The No. 10 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (20-12) will try to upset the No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (26-5) in the 2023 Big Ten Tournament championship game on Sunday on CBS and Paramount+. The Boilermakers swept the regular season series meetings against Penn State and won both games by double-figures. However, Penn State has upended the 2023 Big Ten tournament bracket and won its last three games by a total of nine points to end up in the title game.

Tipoff in Chicago, Illinois, is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The latest Penn State vs. Purdue odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Boilermakers as 7.5-point favorites, while the over/under for total points is 135.5. Before locking in any Purdue vs. Penn State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now the model has zeroed in on Penn State vs. Purdue and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Penn State vs. Purdue:

  • Purdue vs. Penn State spread: Purdue -7.5
  • Purdue vs. Penn State over/under: 135.5 points
  • Purdue vs. Penn State money line: Purdue -345, Penn State +270
  • Purdue vs. Penn State live stream: Paramount+ (get seven days free)
  • Purdue vs. Penn State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Penn State can cover

Penn State has been the underdog in its last three games through the 2023 Big 10 tournament and won all three outright. The Nittany Lions have also won the rebounding battle in all of those matchups, with top scorer Jalen Pickett grabbing eight boards in each game. Pickett has gotten hotter as the tournament has gone on and is coming off of a 28-point performance against Indiana on Saturday.

In the first game this season between the two sides, Pickett scored 26 points. The Nittany Lions' three-point shooting could also pose a problem for Purdue, as Penn State opened the Big Ten tournament 2023 with a 8-of-21 shooting effort from downtown. Andrew Funk led the way and made 6-of-9 threes in the 79-76 win over Illinois. See which team to pick here.

Why Purdue can cover

Center Zach Edey is as imposing of a player as there is in college basketball. He is 7-foot-4 and weighs in at 285 pounds, while Penn State doesn't have a single player over 6-foot-10. Edey finished with 18 points and 13 rebounds the last time the two teams played, but he scored 30 with another 13 boards and three blocks in their first meeting.

The Boilermakers covered the spread in their two previous games against Penn State this season. Purdue held Illinois and Rutgers to under 32% from three-point range in the first two matchups of the Big Ten tournament, and even though Ohio State hit 41.7% of its threes against the Boilermakers on Saturday, Purdue still won, 80-66. Brandon Newman has the potential to catch fire after he scored 19 points against Illinois in the regular season finale, and made 5-of-7 shots for 15 points against Ohio State. See which team to pick here.

How to make Purdue vs. Penn State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 142 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine. Don't forget to stream the game on Paramount+.

So who wins Penn State vs. Purdue? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.