North Carolina vs. Notre Dame odds: Picks from expert who's 4-1 on Irish games

Two ACC squads with strong NCAA Tournament aspirations collide Saturday when Notre Dame hosts North Carolina at Purcell Pavilion at 6 p.m. ET in a nationally televised showdown. The line has already been on the move with North Carolina going from a 5.5-point favorite down to a five-point favorite. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 147, up a point after opening at 146.

In this huge ACC basketball showdown that features two loaded teams looking for a statement win, you need to see what SportsLine analyst Josh Nagel has to say.

Nagel is a Nevada-based expert with almost two decades of experience in the handicapping industry. He has won multiple handicapping contests and specializes in picking college sports.

And he has developed a knack for picking Notre Dame basketball as evidenced by his 4-1 run picking for or against the Irish. On Dec. 30, he told readers to take Georgia Tech (+15) against Notre Dame. The result: Notre Dame 68, Georgia Tech 59 -- another cash for Nagel with room to spare. Anybody following his picks is way, way up right now.

Now, Nagel has studied every angle of this ACC hoops showdown and has locked in his strong point-spread pick. He's sharing it only over at SportsLine.

Nagel knows that North Carolina has been inconsistent this season and has yet to win on the road in conference play.

And though UNC ranks in the top 30 nationally in points per game (83.4), offensive consistency has been an issue. Several top-notch defensive teams have been able to shut the Tar Heels down. They scored just 49 against Virginia and 45 against Michigan State.

Notre Dame's defense, which ranks in the top 25 and has held its last four opponents to 60 points or less, will look to follow the same blueprint.

But just because Notre Dame has a stringy defense doesn't mean it will be able to protect home court and cover this five-point spread on Saturday.

Injuries are a huge concern for the Irish right now. Senior forward Bonzie Colson (21.4 ppg, 10.4 rpg) remains out and Matt Farrell (15.9 ppg) will miss this game with a knee issue as well.

Nagel has evaluated all of these circumstances and while we can tell you he's leaning Under, he has identified an x-favor that he knows gives one team the edge. He's sharing what that is, along with his pick, over at SportsLine.

So what side do you need to be all over in North Carolina vs. Notre Dame? Visit SportsLine now to find out what x-factor will be the difference and get a strong point-spread pick for Notre Dame-UNC, all from a Nevada-based handicapper who is on a blistering 4-1 run on his picks involving the Irish.

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