys on Monday, falling 77-67. Despite the loss, Nevada got a solid performance out of guard Grant Sherfield, who had 20 points and eight assists. The former Wichita State transfer is now averaging 19.5 points, 6.5 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game in his second season on campus at Nevada.
Unfortunately, the Wolf Pack shot just 39.4 percent from the floor and went 6-for-30 from the 3-point line in the loss to Wyoming. Nevada shoots just 32.3 percent from beyond the arc as a team and has gone just 24-for-92 from deep in its last three games.
What you need to know about Fresno State
Meanwhile, Fresno State bagged a 61-54 win over the Utah State Aggies on Tuesday. It was another big night for Fresno State's forward Orlando Robinson, who posted a double-double on 13 rebounds and 11 points while also adding six assists. Robinson is averaging 19.3 points and 8.7 rebounds per game this season and he's also a capable passer (2.8 apg) and effective rim protector (1.6 bpg).
A pair of defensive stats to keep in the back of your head while watching: The Wolf Pack are stumbling into the contest with the 30th most points allowed per game in college basketball, having given up 75.5 on average. The Bulldogs' defense has more to brag about, as it comes into the game boasting the second-fewest points allowed per game in college basketball at 56.5.
How to make Fresno State vs. Nevada picks
The model has simulated Nevada vs. Fresno State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nevada vs. Fresno State? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Fresno State vs. Nevada spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,400 on its college basketball picks the last five years, and find out.