Roy Williams and the North Carolina Tar Heels begin their 2020-21 campaign with an interesting matchup on Wednesday evening. North Carolina hosts the Charleston Cougars at the Dean Smith Center. The Tar Heels enter the season with a top-20 national ranking, though the sledding will not be easy. Charleston is one of the better programs in the CAA, and the Cougars posted a 17-14 record in 2019-20. 

Tip-off is at 6 p.m. ET in Chapel Hill. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Tar Heels as 17-point home favorites, holding steady from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 143 in the latest North Carolina vs. Charleston odds. Before you make any Charleston vs. North Carolina picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on North Carolina vs. Charleston. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Charleston vs. UNC:

  • UNC vs. Charleston spread: North Carolina -17
  • UNC vs. Charleston over-under: 143 points
  • UNC vs. Charleston money line: n/a
  • UNC: The Tar Heels were 6-15 against the spread as a favorite in 2019-20
  • CHAR: The Cougars were 5-5-1 against the spread in non-conference games last season

Why North Carolina can cover

The Tar Heels are the more talented team in this matchup, even after a disappointing 2019-20 season and the loss of Cole Anthony to the 2020 NBA Draft. North Carolina is led by preseason ACC player of the year Garrison Brooks, with the 6'10 senior bringing experience and production. Brooks averaged 16.8 points and 8.5 rebounds per game as a junior, shooting an impressive 53.5 percent from the field. 

From there, sophomore forward Armando Bacot is a dynamic player for North Carolina, averaging 9.6 points and 8.3 rebounds per game in a supporting role last season, and Bacot is in line for an uptick in usage. With an infusion of freshman talent and a high-end coach in Williams, the Tar Heels project as an above-average unit on both ends of the floor. 

Why Charleston can cover

Charleston can't match North Carolina in terms of prospect pedigree, but the Cougars do have a cohesive, talented roster. Senior guard Brevin Galloway is the team's leading returner, averaging 11.3 points per game last season. Galloway was a second-team All-CAA selection in the preseason, and Zep Jasper is a solid complementary piece in the backcourt. 

In addition, Charleston received a welcome transfer in Payton Willis, who arrives from Minnesota. Willis began his college career at Vanderbilt, playing two seasons, before transferring to Minnesota and averaging 8.9 points while shooting 36 percent from three-point range. He could make a substantial impact in his one year as a grad transfer for Charleston.

How to make UNC vs. Charleston picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with just one Charleston player projected to score double-digit points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Charleston vs. UNC? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UNC vs. Charleston spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last four years, and find out.